The comparison to the suez crisis is very compelling, but also like… that was the UK and France, who were being pressured by the US and USSR to pull out. This invasion is being lead by the US, which has no larger superpower looming behind it to pressure it to leave, so ALL of the onus is on Iran to actually win.
I think, in this case, the pressure will be economic. As US allies in Europe and Asia start crashing, that’s going necessarily drag the US down as well. The war is incredibly unpopular domestically, and if it leads to a big recession then there’s going to be a pressure from domestic capitalists to wind the war down.
The comparison to the suez crisis is very compelling, but also like… that was the UK and France, who were being pressured by the US and USSR to pull out. This invasion is being lead by the US, which has no larger superpower looming behind it to pressure it to leave, so ALL of the onus is on Iran to actually win.
I think, in this case, the pressure will be economic. As US allies in Europe and Asia start crashing, that’s going necessarily drag the US down as well. The war is incredibly unpopular domestically, and if it leads to a big recession then there’s going to be a pressure from domestic capitalists to wind the war down.