The actionable choice has nothing to do with voting. It has everything to do with organizing, be it in your workplace or your community. You have to create structures that can actually hamstring the power of the state to oppress you and those you care about. You can argue these are unrealistic or not actionable but history shows us that this is actually how progress is made. Even in the US the abolitionist movement, labor movement, and the civil rights movement did not win their demands through strategic voting.
If you want to argue that getting stabbed in the lung is more survivable… okay sure. But you’re an idiot if you think fighting back and trying to disarm your attacker isn’t the rational choice, especially when Americans by and large can’t just pick up and leave. It’s fight or flight but you’re here arguing for people to just accept their demise.
I can’t give you a specific estimate but the DNC tried to burry a report that showed Kamala’s support for Israel cost her key votes. That should tell you what you need to know.
That said you can also just look at the vote differences between 2020 and 2024. Kamala lost more votes than Trump gained relative to the 2020 vote counts. It’s clear from those results that democratic turnout was depressed in 2024 when the admin’s policy towards Gaza was one of the most obvious divides between democratic leadership and democratic voters.
https://www.axios.com/2026/02/22/dnc-2024-autopsy-harris-gaza