It goes without saying, DVDs/BlueRays.
I’m going to be bold. The internal combustion engine car.
There will be a tipping point where nobody wants to maintain the highly intricate manufacturing for them, and they will stop very quickly. Electric motors are the future and the transition is accelerating. We’re currently around 20% of new sales and I expect after 60-70% ICEs will just disappear from sale.
I don’t think that’s bold.
It’s alread 25% last month and 50+% in China.It’s only the timescale I’m unsure about.
I feel like DVDs/Blurays already disappeared 10 years ago and are now making a comeback. Same for CDs. Streaming services don’t let you own anything, and if they pull something down, you’re SOL. Self hosting Plex and ripping my own disks has given me a level of freedom not possible with netflix et. al. Especially since DVDs are considered garbage to most people now, you can set up your own streaming service for you and your friends and family for cheap. No piracy necessary.
Voting machines
my answer varies quite a bit depending on whether we mean tech that will be relegated to specific niche use cases and markets, tech that will no longer be produced at all, or tech that can’t be found any more, even used.
the first category could include a lot of things, like most of the other suggestions that have already been suggested here, but i don’t think there’s any chance of blu-ray discs or desktop computers being totally gone in that time frame. the second category will probably include small gasoline powered cars, at least in some countries. and the third category will probably include most standard incandescent or CFL light bulbs, but they might still exist in some niche applications.
Bluerays will still exist because of japanese laws. How am I supposed to get my anime without dimming if I don’t pirate bluerays?
Hopefully fax machines, but these things seem incapable of dying.
Unless you’re trying to use one. Then they’re always broken.
Clearly not IPV4.
I don’t think we will be losing optical disks ever.
If burned properly they hold storage for a very long time without data loss. IIRC Facebook burns optical disks for old photographs and instead of having a hard drive array or tape library they had a RAID based optical disk system.
Optical disks are great, but not for the daily user since most media content is online and most storage is judged on being rewritable.
i completely agree, though i hope that eventually we can settle on something like Cerabyte for long term archival storage.
Commercial TV
hopefully ai
We call it AI now but machine learning algorithms have been around for 70 years now and basically run the world
AI technologie could be nice. LLM and Diffusion models ruining the Internet with fake information and Fake art, being over hyped as AI that will change the world, all while burning up unimaginable amounts of energy? Yeah, I also hope it goes away.
No way. We will build grids and power for eventual AI takeover of common employees like fast food. It’s a sad future.
Thus converting a workforce of poorly paid fast food employees into one of highly paid utility workers.
The way shit is headed, probably vaccines.
*in the US
I believe it’s propagating outside of the US
No, we have a vaccine for that.
Not disappear entirely, but most households won’t own desktop computers or HDDs.
As a homelabber, this makes me sad. Perhaps enshittification will push people back into home/local computing.
homelabbing isnt even my gripe with it. its not ever interacting with computers on your own terms, only on theirs. smartphones are a black box.
i see ads, artificial annoyances, and human right violations by technology increasing in lockstep with the reduction of our collective control of computing.
Most people connected to the Internet today have never owned a desktop computer nor an HDD. A crazy amount of people have been introduced to computing with smartphones.
Social security and pensions I think.
Fuck that, we’ll burn it all down if they take social security from us. It’s largely paid from existing taxes as it is. We just need to get through this shit show of an administration first. That or pray Mario shows up
I don’t know of any millennial or younger who assumes there will be a safety net for them at the end of the road. We just don’t trust those in charge to keep it. I’ll fight for it, I paid into it and I want others to have it, but I can’t bank on it either
Tablets.
The market for them is very thin. With phones getting bigger and convertible laptops being more lightweight I don’t see much market for tablets.
Which is a shame because it’s s good format for comic reading and more durable than a convertible laptop (they always break by the hinges) but I think in ten years it will be quite hard to find a tablet for sale.
Honestly I would say it might go the other way with laptops disappearing and being replaced with tablets.
The operating systems and software on tablets is getting ever more capable even for productivity stuff. Add to that newer generations growing up while using mostly smartphones and maybe sometimes a computer and I believe if having to decide they would choose a tablet over a laptop. In general the line between laptops and tablets is getting a bit blurry with windows based tablet PC’s and tablets that come with a keyboard cover.
RIP PDAs with keyboard. Another form factor I miss
I’d say consumer printers
We’re running towards all digital, only a few edge cases will still require them
I’ve found myself needing to print something only 1-2 times per year, so I just go to the library to do it. E-waste-wise, this change is for the better
self-inflicted, if they played nice we would all be printing from home.
upside is less paper waste
