My sources for the preamble come mostly from here, here, and here.
The thread image depicts Kenyan police, trained by the Zionist entity, in a meeting with President Ruto before being sent to Haiti, sourced from this article.
As has been planned for the last couple years, foreign police officers have been inside Haiti for a few months now. It will surprise nobody to learn that this has not gone very well. Gangs continue to control much of the country, and violence has continued in the form of massacres and forced relocations (approximately 1.3 million). Something like 80% of the capital, Port-au-Prince, is under the control of one gang or another.
The aim by the US was to import 2500 police officers to Haiti from a wide variety of countries. One of those was Kenya; President Ruto had to fight his own country’s courts to force this through, and ironically is now apparently considering withdrawing those officers once the UN mandate expires on October 2nd. The issue here is not only the limited manpower (Haiti has a population of 12 million), but also very pedestrian things, like the fact that the officers who arrive don’t even speak the language.
The situation in Haiti appears to be a fairly standard operation of American national control, in which both battling sides are being supported by the US in order to create maximum disorganization and prevent a coherent political force from arising and thus threatening their Caribbean interests. While the US funds foreign forces to arrive in Haiti to “control the situation” or similar justifications, the Haitian gangs get their weapons smuggled in from the US itself. That this is happening alongside escalations against Venezuela is obviously not a coincidence - in a world in which American interests are being gradually shrugged off, and where the American state military is becoming rapidly more impotent and unable to dissuade and defeat even tiny states like Yemen, total imperial dominion of their immediate surrounding territory must be ensured by any means necessary.
The police and the gangs are likely designed to be mutually reinforcing, without even much kayfabe of fighting each other. As an example, once the Kenyan police arrived, they immediately began brutalizing anti-government protestors instead of focussing on gang activity. They were trained by the Zionist entity, after all.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Question for newsheads: a few months ago the UK supreme Court made an antitrans ruling . How have UK organizations and laws changed in the wake of this ruling?
Reuters with some pictures of civilian weapon training by
Article about Nasrallah. The most interesting parts are when the article compared Hezbollah as an organization with the Bolsheviks:
https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/where-religion-meets-socialism--the-legacy-of-sayyed-hassanokay, I didn’t manage to get the unpaywalled article with the archivers I used, but just the starting excerpt made be do a spit-take https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/pentagon-ai-weapons-delay-0f560d7e
U.S. Military Is Struggling to Deploy AI Weapons
The work is being shifted to a new organization, called DAWG
HUH?!
, to accelerate plans to buy thousands of drones
An ambitious Pentagon plan to field thousands of cutting-edge drones to prepare for a potential conflict with China has fallen short of its goal, and the military has struggled to figure out how to use some of the systems in the field, according to people familiar with the matter. The effort, launched two years ago as a way to quickly buy low-cost autonomous weapons to counter China’s growing military capabilities, is now being shifted to a new organization over concerns it isn’t moving fast enough, the people said.
I guess the spirit of
lives on
I can’t even find out what DAWG stands for, “Deputy Secretary’s Advisory Working Group” potentially but I feel like the A has to be something AI-related?
Some Sino-Russian military cooperation? Of course this article is fearmongering about Taiwan (and the RUSI report is further fearmongering about China cooperating with Russia), but it’s interesting to see such equipment buys given that Chinese industry should, if anything, be way more capable than Russia (and not be busy currently fulfilling orders for an actual war), and actually has analogues for some of these - they have airborne IFVs of the BMD style, although more in line with the earlier BMD-2 in being armed with just a 30mm autocannon rather than the 100mm cannon + 30mm autocannon combo of the BMD-4, but they do have another bigger vehicle already using that armament - the ZBD-04 (which is more so their BMP-3 equivalent). Chinese industry could probably come up with a domestic solution, but maybe getting Russian gear (and setting up licensed production, or potentially using it as a basis/inspiration for further domestic designs, as China has of course done with Soviet/Russian gear previously) was just seen as more expedient.
