There are a lot of reasons to think that it might go the other way this year. In 2016, we had a combination of overconfidence, lack of real enthusiasm, and a general sense of not giving a shit that allowed democrats, who outnumbered Trump supporters, to throw the election. In 2020, polling was completely fucked up by Covid. Democrats had higher margins in pre-election polling but less on Election Day mostly due to the fact that democrats were more cautious about the pandemic, and those who forgot to sign up for mail in voting decided to stay home for safety, and the on the ground get out the vote measures didn’t happen at all on the blue side. This year neither are true, and we saw in polls in 2022 underestimate democrats. Pollsters may have overcorrected for the quiet Trump voters while not accounting for the turnout caused by the scrapping of roe. If you want an example of over correction to account for republicans in polls, look at the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election. I feel like polls are underestimating democrats this time around.
Detroit has gotten a lot better in the past few years, it’s been a very impressive turnaround for the city, while Trump still only knows it as the city with those evil black people
The Lebanese government isn’t an enemy to Israel so I don’t see any propaganda reason for them to do it, the writer probably just wrote it that way without an ulterior motive imo
Don’t forget to implement proportional representation in the House, blow up the senate, and implement ranked choice voting or something similar in all elections
Hungary uses an odd voting system which basically gives the winning party a large majority no matter what. The reason the opposition keeps losing is because of Orban’s state propaganda, voter manipulation, and the fact that previous opposition alliances have been incompetent and unpopular. There is more hope now with the Tisza party, which is already much more popular and had a surprisingly good showing at the 2024 European Parliament elections
Michigan is the state that she’s doing best in currently thankfully