Image is of Iranian speedboats spotted by a satellite in the Strait of Hormuz.
Not terribly much has happened in the last week. The main two developments is the very much expected resumption of fire in Lebanon as the ZIonists are famously agreement-incapable, and the continuing supply of equipment to the Middle East, including the George H.W. Bush aircraft carrier. This means there are now three aircraft carriers in the general vicinity, and while I’m uncertain how much of a role the burnt-out Ford and the increasingly exhausted Lincoln will ultimately play (they were rather ineffective during the first round), there are also a good ~20 destroyers and however many submarines that are carrying their own munitions. I have a couple more paragraphs of exposition below, but it’s unlikely to be major news to anybody here, so I’ve spoilered it.
spoiler
On the one hand, it feels like a resumption of the war for the US at this point would be complete madness. We are getting article after article from even the Western media admitting to US standoff+interceptor missile shortages, as well as detailing the extensive damage to US bases. The Zionists are also getting ever more mired in Lebanon, with Hezbollah’s unjammable fibre optic drones playing an ever more prominent role in causing substantial long range damage to invading forces. On the other hand, it is very unlikely that most of the US’s remaining firepower is being brought to the region on a mere bluff. For its part, Iran and their allies seem to have their finger on the trigger, with their own extensive repairs, upgrades, resupplies, and adjustments having been made for round two.
Assessing the overall global economic situation is difficult, not least because of a degree of financial manipulation that is almost admirable in its sheer scale and recklessness - to quote Ghalibaf: “Their frontline is the yield curve.” Multiple countries are now facing real and desperate shortages, including major economies like Japan. Diesel prices continue their record rises, and reports about the potential impacts to all sectors of the global economy are streaming in, with famines around the world now very likely. While the US is profiting from the rise in oil prices, it seems like it will be unable to meaningfully increase production for at least a year or two, and so the US will certainly not be replacing the massive oil barrel deficit to create an energy hegemony, as some have suggested. In contrary: this is the best opportunity in a generation for China, Russia, and Iran to collectively make economic decisions that could cripple entire pillars of American hegemony. However, if the response is lacking - and we’ve all seen before over the last four years how China’s responses to crises have been on the lacking side - we could see a (albeit temporary) strengthening of the US’s financial power, as this global crisis will almost certainly result in debt climbing even higher as Western financial institutions grant loans en masse to struggling countries in the developing world. It’s very uncertain times.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
:goodnews everyone !
The Confused whale named Timmy or Hope (its Timmy or you are a Liberal) was succesfully Saved from the Shallow Baltic Waters of Timmendorfer-Strand with the Barge , he has now reached deeper waters in the North Sea , has left his barge and is heading towards the northern Atlantik.
“We … land on top of it and we took over the ship. We took over the cargo, took over the oil. It’s a very profitable business,” said Trump at a rally in Florida on Friday.
“We’re like pirates,” he added to cheers from the crowd. “We’re sort of like pirates. But we’re not playing games.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/02/trump-us-navy-pirates-iran-blockade
https://xcancel.com/PacifistKab8/status/2050253259076432114
Al Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigade fighters alongside a catholic nun in Gaza.
When you 100% verified for real have “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz [trust fam]:
The US has warned shipping companies of possible sanctions if they pay Iran for passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The US has emphasized that even disguised schemes—including charity or indirect payments—are unacceptable - Reuters.
Actual source on this is here, idk why news wires never include links to the actual source these days when most of the time it’s an actual press release or whatever by a government agency. https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/935556/download?inline
https://xcancel.com/AryJeayBackup/status/2050291806177272168
Iranians at the border city of Jolfa, northwest Iran, saw 6 drones moving towards the east and center of Iran, each two minutes apart. Jolfa borders with Azerbaijan.
okay what the fuck amazing bit of Brit lore: https://xcancel.com/buffetbreaker/status/2050062047350550623
Wesley Clark, former NATO Supreme Allied Commander: We’ve lost radars to Iranian attacks. Tomahawk stocks are down about 50%, ballistic missile interceptors by a third, and THAAD by nearly half. Replacing them could take years.