China’s Secret Purchase of Russian BMD-4s, Sprut Tanks Poses Threat to Taiwan
Although China has a huge army of about 2 million personnel that it can arm on its own, Beijing secretly bought from Russia a set of airborne equipment sized to equip an enhanced airborne battalion, and also trained a full complement of Chinese troops to operate it. The procurement deal was signed in 2023 and became known after leaked correspondence obtained by the hacker group Black Moon; the analysis of roughly 800 pages of material was carried out by the British Royal United Services Institute(RUSI).
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The procurement deal was signed in 2023 and became known after leaked correspondence obtained by the hacker group Black Moon; the analysis of roughly 800 pages of material was carried out by the British Royal United Services Institute(RUSI). According to that information, China purchased:
- 37 BMD-4M infantry fighting vehicles (airborne);
- 11 Sprut-SDM1 light amphibious tanks;
- 11 BTR-MDM Rakushka armored personnel carriers;
- several command-and-staff vehicles produced by NPP Rubin;
- several mobile artillery command posts Reostat;
- a number of Orlan-10 UAVs;
- parachute systems Dalnolyot.
All the equipment is to be fitted with Chinese communications gear. Technical documentation for independent maintenance and modernization of the weapons and equipment is being transferred as well. In other words, China will have more than enough information to reverse-engineer and copy the hardware if it chooses. That raises the obvious question: why would China need to buy equipment from Russia? As Defense Express noted RUSI’s material notes the structure of the People’s Liberation Army Airborne Corps: five airborne brigades, one air-assault brigade, one special-forces brigade, plus a transport (helicopter) brigade, an attack-helicopter regiment and a support brigade.
However, the inventory of dedicated tracked airborne vehicles is relatively small only about 180 ZBD-03 airborne IFVs and some quantity of CS/VN3 wheeled vehicles. China’s airborne troops are even lighter than Russia’s VDV, with an emphasis on helicopter insertion. By contrast, the BMD-4M is armed with a 100 mm gun paired with a 30 mm cannon, and the Sprut is effectively a light tank with a 125 mm gun. That represents a significant increase in firepower. The mention of the Dalnolyot parachute is also notable this is a winged parachute designed for special-operations units that, in favorable conditions, can glide up to some 60 km. All the purchased Russian equipment is intended to be air-dropped from Il-76 transport aircraft. China has roughly 75 strategic transport aircraft in this class (about 20 Il-76 plus 55 Y-20s). RUSI estimates that deploying this package by air would require some 35 Il-76-class sorties about half of China’s available fleet.
Taken together, this can reasonably be viewed as a noteworthy enhancement of China’s airborne assault capabilities a capability that is integral to vertical maneuver operations, where seaborne forces conduct a landing while airborne troops seize key rear objectives and fix or disrupt the enemy. By training Chinese troops in Russia, Beijing also obtained operational know-how for using airborne formations and the tools needed to employ them. In effect, Russia sold China a ready-made turnkey airborne capability.
some further details from the RUSI report directly:
The agreements also require Russia to train a battalion of Chinese paratroopers in employing the equipment. Armoured vehicle drivers will be trained at the Kurganmashzavod base, and the crews of KMN command and observation vehicles and Sprut anti-tank guns will be trained in Penza at JSC NPP Rubin. After completing courses on training equipment and simulators, the collective training of the Chinese airborne battalion will be carried out at training grounds in China. Here, Russian instructors are to prepare the battalion for landing, fire control and manoeuvring as part of an airborne unit. The Russians are also transferring Rheostat airborne artillery command and observation vehicle and Orlan-10 multi-purpose unmanned aerial vehicles. A Centre for Technical Maintenance and Repair of Russian Equipment will be established in China, to which all necessary technical documentation will be transferred. This will allow China to undertake the production and modernisation of these capabilities in the future.
