Just this guy, you know?
Probability is useful because it can make predictions that can be tested against reality.
Yes. But you’d have to run the test repeatedly and see if the outcome, i.e. Clinton winning, happens as often as the model predicts.
But we only get to run an election once. And there is no guarantee that the most likely outcome will happen on the first try.
Really, we should create incentives for homes to be built with high thermal mass. Even without any sort of fancy direct heating or cooling of a thermal mass, it will store significant heat.
Welcome to traditional housing in Italy and probably elsewhere in the Mediterranean region. Thick stone walls even out the temperature swings through the day. Throw open the windows when the temperature is comfortable and close up when it gets too hot or cold depending on the season. This gets you quite far without any air-conditioning or heating.
That’s not exactly what happened. Starlink was already disabled in Crimea when the attack was launched and Musk refused to enable it specifically for the attack. Then the initial reports got a bit tangled up.
But yes, none of this should be up to Musk.
That’s just not true. Go to https://ev-database.org/ and compare the dry weight of the different models. You don’t add 66kg going from standard to long range in software.
What’s the over/under on how close that gets to being distributed before being destroyed by the most ethical army in the world?
There is also a dpkg command for that. Grep it for /bin/ and you’ve got your executable.
If I remember this correctly, the square of the error for the sum of (or difference between) two independent measurements is the sum of the squares of the individual errors. Gauss something.
That would make the error for the 8 point swing be sqrt(2×3.8²) or about 5.4. So at least the swing is significant in each state.
Also, the error for the average of 3 variables is sqrt(e1²+e2²+e3²)/3 or 2.2 so the average lead in the 3 states is significant.
But we can’t make a significant claim about the lead in each state.
Frankly eating in all the time was a net positive, I’m in the best shape of my life
Eating out is a lot better for me after I moved to Italy, so there is that. And living in Italy and having to make do with my own cooking would be Very Sad. But yeah, context matters a lot. The Italians took this stuff very seriously the first time around and vaccination rates were really high when I was neaurotically tracking it. I should look up the annual booster rate.
I don’t know where you are, but I’d be less comfortable in an air conditioned eatery in Texas than outside a restaurant in Rome (where I was at the height). And with the current numbers I should probably start avoiding crowds and recirculated air again.
I’m fine with never eating out again.
Yeah, that would be a severe degradation of life for me, so that’s a no-go unless the probabilities shift back to where they were in 2020-22ish.
Posting from a restaurant in Sardinia.
Are you waiting for something to change or will you do this for the rest of your life?
I stopped when we had as much vaccine protection as we were going to get and the virus wasn’t causing quite as severe disease any more. Forever is a long time.
Can confirm.
Source: married to journalist who counts down the hours and triple checks the time zone math to avoid this.
How about Schengen, though? Is there a mechanism for permanently expelling a member from that? Or do we have to permanently close their borders temporarily?
…which suspend their voting rights. While those rights are suspended, change the treaties so that it takes at least 3 members to veto any action of the EU.
This looks to be in the first days after the attacks on Israeli civilians, before the IDF went on their killing spree. And it’s to the equivalent of the Red Cross. That’s really not something to boycott for.
He could, if he were a normal person, mean that he won’t be able to run again if he wins this time, so people won’t have to come out to vote for him.
The EU has declared Twitter and a few others to be gate-keepers and they will now be held to a higher standard. But I don’t think the EU is going to use this power to save US democracy.
Did you know Biden is almost 1.04 times older than Trump?
There you go conflating Jews and Israel. Apart from that you have an arguable point.