My favourite thing about this guy is that he tried to destroy the world by ordering a nato force to attack Russian troops at an airport in Kosovo and James “you’re beautiful” Blunt and his CO disobeyed the order. Why you would talk to such a maniac about anything is just always funny to me in light of that. thwarted by a British soft boy one hit wonder.
(maybe not news exactly, but at least the bit about how Western news media always manage to find the most bloodthirsty ghouls imaginable to ask for military commentary is pertinent)
US Navy turns to AI firm Domino for options to counter Iranian mines
The U.S. Navy is ramping up its AI capabilities to hunt for Iranian mines in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes, a recently awarded contract shows.
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President Donald Trump has said the U.S. Navy is clearing Iranian mines from the strait, a vital sea route for oil shipments, whose disruption is increasingly threatening the global economy. Sweeping for underwater explosives could take months despite a tenuous ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran in their weeks-long war. The up to $100 million contract for the San Francisco artificial intelligence company Domino Data Lab could quicken this process with software that can teach underwater drones to identify new types of mines in a matter of days. “Mine-hunting used to be a job for ships,” Thomas Robinson, Domino’s chief operating officer, said in an interview with Reuters. “It’s becoming a job for AI. The Navy is paying for the platform that lets it train, govern, and field that AI at a speed required for contested waters that block global trade and imperil sailors.”
Last week, the U.S. Navy awarded the up to $99.7 million contract to expand Domino’s role as the AI backbone of the Navy’s Project AMMO - Accelerated Machine Learning for Maritime Operations - a program to make underwater mine detection faster, more accurate, and less dependent on human sailors. The software integrates data from multiple sensor types, including side-scan sonar and visual imaging systems, and allows the Navy to monitor how well various AI detection models are performing in the field, identify failures, and push corrections to improve performance. The core of Domino’s pitch - and the Navy’s wager - is speed. Before the company’s involvement, updating the AI models that power the Navy’s unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) to recognize new or previously unseen mines could take up to six months. Domino says it has cut that cycle to days. Robinson illustrated the relevance to the Middle East crisis: “If there were UUVs in the Baltic Sea trained on Russian mines, and then they needed to be deployed to the Strait of Hormuz to detect Iranian mines, with Domino’s technology, the Navy could be ready in a week rather than a year.” A Navy spokesman was not immediately able to provide comment.
Norway informed it may face weapons delivery delays from US
Norway’s MOD has been formally notified by US authorities that delays in the delivery of American weapons “may occur,” the ministry said on Friday.
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Norway has been informed by Washington that it may face delays on deliveries of American-made weapons, Breaking Defense has learned. “Norway has been contacted by US authorities, who have informed that delays may occur, but it is emphasized that no decision has been made,” the ministry’s spokesperson Brage Berglund wrote in an email to Breaking Defense when asked about possible delays. The development comes against the backdrop of the ongoing war in the Middle East, which experts US lawmakers say is putting a strain on American stockpiles. The Norwegian statement today aligns with similar warnings received by other Nordic and Baltic nations. Yesterday, the EU’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kaja Kallas, confirmed that several countries in the region are facing delays in weapons deliveries from the United States. “There is no swift exit from the stand-off in the Strait of Hormuz in sight. And the consequences are negative across the board. The global economy is reeling. Russia is gaining fresh revenue from higher oil prices and US weapons deliveries to Nordic and Baltic countries face delays, “ Kallas said.