Implications
… If the People’s Liberation Army Air Force, supported in a Joint Firepower Campaign, can successfully suppress Taiwanese air defences, then air manoeuvre offers the fastest means of transferring combat power onto Taiwan, and spreading operations across an expanded area. Helicopters offer the most flexible means of deploying troops, but light infantry, unsupported by armour and fires, will necessarily struggle to hold their objectives against a mechanised adversary, as Russian airborne troops found to their detriment at Hostomel. The capacity to airdrop armour vehicles, therefore, on golf courses, or other areas of open and firm ground near Taiwan’s ports and airfields, would allow air assault troops to significantly increase their combat power and threaten seizure of these facilities to clear a path for the landing of follow-on forces. It should also be noted that an attempt to seize Taiwan would likely see fighting erupt throughout the South China Sea, creating a requirement for the PLA to project combat power further afield. In the initial phases of war air manoeuvre could allow the PLA to move airborne forces with organic firepower and mobility to critical terrain beyond Taiwan, securing airfields or other infrastructure that could otherwise support US operations to counter the PLA amphibious landings on Taiwan. In short, an expanded air manoeuvre capability gives the PLA a diversity of options for rapid power projection.
…
The greatest value of the deal to the PLA, however, is most likely in the training and the procedures for command and control of airborne forces, as Russia’s airborne forces have combat experience, while the PLA does not. The requirement for a battalion’s worth of equipment – with an expanded number of C2 platforms – likely speaks to the desire to conduct battalion scale collective training, and since the Russians are to deliver it, this must be conducted on Russian vehicles. The deal also reflects the growing military-industrial co-operation between Russia and the PRC over the course of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Something interesting to note, as a an alternative to the “THEY’RE GOING TO INVADE TAIWAN
” interpretation - part of the reason why the Soviets developed such a heavily-armed airborne force in the first place (most militaries have no equivalents, the Americans tried getting airborne tanks to work for a while but it mostly didn’t work out, the French has some armored cars like this, although they’re more-so air-liftable than actually air-droppable, and the Germans are probably the closest with their Wiesels), was to facilitate far-away deployments of troops that were somewhat hardier than just regular infantry (which is all you can really do as a quick response force otherwise). They also had more conventional “WW3 in Europe” uses in mind (there’s a Glantz book about the VDV more broadly), but they had realized, especially after the Cuban Missile Crisis, that they just didn’t have a lot of power projection capability away from Europe.
One usage of airborne troops that people often don’t think of is actually political - deploying troops to a country can be used as a demonstration of support, and to signal your willingness to fight over it, particularly by having them serve as a tripwire force in case that country is under threat of invasion - basically saying to the prospective invader “you’ll inevitably end up fighting some of our troops, and drag us into the war - do you really want that?”. And the fastest way to do that is, of course, by plane. There’s a funny example of this from Yes, Minister (a comedy show, but it just happens to be a great illustration of this exact case). But anyway, increasing airborne forces could instead be an indication of the PRC seeking this kind of capability (although currently I don’t think they really have any prospective faraway allies for which this could actually come up).
cont’d just a little bit in a comment, since I ran out of the char limit
Air Force AI writes battle plans faster than humans can — but some of them are wrong
In a recent Air Force experiment, AI algorithms generated attack plans about 400 times faster than human staff, a two-star general told reporters here at the Air Force Association’s Air, Space and Cyber conference. The catch? Not all the AI-generated plans would actually work.
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The challenge in the exercise, called DASH-2, was to come up with detailed “Courses Of Action” (COAs) for how to strike a given set of targets with a given set of aircraft and weapons, explained Maj. Gen. Robert Claude, a member of the joint Air Force/Space Force team for the Advanced Battle Management System (ABMS). Human staff using traditional methods generated three COAs in about 16 minutes, Claude said, while AI tools generated 10 COAs in “roughly eight seconds.” Some quick math averages those rates out: The AI generated 1.25 COAs every second, the humans generated one COA every 5.3 minutes. That’s a 400-fold difference in speed. That’s radically faster than in the inaugural experiment in the series, this summer’s DASH-1, where the Air Force claimed AI sped up planning “seven-fold” — without making any more mistakes than humans. But not all AIs are created equal, and the best-laid plans of mice, men and machines oft go awry.
