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hotspur [he/him]

@ hotspur @hexbear.net

Posts
1
Comments
153
Joined
6 yr. ago

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Yeah given how AI pilled all the idiots are I wouldn’t be surprised if they just put our 4 fakes where they don’t have to notify, and then hold on notifying the real ones since there’s too many too quick to allow the operation to continue.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Yeah I seem to recall a certain speech he gave recently that everyone in the establishment was crowing about where he admitted the international Order was a sham and over now, so strange that he would appeal to it now.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Their names are insane.

    Edit: could these be fake ai people and they hope to hold off announcing the real casualties?

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Yeah they’re completely wide open I. A platter for the taking if the US doesn't defend them (which they’re finding out is the case). It’s gotta hurt to get dropped like that for Israel, who you know they can’t stand even if they knuckle under for money.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Well You know… methanes a renewable Resource, amirite? (͡•_ ͡• )

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • That was a great analysis, appreciated.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • No agreed that’s a viable thing, but in this context it would have to be more because they already know they’re fucked at midterms, and this will not be a grudging “ok we’ll give support since our fine boys are being held hostage by you” I think people will be very unhappy with any boots on the ground that isn’t drug addled delta guys swooping in on blackhawks. Or rather I just think it won’t work as a stay the course boost.

    Also dems winning midterms doesn’t change the calculus about Iran mostly, they’re all salivating at getting to destroy Iran and blame the downsides on Trump being stupid, but Trump admin is not wrong that their ability to keep screaming forward dismantling the govt, choosing companies to win markets and all that shit will grind down once they dont have passivity of congress—and if they’re weakened enough by ice crap and this war, some of the gutless congress people will decide they can turn away from Trump, particularly if their true masters, the crooks and billionaires, are sour on the deal because Trump has finally destroyed the economy and their profits. Or at least the admin seem to think this will be the case at midterms even if it could be nothing.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Yeah no kidding, this whole thing is totally fucked.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • I mean it should directly impact the AI/Data center build out. I’ve been reading that given our generating capacity is not powerful enough, operators have been Moving forward with offgrid developments and sure some of that is meant to be nuclear or solar, but mostly it’s huge banks of diesel generators—and that cost would absolutely go up with oil price.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • I can’t see how this would work out for them—those ships will be open to attack from a wide area, and very far away from support/resupply. I wonder if the navy would basically reject this somehow?

    Like doing this puts them into motorboats torpedo attack range, which was some of the things that led to mission failure during that millennium war game. Also Iran has theoretically good anti ship missles and probably lots of them, and of course the drones. The Yemenis seriously fucked with the navy during that operation in gulf of Aden, and I have to believe the Iranians are far more capable/supplied/prepared for this kind of operation.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • This is the correct strategy I think. None of the other gulf countries are creditable threats, and even Israel would have to slink back home if it didn’t have the US back stopping it and filling out the picture. You get US out of the region in a humiliating way so that it will be hard for them to come back, Israel will have to shrink back, and start behaving. And getting gulf states to pressure US to leave, while also pulverizing US military infrastructure in those locations is a good high pressure way to achieve this.

    The GCC is learning quickly that they are a friend of convenience to US and will be left out in to cold in favor of Israel every time—might help them along, or help their populaces along to replace them and kick the US out. Plenty of appetite in BRICS nations for the oil they supply.

    I suppose they’d have to fear the US turning around later, after licking its wounds and just taking them over—or would do so via Israel action, and I don’t know that you could rely on Iran, China, Russia to rock much on their behalf at that point, but maybe. Their best bet would be to kick US out, which would help weaken Israel, and then get deeply in bed with China and Russia as fast as possible to help ward off punishment from the angry dying empire. They have all been calling Putin to enlist his help with getting a ceasefire, so perhaps there’s some of that discussion going on.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • So this is complete speculation and I have nothing concrete to back it up other than vague correlation between strange behavior and statements over time from Trump admin. But my proposition is this: what if Trump is being advised, now that they’ve lept off a cliff edge, that the best way forward is to expand, with possible troops on the ground, and during this protracted and horrible conflict use it to help with the midterms, or possibly suspend elections/enact military law/state of exception because of the “national security emergency”.

    Will put my loose argument below in spoiler tags so it doesn’t clog up the feed:

    Again, I know this is completely unknowable and possibly silly, etc but I submit:

    • trump and proxies have been musing over various ways of “cancelling” or otherwise subverting the midterms for the last few months.
    • their decision, or coercion by Israel (or bibi’s deep state handlers, you chose which relationship configuration you prefer), to do this war has put them out in uncharted terrritory—they weren’t popular before, but the downsides to them on this seem practically limitless compared to vague or nonexistent upsides if they “win”
    • the midterms were already a sort of existential threat to the regime; without manipulating or controlling the outcome, which would be messy and complicated and leave a lot of evidence, they were looking at a hard deadline. It’s seems likely that given their terrible performance they would find control of the house or senate likely in democratic hands, or at least majority unsympathetic politicians, and from that point on, they could look forward to investigations/impeachments, budget fights and generally a lame duck admin for two years, while all of the bad decisions came home to roost for the long haul.
    • now they have a vaguely double-existential threat scenario—midterms, and fallout (hopefully not literally) from a failure in this illegal war.
    • Bibi follows this strategy over and over again: every time he’s about to be thrown out, he starts a new violent commitment that helps him avoid losing power, forces support to “stay the course” and keeps him away from his corruption trial.
    • bonus: my real fear with this conflict is that facing the exhaustion of their defenses, Israel will decide to “defensively” strike Iran with nukes, since they’ll claim that surrender would be tantamount to extinction of the state of Israel, and if the US were unable to stop that action, it would likely cause major world war or nuclear Armageddon. Dragging out a bad war, adding boots on the ground, in a sense sacrificing American serviceman in exchange to keep Israel’s hands off the big red button might be acceptable to Trump and co, particularly if it comes with the benefit of giving them a way to fuck with elections.

    I’m not suggesting they’re hoping for an gw bush stay the course boost, that would be insane, since this choice will be politically toxic to Americans, alongside all of the other toxic effects we’ll get from this stupid and horrible attack. I’m saying they might think it would be easier to illegally suspend elections this way, than any other way they’ve tried to scheme up.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • They can’t fathom ever making such a choice themselves, so it’s impossible to understand someone else choosing that. But don’t worry, they’ll easily rationalize the sacrifice as something self serving or part of religious zealotry to make things square for themselves.

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • This is wild… if it were just one dude I wouldn’t think a second about it, but given that this is distributed across units, that would suggest this is a communication from higher up to tell the troops. Did hegseth send out a stupid memo to all commanders to tell the troops this shit?

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    Bulletins and International News Discussion from March 2nd to March 8th, 2026 - The Second Iran VS US+Zionists War Megathread

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  • Those are amazing videos—the arc, hit and lights out.

  • Iran (so far away)

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  • Better name for sure

  • Iran (so far away)

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  • Yeah the guy who makes these has a “slop” banner on YouTube. A sorta “worlds burning, might as well use the fuel to make fun of it” vibe?

  • Iran (so far away)

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  • It’s an AI version of a JD Vance meme turned into a member of Queen. That… visage is a very popular intenet version of JD Vance, a. Sort of lollipop guild Andre the Giant crazy look.

  • Iran (so far away)

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  • Yeah I love that he puts in that version of JD in both videos. I kinda think that given how widespread this version of him is on the internet, more people have seen him like this, so in a sense this is what he looks like in most people’s heads. Would be nice.

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    hotspur [he/him] @hexbear.net

    Iran (so far away)