I mean, Ukraine has gained the initiative over Russia (the bohdana being the change of tides) so Russia can absolutely launch a massive offensive but Ukraine can just react and exploit all the necessary corners cut elsewhere in the Russian war machine to make the offensive feasible for Russia and threaten a strategic defeat for Putin if the offensive (failed or successful) isn’t deprioritized by Russian forces.
Or translated to modern gamer; “Putin’s over extending and about to get punished”
I think from a military perspective this has already decisively happened, the politics just haven’t caught up yet and so US news (which can’t make Putin look to bad because Trump or something right?) is doing shit like reporting on a Russian drone strike as “MASSIVE RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKE OVER KIEV KILLS 14”.
Now I know the standards for journalism have dropped through the floor, foundation below and then asthenosphere and are currently running a blitz to the molten core of the earth, but if Russia wanted to actually just stage an indiscriminate massive drone attack over Kiev I think in a city population of 3 million more than 14 people would die, which isn’t saying or not saying anything about Russia’s capability or Ukraine’s capability. It is just simple math… 14 people? Why is the media ignoring this shift from full on brutal military conflict to more psychological performative displays of violence (that are still real but not mass scale) ?
I don’t want to act like Russia still won’t kill people ruthlessly, but by and large I think this war is over it is just a matter of the useless diplomats figuring out how to spin it so they don’t disturb their precious little kingdoms… and meanwhile people are still dying.
End the damn war, Ukraine won.
Why am I getting the vibe that was a bad idea on Russia’s part? They’re about to get wiped off the map.
Always terrible to see evil advancing.
D’nee-pro-peh-TROVSK
Hey, I think I’ve seen you before! Didn’t you play in the “look at all those chickens” movie? Love your work.
