• 6 Posts
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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: May 28th, 2024

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  • Pretty much. It’s hard to imagine being as delusional as these people are, to think they can simply negotiate a victory out of a military defeat. These were legitimately unacceptable conditions from the beginning that could only be imposed through force of conflict – so these sociopaths rolled the dice… and lost. But now they want to just reset and be given a free roll to try again.

    If imperialist war is policy through force, it seems to follow that the policy dies in defeat. Like… at what point are they going to accept the actual outcome?


  • Some years ago I had this Filipino neighbor who was born in the 1960s who disowned her son for marrying a Japanese person ‘because of WW2 stuff’.

    The craziest thing is how she worshiped the USA for “liberating us from the Spanish and the Japanese”. Her version of the history her country was basically Filipinos getting conquered because they were stupid and then America flying in like a angel to save them multiple times and immediately flying away. Apparently, the US never did anything bad there and my historical recollection was not warmly received.

    Also, her husband once, very drunkenly, pulled out a microphone and electric piano (which he had no idea how to play) and sang a 15+ minute song he wrote praising Duterte to “Make Philippines Great Again” (like it was under Marcos Sr). In the last 5 minutes he started crying, stopped “playing” the piano and the lyrics just became about how Trump was going to save America and the Philippines. Fuck knows how long that would have gone on if he didn’t vomit on the floor when he did.

    I don’t know why I shared that. Maybe historically coherent racism at least makes some sense? I cant even.





  • Does the Trump clique plan a war with China in the near future?

    It shouldn’t be characterized as a “Trump” objective to get into a hot war with China, those plans have been in the works for a long time, as far back as the WWII era. It’s the established plan of the American imperial core, not a single administration.

    The modern iteration of this plan traces back to Obama’s Pivot to Asia when the US think tanks and empire managers started noticing China’s economic and technological growth needed to be hampered to maintain the Wolfowitz Doctrine’s end-of-history assertion for total American global hegemony forever. My view is that the Wolfowitz Doctrine represents a subconscious understanding that capitalism’s contradictions will cause the US to collapse without unrestricted global imperialism that can only be maintained through military and economic superiority (read: oppression).

    There’s a very long story here, but I’m only going to hit on a few points.

    The Pivot To Asia set the stage for the new cold war. This resulted in the increasing US military build-up around mainland China. The US decided the best way to weaken China is to break it apart by promoting political capture, insurgency and color revolution, inside and around China. Notably with Hong Kong and Taiwan, which are both in the process of peaceful reunification after a long western occupation. There was an attempted US-backed color revolution in Hong Kong called the “Umbrella Revolution” in 2014 (Obama), then another color revolution attempt in 2019 (Trump) with the “Hong Kong Protests”. Both of which failed, thankfully.

    I’m not sure how long Taiwan’s DPP has been funded and politically captured by the US. Maybe always? The US has been provoking that situation for a long time. Just before the Taiwan Presidential elections in 2022, the Biden admin sent House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, to interfere with Taiwan’s elections in support of the DPP seperatist, Lai Ching-te, despite very strong objections (which China responded to with deploying warships in the Straight and flying PLA fighter jets over Taipei).

    After Lai Ching-te won the election (but the DPP failed to obtain a majority), Biden increased military sales to Taiwan and Taiwan is being flooded with weapons. US military fascists are training children and turning high-schools into gun ranges. In 2023 the US openly discussed bombing TSMC, one of the largest chip makers on earth, in case the US-backed separatist DPP failed. The Biden admin started making threats of nuclear war over Taiwan in 2024.

    The 2022 CHIPS Act was an act of economic warfare against China as a response to the fact that US military and tech supply chains would collapse in the event of a hot war with China, so that should also be seen as a direct preparation for war with China. The TikTok ban has been about seizing control of all social media that’s even slightly outside the control of the CIA, and to reduce empathy with Chinese folks. I think the overnight popularity of RedNote/Redbook or whatever scared them. Then there was the slew of anti-Chinese bills rushed through US congress and, of course, the Crucial Communism Teaching Act sneaking in in December 2024, which is specifically aimed at making Amerikkkan children even more racist toward Chinese people.

    The US has been re-arming Japan; turning S. Korea into a Naval hub; selling nuclear submarines and ballistic nuclear missiles to Australia; arming the Marcos Jr. regime and placing ballistic nuclear missile launchers in the Phillipines (despite the fact there are not really supposed to be any US bases in the Phillipines)…

    The US basically announced plans to invade China in 2027, in August of last year. The proxy war in Ukraine was supposed to isolate Russia and China, but had the opposite effect of moving them closer together.

    These are the deliberate actions of the imperial machine grinding forward behind a puppet show of electoralism. The contradictions of capitalism sharpen and things accelerate dangerously.

    Do you think a third world war is imminent?

    I think when you study the history of the CIA, WW3 was everything that happened between 1945 and the collapse of the Soviet Union (but even then it’s hard to delineate with Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, etc.) The US was waging war, genocide, nuclear brinksmanship, sabotage, coups, assassinations, arming/training/funding fascists and reactionaries, propping up compradors, and setting up Fifth Columns all over the world for decades. If that’s not a world war it’s only for lack of honesty.

    If this new stage of US imperialism crosses a noticeably higher threshold of depravity and destruction, it’s only for aspiring to attack a country with a nuclear arsenal and that can actually defend itself. I don’t think peer (or near-peer) combat is a necessary criteria for a world war. But in this case I fully believe China has every single advantage in such a conflict, and by a large margin. Amerikkka’s strategy seems to rest on starting as many fires as possible all at once for its “adversaries” in order to weaken them. The interesting part seeing these tactics backfire and re-align the world against the US.

    Does the US plan hot war with China? Absolutely. The real question is ‘will the US be able to position themselves confidently enough to pull the trigger on an apocalyptic war before it totally collapses?’


  • Yeah, it really is that absurd.

    As you might have guessed this formula does the most harm to poor/over-exploited/developing countries which export large amounts of cheap products to the US, but have weak consumer economies that can’t realistically support buying much from the US. This is why Viet Nam is possibly facing the worst of it, due in part to the big currency gap with the VND, but also because we have capital controls (big W) which work like a check-valve here which make it difficult for money to be sucked out of the economy.

    This is literally the reward these countries get for selling cheap coffee and rice to an empire that wants to import cheap coffee and rice because they can’t even produce it themselves. I do suspect this new trade war is a mostly a bully tactic to bring people to the table to negotiate to buy more US products, but 1) the US produces fuck all and 2) does the US really fucking think this will make Cambodian people start importing Cybertrucks? Does it not even occur to anyone in the US how unrealistic that is?

    Death to amerikkka.