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hansolo

@ hansolo @lemmy.today

Posts
11
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1481
Joined
7 mo. ago

  • Doctorow chimes in on the impending shit show

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  • Yeah, I've heard more in depth analysis of phased GPU use plans for up to 3-5 years of life that account for all this. I think planning for GPUs for cents on the dollar is planning to own a dollar store after 3-5 regular supermarkets have run their course in a neighborhood for 20+ years. It's not a way to reasonably look at this.

  • Doctorow chimes in on the impending shit show

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  • So when it bursts, it will be more of a fizzle and it won’t tear down the entire economy. The failure will still result in many bankruptcies and layoffs but not all at once.

    100% this, which is the deception that will keep these people going for 10-15 years.

  • Doctorow chimes in on the impending shit show

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  • I appreciate this article and Cory Doctorow.

    But I will disagree that the AI bubble is structured enough like a traditional bubble to "pop" like how y'all expect. It's not like any bubble that has ever existed.

    You know all those huge figures about investments you hear? That's not just debt and low interest lending. That's real cash investments in many cases. So unlike the Dot Com bubble, we currently don't have a third of the stock market over leveraged on pretend money. We don't have people building data centers on spec, like railroads to nowhere, they're booked out before the ground is broken. Data centers and power generation are IRL investments that are needed whether it's for AI use or not.

    Also, there aren't a smaller set of goods everyone is after, like paying $1 million for toys.com, a URL never worth anything close to the hype. It's a wide open field of AI use cases, and while enterprise pilots are struggling to provide immediate results (no, the 97% of pilots fail figure is not technically accurate), agentic workflows are what consulting firms like KPMG are pushing hard. The rate of use case development is changing as fast as all the rest of it is, so nothing had reached close to a plateau yet. So banking on the 1:1 job replacement theory really ignores the insider view of how large corporate structures are already pushing adoption.

    It's like 5 (or maybe 15) sets of overlapping concentric circles that are themselves bubbles, and 2 of them are solid right now, and so far 2 are not anything like a bubble ready to pop. The other 4 will keep the 5th propped up long enough to not feel the effects across the entire economy. Or that 12 of the 15 will prevent immediate issues as 3 of them founder.

    All bubble popping will get you is consolidation anyway to MS and Google.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • Ahhh, OK, sorry I didn't understand that's what you were getting at. Not ignoring it, I must have just missed it.

    Though, maybe where we disagree then is that I don't think they think they're hastening the AC, they think they're hastening the rapture, which, while not up to them, is something televangelists and evangelicals will leverage for money.

    That Thiel doesn't want to be an accelerationist in general is likely because he has more money than he can spend in 10 lifetimes, and wants to get that group to see things as father of than "it's next week" so he can scam money and power from them.

  • Google Starts Tracking Your Phone As Chrome And Gemini Change

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  • Sadly, no. All our thoughts and prayers do not a mobile OS make.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • Yeah, and I never disagreed with that.

  • Trump shares AI video promoting imaginary ‘Medbeds’ believers hope will cure diseases

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  • Deleted because they already scammed all the money out of his supporters?

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • No idea. Why would they want to prevent it? They're the only ones that get a payoff if it happens.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • Cubs fans have more visible results of "maybe next year" than your auntie.

  • Google Starts Tracking Your Phone As Chrome And Gemini Change

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  • Depends entirely on the device and custom OS.

    The phone you mentioned has a specific custom OS bud on Debian. It does get mobile data, and unless I missed it, no mention of calling. No E-sim option either. So it's basically just a fancy small Linux iPad.

    https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/03/furiphone_flx1/

    The issue becomes then installing apps, like Signal, which is a point they mention, gets down to finding an APK and then just reinstalling for updates. While these phones are "commercially" available, they're still buggy and janky AF. None of them are ready for anyone beyond Linux nerds willing to tinker and accept the jank. Additionally, only the most ideologically anti-Western of the edge of the privacy community would be OK with full Chinese equipment as the PRC requires manufacturers to include hardware back doors.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • That's the most ironic part. They all think that they'll be so smart that they see it and can spot the Antichrist. But the AC will gain power by being a charlatan that hoodwinks normal Christians like them. They're actually playing into their own enemy by being stupid.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • He's not out of step with the ones most prone to being grifted ;)

    Which are the ones that vote in primaries and call their Congresspeople 9 times a day. They'll flame him for being gay, but they accepted Trump who profits selling them bibles with his name on them, which is pure, uncut Colombian heresy.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • Oh no, for American Evangelicals, hasten is 100% a game plan. My mom was talking up a conspiracy theory genetic breeding program in the 90s to get someone to perfect an all red hefier so if could be the sacrifice for when the new Temple in Jerusalem is opened to then tick all the boxes from Revelation.

    Never you fucking mind that Fresh JC gets to pick the date and time. Oh no. They just paved the way for whenever JC feels like. So just like, take your time, but hurry up. Because of the crushing credit card debt and bad financial decisions and bad health because JC might come back any day, so why bother to save for next week, right?

    The American Apocalyptic mentality is formed around fixing their own shitpile lives because they never felt they had the agency to do it themselves.

  • Get clever with your bumper stickers

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  • And the all new Volkswagen AmarockTM feels no pain, and an island never cries.

  • Regulating AI hastens the Antichrist, says Palantir’s Peter Thiel

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  • Many, yes. I'm 100% sure my family voted for the douchebag as a total accelerationist move so they can finally break into their 5 gallon buckets of dehydrated eggs and mashed potato flakes before they get Raptured.

  • Beyond Left and Right. Digital ID is Everyone’s Enemy

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  • I've had to research digital ID backend architecture in depth, and I'll be honest, the digital ID itself isn't the problem. If anything it's more sane and efficient, and certainly doesn't add any more data than you've already given the government. What ELSE do expect there to be?

    The issue with digital IDs is how they're used by vendors and websites, and what data from interactions is recorded. If a digital ID system used a third-party audited Zero Knowledge Proof system, it would actually be better than the unholy mess we have now with every service scrounging for your data and face.

    But, the day a government does a tech thing right on the first try is the same day I sprout wings from my ass and fly away.

  • Google Starts Tracking Your Phone As Chrome And Gemini Change

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  • There's about a dozen more you can safely disable with ADB.

  • Google Starts Tracking Your Phone As Chrome And Gemini Change

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  • There's a few ungoogled privacy OSes. Graphine, Lineage, CalyxOS, Plasma, and a half dozen others. They're very model specific.

    There are also mobile Ubuntu and a "Linux phone" setup.

    The problem with Linux phones is that, AFAIK, calling and SMS are not supported. Which is kind of important for a phone to do the basic definition of a phone. In the privacy comms, people who have used them flatly say that a Linux phone is no where near ready to be seriously used by anyone as a real replacement for Android.

    You're not wrong that a more universal phone OS needs to be out there, but since the hardware varies so oddly by manufacturer, devs can't rely plan for new drivers and test well. That's why Graphine sticks to ONLY Google Pixel hardware, to keep the driver set smaller and easier to test.

  • Google Starts Tracking Your Phone As Chrome And Gemini Change

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  • Seriously, did we time travel back to 2012?

    Quick, find some Bitcoin!

  • There is a limit how much power the pedal assist of an e-Bike is allowed to provide. There is no limit though on how strong the exoskeletton is that you use on a regular bike.

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  • I was about to tell OP that this would only work if they use a real exoskeleton and have a bike wheel on each hand/foot like a rolling bug.