“Demography is Destiny” has been a big belief in the past ~20 years for Dems. Basically assuming that as the Latino population becomes larger in the state, and seeing Latinos typically favor Dems in recent electoral history, Texas will eventually turn blue. And it seemed to be a decent heuristic for a time—Beta O’Dork had the strongest performance for a Dem senate candidate in decades, with a margin of 2.6 percent.
2020 onwards has shown that (shocker) Latinos will not just blindly vote blue. Cost of living in 2024 was a big big issue. But of course, cost of living is still an issue so I think there’s a real possibility we see Talerico take it in the fall as anti-incumbency comes back to bite the GOP.
I highly doubt it. Texican culture is by far one of the most susceptible to “Latin white supremacy” rhetoric, and an absolute crap ton of small business owning well respected members of the Latin community that are diehard Trump supporters, literally pulling up the ladder behind them.
That is besides the fact that Texas is basically becoming the equivalent of Arizona for retired Democrats but for Republicans. The amount of money they are burning here could be used much better to completely sew up and secure swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin, but instead they would prefer to siphon off millions of dollars on yet another Texas boondoggle, that even if it does work, will just be, at best, another Blue-Dog Democrat for them to play the Joe Manchin game with.
“Demography is Destiny” has been a big belief in the past ~20 years for Dems. Basically assuming that as the Latino population becomes larger in the state, and seeing Latinos typically favor Dems in recent electoral history, Texas will eventually turn blue. And it seemed to be a decent heuristic for a time—Beta O’Dork had the strongest performance for a Dem senate candidate in decades, with a margin of 2.6 percent.
2020 onwards has shown that (shocker) Latinos will not just blindly vote blue. Cost of living in 2024 was a big big issue. But of course, cost of living is still an issue so I think there’s a real possibility we see Talerico take it in the fall as anti-incumbency comes back to bite the GOP.
That’s when the libs break out the calipers and start talking about “machismo culture”
I highly doubt it. Texican culture is by far one of the most susceptible to “Latin white supremacy” rhetoric, and an absolute crap ton of small business owning well respected members of the Latin community that are diehard Trump supporters, literally pulling up the ladder behind them.
That is besides the fact that Texas is basically becoming the equivalent of Arizona for retired Democrats but for Republicans. The amount of money they are burning here could be used much better to completely sew up and secure swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin, but instead they would prefer to siphon off millions of dollars on yet another Texas boondoggle, that even if it does work, will just be, at best, another Blue-Dog Democrat for them to play the Joe Manchin game with.