The statement was made after the Nordic-Baltic (NB8) foreign ministers’ meeting in Kuressaare, Estonia. Kallas did not specify whether all Nordic and Baltic countries were affected by the delays, nor did she receive any follow-up questions on the statement. Earlier this week, Helsinki and Tallinn also publicly acknowledged delays in defense deliveries due to the war in the Middle East. Finnish President Alexander Stubb said that some US stockpiles are being delivered elsewhere, but he did not view this as alarming for Finland, according to Reuters. Estonia had already reported earlier setbacks, particularly in the delivery of US-made HIMARS systems. In mid-April, the country’s public broadcaster ERR reported that the delays in US defense deliveries mainly affect ammunition for the rocket launcher system, some of which was scheduled to arrive this year. Norwegian officials declined to specify to Breaking Defense which weapon systems might be affected or provide any timeline for the possible delays. And it is unclear which other countries in the region may be impacted.
During an April 9 interview in Washington, following the Reuters report, Sweden’s Defense Minister Pål Jonson told Breaking Defense that Stockholm had received no notification from the US about possible delays under the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) program. In response to an April 21 follow-up email, the minister told Breaking Defense that Sweden had “not received any notification of delivery delays” for FMS programs. In response to a follow-up question today from Breaking Defense, the ministry’s acting spokesperson Jan Joel Andersson, said the ministry “has no further comment to add on this issue.” Denmark’s Ministry of Defense has previously declined to comment on possible delays, replying “no comment” when asked by Breaking Defense one week ago. The ministry has not responded to Breaking Defense’ follow-up question today. A potential slowdown of arms — especially arms that have already been paid for — is likely to sit uneasily with Nordic and Baltic allies, many of whom have significantly increased defense spending at Washington’s request and rely heavily on US equipment to bolster their security amid heightened tensions in Europe due to Russia’s war on Ukraine.
Nationwide USA Gas Prices: 5/2Gasoline up 4 cents today. Diesel up 5
Gasoline $4.433
Yesterday Avg. $4.392
Week Ago Avg. $4.086
Diesel $5.627
Yesterday Avg. $5.572
Week Ago Avg $5.465
This is the fifth day in a row of a new wartime high
Current Gas Record: $5.016 on 6/14/22
Current Diesel Record: $5.816 on 6/19/22
People at NOAA aggregating the different ENSO models have finally expanded the Y axis on the chart. Still looking like a monster El Nino is coming.
A recent leak has brought to light the existence of a political and media cell associated with Trumpism, funded by Honduran government structures, aimed at destabilizing both Gustavo Petro’s administration in Colombia and Claudia Sheinbaum’s in Mexico, as well as the Latin American left.
A collection of audios obtained by Diario Red revealed discussions between former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández—who was convicted of drug trafficking in the United States and later pardoned by the Donald Trump administration—and the current president of the Central American nation, Nasry Asfura, along with his vice president, María Antonieta Mejía.
The recordings detail the formation of a communication team funded with Honduran public resources and contributions from the government of Argentine president Javier Milei, totaling over half a million dollars. The objective is to “strike media blows” against the progressive leaders in the region.
The geopolitical context, characterized by the competition between China and the United States over critical minerals and supply chains, helps explain why Washington resorts to local operators like Hernández to hinder the advance of the Latin American left.
In one of the most revealing audios, dated January 30, 2026, Hernández instructs Asfura from the United States: “I need you to send about 150 thousand dollars to Rosales’ account […] because here we are going to rent an apartment and set up an office for a digital journalism unit. Someone else from here will handle it, from the team of the President of the United States. Well, he is from the Republicans who are helping us. They are going to set up a news site where important information about Manuel Zelaya and Xiomara Castro will be released.”
Asfura responds by offering additional transfers from “a friend’s” account, including resources from the Social Security Institute (INSEP). According to the conversations, the operation included a call between Hernández and Milei, who allegedly committed 350 thousand dollars to execute the destabilizing actions.
The dialogue reveals that Hernández informs Asfura the news site would operate as an informative cell based in the United States to avoid being tracked in Honduras. The aim is not only to attack Xiomara Castro’s government but also to prepare “files” against Mexico (Sheinbaum) and Colombia (Petro).
“Files against Mexico are coming, files against Colombia, and most importantly against Honduras, specifically against the Zelaya family,” states the former Honduran president in the recording.
