hotcouchguy [he/him]

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Joined 6 years ago
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Cake day: July 26th, 2020

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  • as well as using material evidence to support analysis instead of emotions and fears. If someone is guessing and ends up right, that isn’t a Marxist way of processing information and is almost useless in any greater analogy or strategy. If leftists on hexbear don’t enough information to know what is going on but keep seeing other leftists online perpetuating imperialist talking points “from the left,” they may adopt those perspectives and stat perpetuating them as well, including in the organizations they are in.

    I think where this discussion keeps getting stuck is trying to analyze the intentions of Delcy Rodríguez and of the government generally, which are largely unknowable outside of a small circle. We do a bit better when analyzing the concessions they’ve made to US imperialism, but the extent and the impact of them is also debated, and much of it hasn’t yet happened, so it’s difficult to know. As far as popular opinion, I would imagine most people there are presenting a united front against US imperialism, but none of us can actually read the popular mood from wherever we’re posting from. I’m sure their judgment and strategy is better than whatever we could come up with, but it’s absolutely not infallible.

    There are a few things we can absolutely say with confidence. The US is going to continue to squeeze Venezuela. Their weakening empire has meant an increased focus on exploiting and controlling Latin America, a trend very likely to continue in the med/long term. And Venezuela is not in a great position to resist this pressure militarily or economically.

    So where does this end? What can force the US to back off and at least give them some room again? Some combination of external factors like military depletion, severe economic crisis, or other “problems” taking priority might be enough. But that’s entirely outside of any of our control. The only thing they can do is movement building and preparing for popular resistance, the same things that apply to the core countries or the rest of the region. Passively trusting the existing state is not sufficient because that state is not in a position to resist effectively on it’s own, regardless of anyone’s intentions.



  • I still can’t get over the “99% Hitler” thing. It’s like saying “I understand we live under fascism, but as long as I’ve personally done the absolute minimum to make things slightly less-worst, then I can feel like I’ve done my part” and the logic kinda works for them because any% Hitler is only a threat to them emotionally. But anyone who questions the premise or takes further action beyond voting is just a massive threat to their self-conception, and needs to be silenced.

    I know this is a freezer-burnt take but apparently we’re still doing 2016 discourse so I guess it’s the place for it.






  • The only people still getting mad at the caravan are maga holdouts who just want something to be mad at, and don’t want to talk about the war or Israel or fuel prices or inflation

    Libs probably don’t even notice the attempted media spectical because they have a huge buffet of things to get mad at, so why bother with this gruel