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1 yr. ago

Brazilian Catholic. Autistic. I was a far-right theocrat until about 2009, when I started a gradual leftward conversion. I now sympathize with Marxism-Leninism, but am still getting up to speed with feminism and gender equality. Please have patience with this newbie.

Católico brasileiro. Autista. Eu era um teocrata de extrema-direita até aproximadamente 2009, quando iniciei uma gradual conversão à esquerda. Hoje simpatizo com o marxismo-leninismo, mas ainda estou me informando sobre feminismo e igualdade de gênero. Por favor tenham paciência com este novato.

  • I really hope this time the US recognizes its defeat before killing a million people.

  • I bet you don't watch conservative right wing media like Fox News, yet you watch CNN, New York Times and other progressive right-wing media.

  • Poor analogy. The US kills muslim people like they were rats. The secretary of offense is covered in tattoos glorifying the Medieval crusades and wrote a book titled "American Crusade" explaining the US is in a "holy war" agains muslims and China.

    So "East Turkestan government in exile" is headquartered in the capital of the empire that is is in a bloodthirsthy fanatical war against muslims. This empire also has "must destroy China" as its foreign policy absolute priority.

    Therefore, the corret analogy would be a separatist Jewish movement that wanted to take away a critical part of the USSR. And it is funded and headquartered in Nazi Germany. Who would believe them? The same people who believe the US is motivated by love of Muslims and only reluctantly funds a separatist movement to take away a critical part of China.

  • False. The US prison population (relative to total population) is more than five times superior to China's. US prisons are for-profit and lease prisioners to perform slave labor for other companies.

    China is not only freer than Trump's US, it is freer than Obama's or Clinton's US.

    By the way, US elections have only two viable parties by design. Billionaires control the media and campaing funding. The system allows two choices for the people:

    • Republicans: the entire world, including its natural resources and its people, is the private property of 100 persons.
    • Democrats: Agreed! But we impose gender quotas on this 100-persons elite. This makes us democratic (TM).
  • It is very hard to annex a territory with a people that hates you. Russia is suffering a huge cost to annex 20% of Ukrainian territory whose population is ethnically Russian, speaks Russian, and hates the current Ukrainian regime for good reason.

    Russia has an incredibly low demographic density, a total fertility of 1.41 (therefore some 30% less than replacement rate), negative growth, and 15.6% of its people are 65 or older. Losing the lives of so many young people is terrible not only morally (human cost), but economically too. I think even attempting to annex the other 80% of Ukraine would be a net loss. Then annexing European countries with a drastically different language and culture, different religion, and who were propagandized by decades of Russophobia? I don't know Russia is even capable of that, and even if it was possible, the catastrophic cost would be far greater than any benefit. Russia would lose the few precious youth it still has and accomplish what? Enlarge a territory that is already resource-rich and enormous? Russia is already 78% larger than China, with only 10% of the population.

    Even if Russia was remotely as evil as NATO propaganda says, can anyone explain to me how the imaginary plan to annex Europe would be remotely advantageous to Russia?

  • My other post was already long. I agree the US is fiercely opposed to peaceful coexistence with the sovereign world, and its economy is unproductive. If the US loses its ability to pillage other countries, so it finally has to live on its own production, it will find that an ocean of bankers and crypto bros is no substitute for actual workers.

    My hope relies on the rapid decline of the empire. We have some time, because the US lacks resources and supply chain to sustain a war on China, and also its population is (I think) too divided to embark in such a disastrous war.

    The US easily throws foreign cannon fodder (for example, the South Vietnamese) against its adversaries, and it will certainly try to use millions lives from vassals like Japan and Philippines, but I think all these vassals put together have no chance against the Red Dragon, so the US would still need major direct involvement.

    The US recognized its defeat to Vietnam after 50k statesian deaths, so I hope it will not dare attack China and lose hundreds of thousands or millions of statesian lives. Perhaps after 10 years of overt fascism the people will be even more bloodthirsty, but in 10 years I hope the disadvantage will be far greater. In fact, the US bubble might burst before that.

    Besides, the Japanese did immense evil to Chinese and Koreans. Unit 731 was quite worse than Mengele. Also many women were enslaved for sex. In 2013 the mayor of Osaka said "comfort women" were necessary to boost the morale of the Imperial Army. Japan never compensated those women, even those who were alive just a few years ago. The corpses of these imperial demons are in Shinto temples for war heroes, still honored by Japanese politicians. My point is, the Chinese must be repressing an boiling ocean of hatred. If I was in China's place and Japan dared attack me again, my retribution would be harsh. Japan must know this. Attacking China would be lunacy.

    Now, nuclear war. China already has incredible hypersonic missiles which the US can't stop. According to Wikipedia it already has 600 nuclear bombs, and some time ago I read it planned to massively increase its arsenal by 2030. A US nuclear attack on China would be catastrophic for the US. Besides, statesians may be bloodthirsty maniacs, but the Chinese are wise and rational. I hope they will defeat the US without threatening to occupy its territory.

    Will the US still prefer its own death than allowing China to live, even without threat of occupation? I hope not. What do you think?

  • That might be the statesian intention, but, last I checked, it exports to China raw material and imports technology, just as if it was China's periphery. It can't make its own chips, drones, or rare earths. Its offense (never was "defense") industry is corrupt and inefficient. It lost to Yemen, whose real (PPP) GDP is 436 times smaller than the US.