In DASH-2, Claude said, “while it was much more timely and there were more COAs generated [by AI than humans], they weren’t necessarily completely viable COAs.” While he didn’t go into details, he said the errors were not blatant but subtle: more along the lines of failing to factor in the right kind of sensor for specific weather conditions, rather than trying to send tanks on air missions or put glue on pizza. (Of course subtle errors are harder to catch and require more expertise for a human to correct.) The lesson, Claude said: “What is going to be important going forward is, while we’re getting faster results and we’re getting more results [from AI], there’s still going to have to be a human in the loop for the foreseeable future to make sure that they’re all viable [and] to make the decision.”
That said, Claude was confident future iterations of AI planning aides can get that error rate back down. The name DASH stands for “Decision Advantage Sprint for Human-Machine Teaming,” and as both “dash” and “sprint” imply, the emphasis was on speed, with the participating software development teams having just two weeks to build custom planning tools. “It’s all, obviously, in how they build the algorithm. You’ve got to make sure that all the right factors are included,” Claude said. “In a two-week sprint, you know, there’s just not time to build all that in with all the checks and balances.” That’s an acceptable tradeoff for a quick experiment to explore the art of the possible, not for a deployed military system. “If we pursue this route, if we do this for real,” he said, “it’s going to be longer than a two-week coding period.” The third and final DASH of the year is already underway at the ominously named Shadow Operations Center — Nellis in Las Vegas. “I was actually out for the beginning of DASH-3 last week,” Claude said.
westerners just can’t help themselves when it comes to coming up with evil-sounding names
also nice job doing a Call of Duty bit IRL (https://callofduty.fandom.com/wiki/Shadow_Company)
The general was powerfully struck by how much incoming information the Air Force planners in the exercise, known as battle managers, had to cope with. “They sat me in front of a scope and it was an eye-opening experience for me to see … from a battle manager standpoint, what it is they go through,” he said. “If we successfully get to the point where we’ve got a good human-machine team arrangement, how valuable that could be.”
China launches sweeping probe into Mexican tariffs as trade war widens FT
Beijing has warned third countries against bowing to Donald Trump’s pressure to curb Chinese exports
China has launched a sweeping probe into Mexico’s imposition of tariffs and other trade restrictions on its exports, as the global fallout from US President Donald Trump’s trade war widens.
The investigation, which was accompanied by an anti-dumping probe into Mexican pecan nut exports to China, marked one of Beijing’s most significant actions to deter third countries from co-operating with Washington’s efforts to curb Chinese trade.
China’s commerce ministry said late on Thursday that a Mexican proposal to “increase import tariffs on products from non-free trade partners such as China . . . will seriously damage the trade and investment interests of Chinese companies”.
It said Mexico’s tariffs would be investigated under a Chinese law aimed at maintaining the “foreign trade order”. Mexico this month announced that it would slap a 50 per cent tariff on Chinese cars, part of a bill that proposed levies on about 1,400 products, from textiles to steel, that will apply to all countries with which Mexico does not have a trade deal.
The proposed Mexican tariffs on China come ahead of a scheduled review next year of the North American trade deal between the US, Mexico and Canada. Mexico, which is the world’s biggest buyer of Chinese cars, is under increasing pressure from Washington to crack down on China’s growing influence in its economy.
Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum played down the geopolitical tensions, saying this month that she was not seeking a conflict with China and presenting the tariffs as designed to support domestic industry.
…
China’s commerce ministry said its probe would cover not only the latest Mexican tariffs but also “other trade and investment restrictive measures implemented by Mexico in recent years involving China”.
Mexico has said it would set up a national security investment screening mechanism similar to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US, a move widely seen as targeting Chinese investment for scrutiny.
Beijing, meanwhile, has limited direct leverage on Mexico through trade. Mexico exported $5.7bn worth of goods to China last year, compared with $115bn of imports from China.
A number of Mexican industries, including textiles and shoe manufacturers, have complained about unfair competition from low-cost Chinese importers.
But Beijing has shown that it can apply significant force on other countries through indirect measures, such as controls on rare earths exports, or by targeting politically sensitive industries such as pork exporters in Europe.
The mercantilistic fight among the developing countries will continue until they figured out who can replace the US consumer market since everyone wants to run trade surpluses against each other.
This will weaken the Global South export-oriented economies, unable to compete against China’s vast industrial output at higher quality and lower cost, and render them vulnerable to harvest by American financial capital.
