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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • It is 33% if the answer itself is randomly chosen from 25%, 50%, and 60%. Then you have:

    If the answer is 25%: A 1/2 chance of guessing right

    If the answer is 50%: A 1/4 chance of guessing right

    If the answer is 60%: A 1/4 chance of guessing right

    And 1/3*1/2 + 1/3*1/4 + 1/3*1/4 = 1/3, or 33.333…% chance

    If the answer is randomly chosen from A, B, C, and D (With A or D being picked meaning D or A are also good, so 25% has a 50% chance of being the answer) then your probability of being right changes to 37.5%.

    This would hold up if the question were less purposely obtuse, like asking “What would be the probability of answering the following question correctly if guessing from A, B, C and D randomly, if its answer were also chosen from A, B, C and D at random?”, with the choices being something like “A: A or D, B: B, C: C, D: A or D”












  • What an insightful post 🙂

    The only one of these I’ve updated since the original is the one for Ars Technica, which is now this:

    arstechnica.com##:not(:not(head>title:has-text(/Serving the Technologist/))) article:has-text(/Trump|Elon|Musk|nazi|doge|maga/i)

    The reason being that ‘Ars Technica’ now appears in the title of articles, while it didn’t originally, which caused the original filter to block out entire articles. ‘Serving the Technologist’ only appears on the homepage so this updated filter will still filter the homepage but display the contents of articles that contain blacklisted words.