Overall, the survey finds that 54% of the public are “comfortable and prepared to support” Trump as president. That’s down two points from when he took office in 2016. Some 41% are not comfortable, up five points from 2016. So, despite having won the popular vote in this election compared to 2016, Trump takes office for the second time with somewhat less net support in the poll.

That’s not too surprising. I don’t think Trump’s coalition has grown much, or at all, since 2016, but I do think the coalition that elected Biden in 2020 has fractured, and that’s how Trump won a second term in 2024.