

I think it’s a case of “guaranteed overthrow if we stop” vs “very likely overthrow if we continue”. So they (Putin et. al) continue, hoping for a miraculous reversal of fortune. Which is not impossible, unfortunately.
They’ve cornered themselves, and have no strategy beyond delaying the inevitable.































Translated:
April 30, 2026: Strike on the Y.M. Sverdlov Plant (Dzerzhinsk, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast)
Two AN-196 “Lyutiy” UAVs struck two production facilities manufacturing military explosives.
The Sverdlov Plant is one of the largest enterprises in the Russian defense industry in the industrial and military explosives sector. It produces TNT, hexogen, and octogen, and assembles ammunition for the army’s needs. In fact, it is the primary supplier of explosives for most of the Russian Federation’s artillery systems.
The facility was protected by three Pantsir-S1 air defense systems on embankments. Despite this, both UAVs reached their targets.
Both damaged workshops have massive containment structures—a standard protective measure for explosive production facilities that limits the spread of debris and localizes detonation. Despite this, the strikes on two separate buildings indicate a targeted attack specifically on the production infrastructure.
Workshop 1: 56.266592, 43.358641 Workshop 2: 56.266701, 43.353240
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