    Can the US change that? Biden tried to revive the chip industry, but execs and shareholders simply pocketed the public funds. Now Trump tries to reindustrialize via chaotic tariffs, while cutting education, infrastructure and science, which were already bad. This should kill the remains of statesian industry.

    The US is lead by a man who was already obscurantist and mentally incompetent before going senile. It runs a $ 2 trillion deficit, so the debt should grow quickly, while GDP grows by meager 1,9% (2025 forecast by IMF) and probably less in the future because of the suicidal cuts mentioned above. Debt to GDP ratio is already at 120%.

    World opinion is rapidly turning against US and Israel and towards China and even Russia. The US is already below China and just slightly above Russia. With the US falling and Russia climbing, Russia could surpass the US in the near future.

    China on the other hand already has 30% higher real GDP than the US, with 4,8% growth forecast (IMF) for 2025. Its infrastructure and technology are expanding at an incredible rate. China used 6.6 gigatons of concrete in 2011 to 2013 (3 years) while the US used 4.5 gigatons of concrete from 1901 to 2000 (100 years).

    I fear the US would still wage a war on China out of desperation; after all, it is a country of bloodthirsty political extremists and religious fanatics. The secretary of "defense" is covered in tattoos glorifying the crusades and wrote a book titled "American Crusade" explaining the US is in a holy war against Islam and China.

    But while the US might start such a war, I think it will be fairly short war.

    What am I missing?

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2014/12/05/china-used-more-concrete-in-3-years-than-the-u-s-used-in-the-entire-20th-century-infographic/

  • Good meme, except you edited Xi's photo to make him look like a Chinese senior of mediocre physical strength. The real Xi would defeat the Russian army with his bare hands.

  • I read that Copernicus was unharmed, while Galileo was condemned to (IIRC) life in house arrest. The interpretation is that in Copernicus time the political power of the Church was secure. In Galileo time the political power of the Church was threatened, so she increased repression.

    If anyone has a scientific analysis of that, please share. I read that from a militant "skeptic", before I learned how evil neo-atheism (which militant skeptics often are) is. Neo-atheists masturbate when the US murders muslim people.

  • The article above is from Brazilian 35 years old marxist-leninist comrade Jones Manoel. He is a tall black man from a slum in the state of Pernambuco. The cop who killed his father worked (security guard) in Jones' school. He had to see that cop daily. Did not tell his mom, to avoid worrying a solo mother who worked like a horse to feed her children.

    Jones graduated in History, then got a MsC and is now getting a PhD.

    https://en.prolewiki.org/wiki/Jones_Manoel

    He recently debated much older Breno Altman, a brilliant communist journalist and member of the Workers Party. Breno, a secular Jew from an influential anti-zionist family, is a major and fierce critic of Zionism. He is under fierce attack by the Zionist lobby. He has been to Israel, and an Israeli politician (a rare humane one) warned him it wouldn't be "convenient" for him to try visiting Israel again. Breno was also convicted in Brazil (facing possible jail time) for accusing a zionist of being "coward".

    Breno is a rare Brazilian communist who still supports Lula's government. Breno maintains the current government has an internal dispute between social-liberalism and social-developmentalism. Jones maintains the goverment is just neoliberal. Great debate!

    Governo Lula é neoliberal? Breno Altman x Jones Manoel - Debate especial https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqPhJnShKWA

  • I had a course on "Introdução à Economia Matemática", something like (my translation) "Introduction to Mathematical Economics" on IMPA, a top-class Mathematics research institute in Rio de Janeiro. The professor commented (again, my translation):

    In economics, whenever a person begins to care a little bit about other people, we declare them irrational.

  • After reading your comment, I have come across this: https://redsails.org/really-existing-fascism

    It says:

    • Nietzche is to fascism and liberalism what Karl Marx is to communism
    • It is confusing to think of fascism as the death rattle of capitalism in decay. Fascism and liberalism coexist. Fascism is based on what Marx called "primitive accumulation", which is violent expropriation. Liberalism is based on (superficially) voluntary exploitation of surplus-value. Liberalism is more common in the empire core, while fascism is more common in the perifery.

    The poor summary above is meant to entice you to read the article. Please do! And then post it on Lemmy for we to discuss. Please message me when you do.

  • I hadn't heard of Qwen. I have only used Deep Seek, and not much. What are Qwen's advantages over Deep Seek? And is there any other model from BRICS countries I should look for? Preferably open source.

    And do you recommened a local solution? For which use-case? I have a mid-range gamer laptop. IIRC it has 6GiB VRAM (NVIDIA).

  • Hi. Sorry for a possibly stupid question, but why do you write 22nd Century? That is 75 years away, and I think the US regime will not last nearly that long.

  • What does MLL stand for? Marxist-Leninist-Luigist?

  • You think the USA is morally superior to the former USSR?

  • You said liberalism is the ideological superstructure of capitalism, as if it was the only one. But there is also fascism, right? Were you imprecise, or am I missing something?

  • I was a far-right theocratic (Catholic) lunatic until about 2009. Many factors converged to slowly convert me to communism, but a big factor was indignation against the grave damage (from hateful obscurantism) to my personal life, including mental health and academic performance.