So far it’s almost perfectly 50/50 yes/no, with every district voting No at a 60% majority except the capital region, which receives two administrative districts due to its (relatively) enormous population. Reykjavik votes 55% in favor and thus outweighs the rest of the country combined.

If the referendum passes, Iceland must first devise the EU agreement, then pass it in parliament as a constitutional amendment. Then, following a general election, the new parliament must pass the agreement again for it to become law.