Trump is unfortunately right… the US is the world’s number one consumer market, and the threat of losing access to that export market will continue to intensify mercantilistic warfare among the Global South countries until everyone loses.
China has to replace that consumer market. This will require China to give up its net exporter status, and to unleash its 1.4 billion consumer market. Doing so would require raising the income and providing social safety nets and jobs guarantee to the Chinese working class. And this will require China to give up its neoliberal ideology. The time to transition into the next phase of socialism was probably a decade ago, but it is still not too late. Adapt or the world dies.
The Russian MIG pilot(s) who violated Estonian airspace apparently just waved at the Italian F-35’s who intercepted the jet.
After the Russians apparently didn’t or “rarely” responded to their radio, the Italian pilots resort to using their hands to convey messages to the Russians. The Italian waves his hand forward to signal the MIG to follow it. The MIG pilot just waves at the F-35 jet briefly and then continues to fly unfazed. To repeat his message, the Italian rocks the plane alternately to the right and left. The Russian rocks himself in return.
F-35C Failed to Replace F/A-18 Super Hornet, That Will Keep Flying Until 6th-Generation Jets Arrive
U.S. Navy is extending the service life of its F/A-18 Super Hornets, which must remain in service until sixth-gen fighters arrive
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Boeing has received an additional $198 million under the U.S. Navy’s F/A-18 Super Hornet modernization program. The goal is to extend the service life of these carrier-based fighters until a sixth-generation replacement arrives, something the fifth-generation F-35C has not managed to achieve. As part of the program, the service life of Block II Super Hornets will be extended from 6,000 to 10,000 flight hours, significantly prolonging their operational use. The upgrades will also include integration of Block III capabilities. It’s worth noting that this allocation does not provide new funding directly but instead raises the ceiling of the existing contract by $198 million. Future task orders will be signed under this expanded limit for specific upgrade work. Today, the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet remains the backbone of the Navy’s carrier air wings, with over 400 aircraft in service and more still on order. They are already being equipped with the latest weapons, including the long-range AIM-174B air-to-air missile.
Still, the Super Hornet is a 4+ generation fighter. Despite its strong capabilities, it lags behind newer designs, while the F-35C despite solid production rates still makes up only a fraction of the Navys fleet. The long-term solution is expected to come from the next-generation F/A-XX program, for which funding has been secured. However, questions remain about when the aircraft will be ready and how quickly it can be produced in sufficient numbers. Until then, the Navy will continue to modernize the Super Hornet fleet, and further contract expansions are highly likely to ensure incremental improvements. Block III enhancements include the extended 10,000-hour service life, greater range, reduced radar signature, upgraded avionics, and a redesigned cockpit featuring a large touchscreen display. The package also adds improved AN/APG-79 radars, the IRST Block II infrared search and track system, and the IDECM (Integrated Defensive Electronic Countermeasures) suite.
You know today I just realized I somehow missed the Kony2012 hype when it happened and only heard about it in passing. Finally decided to find out what it was about and the whole thing is crazy. A youtube video somehow led to people pressuring the US to send troops to Uganda and Angelina Jolie offered the ICC to be a honeypot trap to capture Kony. Best part is that Kony and the LRA were already pushed out of Uganda long before the film had even been made.
The United States Department of State has said it will revoke the visa of Colombian President Gustavo Petro, citing his “reckless and incendiary actions”.
“Earlier today, Colombian president stood on a NYC street and urged U.S. soldiers to disobey orders and incite violence,” the department said in a post on X.
Petro, in New York for the United Nations General Assembly, told a crowd outside the UN headquarters: “I ask all the soldiers of the army of the United States not to point their guns at people. Disobey the orders of Trump. Obey the orders of humanity!”
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Hegseth’s mysterious meeting with generals will focus on grooming and warrior ethos
Here we were thinking that they were preparing for global war or thermonuclear conflict. Turns out it’s likely just going to be a bunch of dumb bullshit and a waste of everyone’s time
An interesting video report was posted today regarding US and Japanese officials’ ties to the Moonies cult: