An excellent article that should be read widely, particularly by politicians. The facts exposed should make it very clear what needs to be done and not wriggled out of. It looks at two communities, in Melbourne and in outer Brisbane.
I hope the Greens hone in on the findings of the report described in the article.
The new Australian Resilience Index… draws on two million data points to measure how well Australians can withstand and recover from a shock, across more than 2,000 local communities. It looks at health, finances, social connection and the physical environment people live in. The single strongest driver of overall resilience is financial wellbeing. Right behind it sits health. Whether you can absorb a rate rise, a lost shift or a diagnosis in the family matters more to how secure you are across all these key measurements.
More than one in five Australians now live in communities of significant vulnerability. These are households with no buffer. When something goes wrong, there is nothing between them and real hardship, and it should come as no surprise that where we find vulnerability, we find political volatility.
At RedBridge, we have matched the index against our May federal MRP, seat by seat across all 150 electorates. The result is one of the clearest relationships I have seen in this work. An electorate’s health resilience explains 63 per cent of the variation in the One Nation vote on its own. Fifty of the 53 seats One Nation is projected to win sit in the bottom three-fifths of the country on health. Not one sits in the top fifth. The average One Nation seat has five hospitals within 15 kilometres. The average Labor or Coalition seat has 38.
That is the national picture. But the real value of this data is what it shows at the level of individual communities, and what that tells political parties about the mistakes they keep making.
“The average One Nation seat has five hospitals within 15 kilometres. The average Labor or Coalition seat has 38.”
Someone is clearly from a capital city, and needs to go on a road trip sometime to touch some grass (and red dirt).
“The average One Nation seat has five hospitals within 15 kilometres. The average Labor or Coalition seat has 38.”
Those numbers seem ridiculously large. What’s their methodology?
No idea, I grew up in a large town (now a city) approx 400km from the nearest capital city. We had 1 hospital, with the nearest other one being 50km away, and really, really small.
It’s simpler and more honest to just say: only racists vote for one nation.
It did seem like a lot to me too. Here’s the ARI document: https://www.zurich.com.au/latest-news/australian-resilience-index
The Australian Resilience Index was produced by Zurich, Mandala Partners, RedBridge and Accent Research. It draws upon four individual indexes: health resilience, financial resilience, social resilience and environmental/climate resilience. Each of these indexes use a combination of proprietary and public datasets
As for the Redbridge May MRP, we won’t know unless we contact them (not sure what MRP stands for - R for research I imagine, M for management, P for political?)
Yup. I’ll give you a lived example of the situation some small towns are in. The one next to the one that I live in has no GP, no public transport and the nearest general hospital is 45km away (60km from where I live, but we do have a GP clinic and some limited public transport) These towns have a large proportion of older people, many of which are in poor health.
Or just all of WA outside of Perth (the hospital count/distance), most likely not that different in much of SA, NT, NSW, QLD, Tasmania, and a large part of Vic ie: Australia.
I read the article. I don’t see how One Nation is going to change any of that.
That’s the neat part - they don’t have to. They only have to stoke and then bathe in grievance.
And when they do actually get elected, there’s only infighting. Fuck Pauline, and fuck any moron that votes for her party for any reason. If only the major parties weren’t also fucking useless. It wouldn’t be hard for Labor to not suck, but they can’t even attain that level.
And there in lies the problem.
Labor does some good, we can’t deny that, but most of it is focused around their reason for being, such as wages rises. The best they do is in regards to healthcare, they’ve done some good work here.
For all that though, there’s so much bad, stupid, inadequate, downright cruel, cynical. They don’t really offer too much to those not working. They are beholden to the lobby and are spineless to international interests hostile to us. They’re scared of the media and will not act to fix it. They engage in jobs for the boys, also do dodgy deals with big business…they don’t work for us and haven’t for a long time.
They are inaccessible. They screen themselves with a wall of spokespeople and PR.
This has been going on for a while too, it’s eroded trust along with what the Coalition have done.
Why do we target Labor more harshly? Because it’s supposed to be the progressive option and we expect better. To be that party, it has todo more than just look after its base.
Furthermore, their system of decision making in caucus, not on the floor of parliament, is a flaw and unsuited to modern politics. It means they decide for their party, not Australians.
It’s been coming for a while.
Labor have sucked since Goff.
but voters do have to shoulder blame, they keep loving the Overton Window the wrong way.
I reckon a lot of people don’t think that far. They are just fed up with the worsening conditions and voting against the duopoly is their revenge. The trouble, as we know, is that the PHONeny party is even worse.
I reckon a lot of people don’t think at all. It’s all emotional responses, and Hanson and other grifters like her prey on that.
dissatisfaction and and spite is pretty much the only way these sorts of parties get any power. They’ve got fuck all else.
If anything this suggests that the optimal move for one nation from an electoral perspective is to destroy the health of Australians
they aren’t, they will however make it worse, so there is that to look forward to /s
