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23
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464
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • They have skipped reading the ruling or the press summary and misunderstood the ruling. This is a preliminary ruling (clarification: an open judgement). Quoting from the press summary:

    The Divisional Court has today handed down its judgment, and allowed the claim on two of the four grounds of challenge.

    It indicates that the claimant had grounds to dispute the Home Secretary's measure (proscription), but the court has not yet issued relief (has not yet canceled the proscription).

    Valid grounds for challenge, one example of many:

    1. The court instead measured the interference with the Convention rights by reference to the restrictions imposed by criminal offences consequent on proscription, and also by the extent to which people would exercise self-restraint in conducting lawful activities. The court’s overall conclusion was that, even discounting Palestine Action’s non-peaceful activities, proscription did result in a very significant interference with the right to freedom of speech and the right to freedom of assembly. [116] to [124]

    1. Since the Home Secretary’s policy had not been properly applied, it follows that the interference with the right of freedom of speech and freedom of association did not meet the requirement under section 6 of the HRA that any interference with Convention rights must be prescribed by law. [125]

    Current status:

    The proscription Order remains in force until further order of the court. It therefore remains an offence: /.../

  • A "hothouse Earth" scenario can be prevented in two ways:

    1. reduction of emissions and increasing carbon uptake
    2. waiting for things to hit the fan, and then reducing the amount of sunlight arriving on Earth

    Choice 1 is obviously a dozen times more preferable. Choice 2 will be almost inevitable if making choice 1 fails, and could bring about unforeseen risks.

  • They slowed it. Blocking Telegram would start an instant s**t volcano in Russia, perhaps a bigger one than officials currently expect to contain.

  • I doubt it. Much of the same would happen with sane people in power.

    The demographic transition:

    • means longer life spans (which means that older people use resources which would be used by new generations in a pre-transition society)
    • means lower infant mortality (which means that people don't need to reproduce a lot, as their children have good chances of surviving childhood)

    Whatever additional processes are in play, likely aren't amenable to change either.

    • people have an increased tendency to have children after achieving economic certainty

    Result: some never achieve it, some achieve it when less fertile or infertile, some when their own parents already need care.

    • people have an increased tendency for solitary lifestyle

    Result: people live separately from their parents more often, and expect it as a criterion of normal life, as a result of which grandparents are less available to help with child care.

    • people have better education about their fertility

    Result: children aren't had accidentally.

    Changing some politicians seems unlikely to change that, unless a new social agreement forms. What that agreement might be, I don't know. I speculate it could be "consider having children before building a career, to enable this, very strong welfare guarantees are offered to parents raising kids".

  • My viewpoint: turning it into a carbon sink is likely true. A desert is near carbon neutral in its natural state anyway. Not much grows and not much decomposes. Adding even a bit of vegetation turns it into a carbon sink, but the number next to the minus sign will be very small, considering the total area.

    Takla Makan is big (for those acquainted with Europe, about the size of Germany). Planting great numbers of bushes, shrubs and trees along the edges and the river beds will contain its shifting and spare settlements on the edges from the nuisance, but the desert remains a desert.

    There is no need to confirm, they've published more than a bit about it. China has been working on containing the desert since 1978. A road was built across the desert more recently, in 1995, and a railway around it. They intend to drill a 11 km research hole to study the local region of the Earth's crust. They intend to produce solar power.

    Locals... well, this is Xinjiang. Locals mostly aren't Han (ethnically Chinese) but various Turkic peoples, including the seriously repressed Uyghurs. They would probably fear a mass of Han Chinese moving in more than a mass of sand, but they are most likely OK with the trees, because sand pesters them just as badly. So far, it looks like not much is happening in that part of Xinjiang, because there is not much to build an economy on. Solar power is nice, but if sand buries it, it's not so great. Currently, if you build a solar power plant to a random place in Takla Makan, there is a considerably above-zero chance of the desert burying it. Fencing it with lots of trees (irrigation needed) will allow a project to perhaps operate long enough.

  • Regarding "statutory instruments" - the UK might benefit from a constitution. Or some other document that says "only the parliament passes laws".

  • This seems very likely to be true.

  • He's the second in command of the GRU - he would be a priority target for the GUR and would not go anywhere without a bodyguard somewhere near.

    Assassins of any origin have life plans too, they don't want to be pinned down into a firefight with people who have lots of backup coming fast. The assassin did his job, which may yet prove successful, and did his best to get out fast.

  • Realistically speaking:

    • US fighters: stealthy, cost like hell, require good airfields and fancy maintenance (US assistance)
    • Swedish fighters: cheaper, not stealthy, but fire missiles that hit halfway across a state, land on straight roads, low maintenance

    If the buyer is Canada and their threat model involves Trump wanting to attack them, it's a foregone conclusion. Get Gripen, equip with Meteor, get ready to kill some tasty AWACS.

  • It is my impression that deep strike drones previously flew pre-programmed (attempting to locate the target using satnav, with some fancy versions using ground scanning lidar or machine vision).