In another call with Vice President Mejía, Hernández reiterates the need for liquidity to set up an office with support from political actors of the Republican Party in the United States, aiming to “attack and eradicate the cancer of the left” throughout Latin America. Mejía, who requests “details to be omitted” to leave no traces, confirms the management of 300 thousand dollars.
“I will handle all the arrangements, so 300 thousand dollars,” she indicates in the audio.
Beyond the media war, this leak reveals an ambitious plan for territorial reconversion of Honduras into a strategic enclave for the United States. The agreements include the expansion of Employment and Economic Development Zones (ZEDES), the construction of a new military base in Roatan, similar to Soto Cano Air Base (Palmerola)—operated by Southern Command since 1982—and a Center for the Confinement of Terrorism (CECOT) in Tegucigalpa, emulating the repressive Salvadoran model.
In a voice note from February 10, 2026, Asfura informs Hernández that a group of investors has already greenlit these projects, including a transoceanic train to be awarded to General Electric, deliberately excluding Canada and China. “The Chinese were bidding. But we are not going to give in,” he asserts.
Violence as a tool of control is mentioned unequivocally. In a message directed to Tomás Zambrano, president of the Honduran National Congress, Hernández conveys a directive attributed to U.S. President Donald Trump: “In Honduras, strength is needed, logistics are needed, blood is needed. If you want to keep people controlled, you need to oppress them. Squeeze them. Counter violence by generating violence. It’s what President Trump says.”
Hernández even references the infamous Colombian drug lord Pablo Escobar: “Don’t be so soft […] So said Pablo Escobar.”
Meanwhile, Romeo Vásquez Velásquez—who led the 2009 coup against former Honduran president Manuel Zelaya—appears to be coordinating with the Armed Forces “to start the hunt.”
Another pillar of the strategy is the cultural battle waged from evangelical churches. According to the audios revealed by Diario Red, Hernández instructs Zambrano to align all religious congregations so that “people forget the past. And that they think it was the left who did that.”
“In Honduras, evangelicals have already mobilized their parishioners in massive marches against Xiomara Castro’s government, such as the one summoned in August 2025 under the slogan ‘for peace and in defense of democracy’ in coordination with the Honduran Council of Private Enterprise,” the reported source notes.
This web of activities—which combines lawfare, military control of resources, violence, and religious manipulation—confirms that under Nasry Asfura’s government, Honduras has become a pawn on the chessboard for Donald Trump and his interest in regaining the hegemony lost by Washington in the Latin American region due to the defense of sovereignty undertaken by progressive governments.
Salvador Nasrallah, the liberal who bootlicked the U.S. and Israel because he believed he had won the election by thowing the socialists under the bus, and who, when the U.S. committed election fraud to elect a candidate backed by drug cartels, repeatedly whined and begged Trump and Bukele to take his side and not that of the drug cartels, has only just realized that the U.S. is against him and will not help him.
He is currently posting about the leaked audio recordings between the CIA and the drug cartels in Honduras, in which they discuss how they intended to use the army to rig the elections, and how they wanted to use Honduras and Argentina as testing grounds to see how they would attack Mexico and Colombia’s left.
Ignore what Trump says.
We can logically conclude that the US took about 5000 casualties (wounded, dead, ptsd) over the last year between the 12 day war and Ramadan war.
Edit: this 5000 would also include the soldiers whose bases in the Gulf were entirely destroyed so they have to end send them back to the US.
Anyone else who was in downtown LA for May Day wanna talk about how much of a clusterfuck that was holy shit
Russian communists observed International Workers’ Day today (the links contain one video and many pictures, the text is in Russian):
https://kprf.ru/party-live/cknews/243544.html (in Moscow, the text is a transcript of KPRF leader Zyuganov’s speech in the video)
https://kprf.ru/party-live/regnews/243565.html (in Oryol - pictures showing the crowds)
https://kprf.ru/party-live/regnews/243532.html (in Novosibirsk - more pictures showing the crowds)
