• RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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    6 hours ago

    All the vote predictions are inching to a 50 50 split. And pollsters are using AI to simulate real people and using that in their models.

    I’m curious if the split will actually be this close, but everything screams that the models are not right.

    And then the moment you see some smaller pollsters who actually did the legwork, you see deviation from the 50 50 split.

    But still… The call to vote is excellent, cause last time around some states where decided by less than 15K votes.

    • tempest@lemmy.ca
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      5 hours ago

      I’ve yet to get a clear answer on how they correct for the fact that no one answers the phone or wastes time talking to pollsters for free. I keep reading that " they take it into account" but not the methods used.

      • hydrospanner@lemmy.world
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        4 hours ago

        Agreed.

        Ultimately, polls are simply unable to account for the demographic of “doesn’t participate in advance polling”, and Anthony they attempt to do to account for that glaring weakness is guesswork.

    • emmy67@lemmy.world
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      4 hours ago

      I have yet to meet a Trump supporter who is a real person. I’m convinced they’re brain worms ina meat suit