☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: January 18th, 2020

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  • Last I checked this was a land war, so kind of weird to talk about great successes in Black Sea which are also rather questionable given that Russian navy still has dominance there. Meanwhile, the amount of military infrastructure Ukraine manages to blow up is minuscule, especially compared to the amount of infrastructure Russia blows up in Ukraine on regular basis.

    The war on the actual frontline is still primarily conducted by artillery which accounts for 80% of casualties. However, even in drone production, Ukraine is far outmatched by Russia which does it on industrial scale.

    The idea that Ukraine has been building up military production is frankly nonsensical because Russia is able to strike anywhere in Ukraine with impunity. This precludes Ukraine from having large military factories, and at this point Ukraine even lacks the energy infrastructure to run them because Russia has systematically dismantled it over the past three years.

    Finally, aside from having shortages of literally everything, Ukraine is running out of manpower as its army is being attrited by Russia. Even if Ukraine was able to produce weapons domestically at scale, which it cannot, there aren’t people left alive to use them.







  • Overcomplication is a feature of privatized military production because it’s far more efficient at creating profits. Making a few expensive items in artisanal fashion and then charging huge maintenance fees is how defense contractors make money. They don’t want to build large factories and hire lots of workers to produce low margin items like artillery shells. They want to build a handful of F35s and milk each one as much as they can.

    Meanwhile, the Ukrainians are entirely reliant on western weapons to fight, and are massively outgunned by Russia lacking production capacity of their own. If the US stops sending weapons to Ukraine then the war ends in a month.


















  • Given how the decoupling trial balloon went with the tariffs, I just don’t see how they plan to launch a war against China. It’s pretty clear that US economy will collapse within a couple of months. Meanwhile, I’m sure the US would love to have NATO as a disciplinary force in Europe, but you just have to look at what’s happening in Germany, France, UK, and Romania to see where things are headed. Right wing nationalists are rapidly becoming the most popular bloc in these countries and all of them are against the EU and NATO. I just don’t see how EU center can keep a lid on this going forward. Meanwhile, the trade war with the US is only making the situation worse.