This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.
Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level... but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.
This result isn't a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.
For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.
In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.
Don't get me wrong. It's not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is "No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years".
It's not an R v D thing. It's not even a US specific thing.
I'm not saying there is merit to the theory, but I think you're misunderstanding the story laid out by these releases. The "sides" are the rich and powerful vs everyone else. She's clearly in the "everyone else", camp, regardless of what boots she's licking.
Take the wins where you can get them, but it's worth noting the vacated seat was held by a Democrat. This isn't a flip. The district traditionally learns blue at the local/state level, as per the article.
Not trying to rain on anyone's parade, but the "oh my god those backwards Louisiana hicks actually voted for a Democrat?!" Narrative is needlessly divisive and kinda shitty. That district has been for years.
I still would want to apply pressure to it, because i disagree with the spirit of your assessment.
Once a model is trained, they become functionally opaque. Weights shift... but WHY. What does that vector MEAN.
I think wrenches are good. Will a 12mm wrench fit a 12mm bolt? Yes.
In LLM bizarre world, the answer to everything is not "yes" or "no", it's "maybe, maybe not, within statistical bounds... try it... maybe it will... maybe it won't... and by the way just because it fit yesterday is no guarantee it will fit again tomorrow... and I actually can't definitively tell you why that is for this particular wrench"
LLMs do something, and I agree they do that something well. I further agree with the spirit of most of the rest of your analysis: abstraction layers are doing a lot of heavy lifting.
I think where I fundamentally disagree is that "they do what they say they do" by any definition beyond the simple tautology that everything is what it is.
Hence my attempt to give you the space to provide clarity.
For me, this isn't a pissing contest. I'm trying to provide you with the latitude to clarify your position. I'll be honest, I didn't appreciate your condescending lecture on the english language.
I love that humans are inclined to anthropamorphize things. A door can't be sad. A street can't be lonely. The moon can't be wistful. The ocean can't be angry.
But they can... in our heads. And that's real for us.
I think that, at least at a societal level, this part of the human condition has been mostly benign. Just a little bit of spice.
LLMs seem to have short circuited that part in our brains. We can't even describe errata of a system without anthropamorphizing it
Alberta is where the resistance is coming from. There are more offices in Ontario than Alberta.
It's an interesting take, to be sure, obviously it remains to be seen. I just would expect the deployment strategy to somehow favour AB if that was the goal.