    The problem of deep strike drones becoming remote-controlled seems recent, and Ukraine has been experiencing an increasing frequency of those since autumn. They've been attacking moving targets. One recently hit a locomotive moving on a railway, the other hit a bus full of miners.

    I don't know the background - was Starlink responsive or unresponsive, or did Ukrainians wait for a statistical curve of adoption to present itself and become certain, before asking Starlink to pull the rug.

    What is clear that Ukraine has worked out a way of registering and whitelisting their own Starlink terminals, and hasn't yet fully completed the process. Some Ukrainian units relying on small donors' Starlink dishes are still working to get theirs whitelisted. However, this likely can't be used to determine if Starlink was responsive to requests, as Ukraine would likely not start implementing a whitelist before getting a positive reply from Starlink - so the process becomes rushed for natural reasons.

    Russians have been observed cursing Musk in colorful ways. In several places, offensive operations have temporarily stopped because units had become over-reliant on Starlink, and considered Musk "their own guy".

    Next step: war of the mesh networks.

    Serhii Beskrestnov (radio amateur and now adviser to the Ukrainian defense ministry) has already pointed out that Russian drones are increasingly often providing connectivity to those that fly before them (expensive Chinese frequency hopping mesh radios have been recovered). While this dulls the edge of the swarm (the swarm has to be gradual, air defense will get time to reload) it requires Ukrainians to rework their jamming efforts and try to shoot down the relay nodes (which may be identifiable using signals intelligence). And of course, ideally, someone should talk to the Chinese companies, maybe offering to buy all the fancy mesh radios they make.

  • Besides the speculations about Israel and Russia having some relation to Epstein's "work" (which sure looks like a honeypot, even if typically the operator of a honeypot doesn't dive into honey) there is another avenue of extortion open currently.

    It is imaginable that US special services could offer people "deals" worded like:

    • "would you like your name to be redacted from, or published with the Epstein files?"

    ...and it's foreseeable that some people would do a lot to have their name redacted. I hope that in the DoJ, it's a large crew of many people doing the redactions, since that would reduce risk of someone trading favours.

  • Residents told Reuters the gunmen were jihadists who often preached in the village and that they demanded that locals ditch their allegiance to the Nigerian state and switch to sharia law. When the villagers pushed back, the militants opened fire during Tuesday’s sermon, they said.

    The motive almost certainly is power - gaining and maintaining it.

  • Jammers, jammers and ever more jammers.

    If Starlink cooperates, that's good because Ukrainian units use it for their stationary communications.

    But one also has to jam GPS, Galileo, Glonass and Beidou - and these systems cannot cooperate, they just have to be jammed.

    Drones can navigate using mobile networks: mobile operators have to prevent data traffic to a SIM card which roams too fast between base stations. Drones may read mobile network cell IDs, this has to be prevented.

    ...and finally, drones can communicate directly with ground stations far away. This too must be jammed.

    ...and then, drones can navigate using machine vision, radio direction finding or ground-sensing radar / lidar. These methods are really hard to counter, if they start using that, then it's kinetic defense only. :o

  • Sadly, the "student" (Russia) has by far exceeded the teacher (Iran) by now, and only depends on China to supply components.

    To prevent damage, one has to either:

    • prevent their navigation (success varies by week)
    • reduce Russian revenue (moderately successful, there is economic trouble in Russia)
    • negotiate with China to stop the supply of parts (so far, no success)
    • strike at assembly factories (increasingly hard, as drones can be made anywhere and factories are far)
    • strike at logistics (doable, but needs a steady stream of high quality intelligence)

    Of these avenues, I think Ukraine has been most successful at preventing navigation and reducing Russia's revenue stream by just droning them back.

  • Inara has a very good point.

    You already have other skills. You likely have other resources. What is your job in all of this? What are you capable of doing? /.../ You know what is needed in crisis? Lots of people doing the work that they're able to do.

    It is very likely that most people can accomplish a lot more peacefully. :)

    However, I would like to offer opposition on another point:

    Could it potentially become more dangerous to have it than to not have it?

    In the time of remote operated weapons stations, not really if used with caution.

  • What has never been there, can't be switched.

  • When local media released security camera footage of the couple fighting on a dark street outside it – Şebnem in a summer dress, squaring her shoulders at Bayhan – Sığın’s suspicions grew. She spoke with waiters in a nearby fish restaurant, who recalled the pair angrily leaving what was meant to be a romantic dinner there.

    /.../

    Sığın also got access to the police records, including a video they took inside the hotel room the morning after Şebnem’s death. This appears to show evidence of a clash: large spots of blood on the floor and a torn dark green-painted fingernail tangled in the bedsheet.

    Summary: Turkish police investigate so superficially that it would permit men to push women out of windows without getting charged.

