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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: January 22nd, 2024

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  • Run out of rational points, resorting to a raft of insults.

    You’re still missing a reason to dismiss the obvious cause for the correlation. I did explain that a couple of posts ago, but instead of addressing any of t the points or the logic of the argument, you just claimed I didn’t author it myself, which isn’t much of an argument even if it were true, which it is not.

    You’re missing any news whatsoever that any other websites went down, so as I warned you I would, I call BULLSHIT on the whole infrastructure all went down, all internet services were affected nonsense you invented without a shred of evidence.

    Why on earth are you trying so hard and for so long to resist admitting that it’s highly likely that grindr goes down at big GOP events because gay or bi Republicans are far more likely to be closeted and being away from home is their best chance all year round for some man on man sex while their location is some anonymous and deniable hotel room?

    Everyone goes back to their hotels at the same time after the big Republican gathering and all the spike logs on to grindr. Like the British electricity spike in the ad break in the nation’s favourite non-BBC soap opera, there’s a grindr spike for big Republican events. The British electricity spike is daily and the energy generating companies are very prepared for it every evening. The Republican grindr spike is much rarer and changes time and location, so grindr isn’t ready for it.

    For about the fourth time, use Occam’s razor.

    It’s the secret Republican gay sex spike that keeps crashing grindr.





  • Yes, A WEBSITE CAN EXPERIENCE OUTAGES WHEN PEOPLE ARE USING THAT SPECIFIC WEBSITE A LOT because otherwise DDOS wouldn’t be effective.

    I.e. your “DOES NOT” is incorrect.

    In future, try not to lecture people with computer science degrees that it’s impossible for websites to be brought down by spikes in demand.

    Also your assertion that I’m using an LLM to talk on social media without checking my post history on just how unreliable I think it is is foolish, and of course another example of you being incorrect. Did you not think that other people are capable of knowing anything? Weird. Do I even sound remotely like an LLM? Or did you think that only LLMs are capable of enumerating and numbering logical possibilities for correlations?! Not everyone is incapable of independent thought or structuring an argument. Where did you think LLMs learned it from?

    And if, as you repeatedly insist, it must have been that all internet infrastructure was down, the headline (at last somewhere) would be “GOP event crashes the internet”, not “GOP event crashes grindr, again”.

    GOP events keep crashing grindr. Your long and convoluted arguments that this couldn’t possibly have happened specifically to grindr are incorrect, and your insistent rejection of the obvious explanation that closeted Republicans got the chance for some consequence free sex for once is irrational and biased.

    You really are falling at the occam’s razor thing. Like, properly badly.



  • It’s a perfect example of correlation not meaning causation.

    If G (grindr outages) is strongly correlated to R (large Republican events) there are only a handful of explanations:

    1. Random chance, like the per capita consumption of margarine correlates with the divorce rate in Maine.

    If you trawl large numbers of pairs of data sets for correlation, you will inevitably find some which have a low probability of being that strongly correlated, just as if you randomly survey large numbers of people their age, eventually you will find individuals who are “surprisingly old” or “surprisingly tall”.

    This kind of fallacy is best avoided by testing only hypotheses that you have a plausible cause and effect scenario. In the case of GOP gatherings, there are a lot of men who plausibly would want to hide their sexuality so do not want their liberal neighbours or colleagues to see a grindr profile pop up where suspicion could fall on them, and who therefore see being away from home as an opportunity to engage in more anonymous man on man sex.

    So with a reasonable hypothesis, it’s then reasonable to all of the data supports it. It does. It’s by no means proof, by this isn’t a court of law.

    1. G causes R. Not possible.

    It takes days to arrange a large event, so the GOP cannot respond to Grindr outages by rushing to hold a convention in that location, amusing though the idea is.

    1. R causes G.

    Highly plausible, as discussed.

    1. Some third factor A causes both R and G.

    This is like the correlation between hand size and foot size which is particularly strong if you only include children. (A here is age and hormonal changes over years.) I can’t think of anything that would cause both Republican events and Grindr outages.

    I think it’s fair to conclude that R causes G here.





  • If they don’t have subscribers, they can do whatever they want?

    If they don’t have any people who give a shit as subscribers they can do what they want. They can go batshit insane alt right loony neo nazi with no further penalty, indeed, if they’re pretty much the only subscribers, there’s a financial benefit to go further magat and a loss to do otherwise. And your daughter well plead with you to get disney so she can watch pretty princesses and if you cave, then your son will grow up racist.

    When fox pulls this shit they are fine, because sane people aren’t watching anyway. The only reason disney backed down is that it hurt them. If no one goes back, it can’t possibly hurt them a second time.

    But absolutely you sold do what toy want with your money and if this was a permanent deal breaker for you, go ahead and permanently reject them. I’m OK with that, really, but I can’t pretend that you’ll have ongoing influence on their future decision making at the same time.



  • You went on a very long and winding road to defend your assumption that republicans don’t have a significant closeted bi component, which is the obvious and correct conclusion from the data. Why wouldn’t Republicans be closeted bi people? Is being a nasty hater really specifically a straight thing? Are all bi people sweetness and light?

    Imagine you were brought up to hate yourself for wanting sex with men and learned that the “right” thing to do is “choose” to suppress it? Wouldn’t you be jealous of or angry with men who broke the rules and were out and facing no consequences, when you’ve had to deal with so much shit?