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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 25th, 2023

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  • From what I remember last time I read up on this, in conjunction with global warming, there is roughly a line from Paris to Frankfurt where more north than that, temperatures cool down because of AMOC collapse, and south of that temperatures are higher than pre-industrial because global warming outweighs AMOC collapse cooling.

    But of course those are just relatively rough projections, and it’s average temperature, the extremes will still be way worse. So it’s not like Frankfurt will have peachy weather while the rest of the world goes to shit.


  • funny, I like it for the opposite reason. If I am buying a lot of groceries and want to pack them into my shopping trolley nicely, but there’s a line of 10 people behind me at the cash register. So I need to rush to put everything in as the cashier will just put more and more stuff on the conveyor to the point where other peoples groceries end up mixed with my stuff, because there’s only two lanes and the person right behind me only had 5 things, so the cashier is already handling customer 3 while I’m still packing.

    With self checkout, I can decide the speed I want to pack at, make sure I don’t put fragile stuff at the bottom, can take it nice and relaxed. there’s 6 other terminals, so it doesn’t feel like I’m the one blocking the line. Just an overall less stressful experience.






  • Some other scenarios to consider:

    • AI company decides to up the profit by switching your agents to a cheaper, worse model behind the scenes while keeping your costs the same
    • AI company deciding that your business is plenty lucrative and now that you’ve onboarded their agents and they know your day to day, what do they need you for? You’re just a shell around their agents. So they cancel the contract, create their own competing business and poach all your customers.

    the interesting bit is, 90%+ of ai revenues come from a few big companies, not regular Joes. And i think ai is a way for some companies to extract every drop of value from other companies, now that people are squeezed dry. I guess companies turning on each other, which might be fun to watch, though I doubt we will just be on the sidelines. It’s the logical next step in capitalism, if you run out of people to cheat and rent seek from, there’s plenty of easy corporate victims. Sure at first it’s, smaller mom and pop stuff (I mean, that’s been going on for a while now), but no reason not to do it for bigger companies, might even have less overhead and easier pickings. And ai is perfect for that.






  • Zu deinem zweiten Punkt, redox flow Batterien skalieren deutlich besser als einzelne Batteriezellen und machen für Grossspeicher mehr Sinn (weil mehr Speicher = grösserer Flüssigkeitsank, nicht mehr Zellen, was deutlich günstiger ist). Von denen gibt es einige im Einsatz, mit total so 2-3 GWh Kapazität. Hauptsächlich mit Vanadium, das ist das einzige Problem, weil das eher ein Nebenprodukt und nicht gezielt abgebaut wird.(also noch geringes Angebot und Preisschwankungen). Aber Forschung in Richtung Eisen Redox Flow ist da sehr spannend, des könnte das Rohstoffproblem lösen. Sie machen 0 Sinn für E-Autos oder ähnliches. Aber für Netzspeicher haben sie eig. nur Vorteile (längere Lebensdauer, einfacheres Recycling, günstig zu skalieren, kein Feuerrisiko) und die Nachteile (schwer, gross und klobig) spielen für Netzspeicher keine Rolle.


  • I’ve come to the conclusion that this is just the tech industry in general, not just AI. It’s been deeply unserious for a while now, cutting corners, throwing ethics out the window, just trying to get rich quick. But for the most part, they had to pretend to be serious people. Now AI is giving them a reason to give up the pretense and go mask off.

    there used to be enough senior engineers to reign them in most of the time, but now they can just out-shit the serious engineers who can’t keep up with all the shit, and management’s obsession with AI is giving them the free pass to get away with it.

    I think it really started some time around 2010, when the promise of easy money as a software engineer started attracting more people that do not really care for the craft, just to earn well while phoning it in with an easy desk job*. And AI really empowers that crowd.

    *not saying this is necessarily wrong given that a lot of tech companies suck and if you leech off of them, well, more power to you. But it does not make it fun to work with those kinds of coworkers.