Although miniaturization is still happening, the Moore’s Law standard of doubling the components on a semiconductor chip every two years has been broken. The implications are far-reaching and, Professor Leiserson admits, concerning, especially with the recent frenzy around generative AI and large language models (LLMs). He says, “the only way to get more computing capacity today is to build bigger, more energy-consuming machines. If we’re in an AI arms race with our adversaries, it could have a dramatically bad impact on climate.”
The biggest gain still available? More efficient software, which is the opposite direction the industry is going with the focus on slop output.
According to experts, Moore’s law haven’t been active since 2016
The biggest gain still available? More efficient software, which is the opposite direction the industry is going with the focus on slop output.
If I had a euro each time someone said Moore’s law is dead I’d go to the restaurant tomorrow…
Maybe you’re right or it’s at least a lower exponential, but it would be the first time in history.