    The prosecutor assigned to the case told İbrahim he was so confident Aysun had jumped 17 metres (56 feet) from her office window to her death that they would release her body for burial only if he signed a document attesting she had taken her own life. Hüsniye begged her husband not to sign and eventually a workaround was found. “The prosecutor wouldn’t say why he thought it was a suicide,” İbrahim says. “He was supposed to go to the scene, but he didn’t.”

    Summary: Turkish prosecutors sometimes refuse to review evidence and pressure people to sign statements which ease their work.

  • World News @lemmy.world

    Venezuela’s Delcy Rodríguez assured US of cooperation before Maduro’s capture

    www.theguardian.com /world/2026/jan/22/delcy-rodriguez-capture-maduro-venezuela
  • World News @lemmy.world

    IS fighters escape prison as Syria's army clashes with SDF

    www.dw.com /en/syria-sdf-kurdish-clashes-is-prisoners-escape-shaddadeh/a-75572648
  • World News @lemmy.world

    Syrian army surges into Kurdish-held towns in ‘betrayal’ shattering prospects of accord

    www.theguardian.com /world/2026/jan/18/syrian-army-surges-into-kurdish-held-towns-in-betrayal-shattering-hopes-of-accord
  • World News @lemmy.world

    75% of Americans oppose US attempting to take control of Greenland, CNN poll finds

    edition.cnn.com /2026/01/15/politics/greenland-cnn-poll
  • World News @lemmy.world

    ‘The streets are full of blood’: Iranian protests gather momentum as regime cracks down

    www.theguardian.com /world/2026/jan/11/iran-protests-gather-momentum-demonstrators-protest-movement
  • World News @lemmy.world

    New video of Renee Good's fatal encounter with ICE agent in Minneapolis

    www.reuters.com /graphics/USA-TRUMP/MINNESOTA-RECONSTRUCT/egvbbeqeevq/
  • World News @lemmy.world

    Oreshnik IRBM missile used in strike on Ukraine's Lviv, Russia says

    kyivindependent.com /russia-claims-oreshnik-missile-hits-lviv-ukraine/
  • World News @lemmy.world

    Protests Spread in Iran, and Crackdowns Escalate

    www.nytimes.com /2026/01/07/world/middleeast/iran-protest-crackdown.html
  • World News @lemmy.world

    Trump withdraws US from dozens of international organizations, White House says

    www.reuters.com /world/trump-signs-proclamation-withdrawing-international-organizations-white-house-2026-01-07/
  • World News @lemmy.world

    EU agrees to indefinitely freeze Russian assets, removing obstacle to Ukraine loan

    www.reuters.com /business/finance/eu-set-indefinitely-freeze-russian-assets-removing-obstacle-ukraine-loan-2025-12-12/
  • In Person Activism @slrpnk.net

    Dirt cheap thermal camouflage for civilians

  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Indrek Neivelt: numbrimaagia 800 miljoni euroga

    www.err.ee /1609781418/indrek-neivelt-numbrimaagia-800-miljoni-euroga
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Valminud eelnõu sideandmete kogumise kohustust sidefirmadelt veel ei võta

    www.err.ee /1609775085/valminud-eelnou-sideandmete-kogumise-kohustust-sidefirmadelt-veel-ei-vota
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    JUHTKIRI | Eesti peab jõuliselt ütlema, et selline Iisrael ei saa olla lääne liitlane

    epl.delfi.ee /artikkel/120395229/juhtkiri-eesti-peab-jouliselt-utlema-et-selline-iisrael-ei-saa-olla-laane-liitlane
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Teadlased loodavad lagritsa Eestisse tagasi tuua

    novaator.err.ee /1609760361/teadlased-loodavad-lagritsa-eestisse-tagasi-tuua
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Sünoptik eelolevast ööpäevast: kõik äiksega kaasnevad ohud on võimalikud

    www.err.ee /1609743621/sunoptik-eelolevast-oopaevast-koik-aiksega-kaasnevad-ohud-on-voimalikud
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Indrek Neivelt: regressiivne maksusüsteem on kinni jooksnud

    www.err.ee /1609743297/indrek-neivelt-regressiivne-maksususteem-on-kinni-jooksnud
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    HAISEV LUGU! Pere mängis peldikuhanke kätte kauaaegsele reformierakondlasele. Konkurent: hullem kui Mongoolias!

    www.ohtuleht.ee /1134416/haisev-lugu-pere-mangis-peldikuhanke-katte-kauaaegsele-reformierakondlasele-konkurent-hullem-kui-mongoolias
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Riik rikub massiliselt inimeste põhiõigusi: vaadatud on tuhandete inimeste pangakontosid

    www.delfi.ee /artikkel/120387917/riik-rikub-massiliselt-inimeste-pohioigusi-vaadatud-on-tuhandete-inimeste-pangakontosid
  • Eesti @lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz

    Sõõrumaa: mulle pakuti Tallinna linnapea kohta

    www.err.ee /1609731285/soorumaa-mulle-pakuti-tallinna-linnapea-kohta