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ColombianLenin [he/him]

@ ColombianLenin @hexbear.net

Posts
8
Comments
688
Joined
1 yr. ago

  • I think this is more in line with the truth, basically the true status of Hezbollah's forces is unknown, but I do want to cast doubt on the fact that we can categorically say that Hezbollah is severely weakened. No real evidence has really showed that.

    I think mostly, they have been heavily focusing on domestic politics, avoiding losing civil support.

    I guess we will see in the coming days how strong they really are militarily. I can say at least that, if they were weak, they wouldn't join a fight they didn't consider they can get something out of.

  • How could we say that these blows could have fundamentally weakened Hezbollah when they have received a minor fraction of what the palestinian resistance has endured for 2 years and are still organized?

  • I don't know, the article is implying that the silence from Hezbollah throughout these months is showing, at the very least, a failure in the way the leadership can create a narrative that brings legitimacy, and in so doing, indirectly shows some kind of leadership or structural failure.

    But I think this is fundamentally anti materialist. I gather that there is some despair from Hezbollah's silence and I think the biggest note to get is that being silent is eroding Hezbollah's symbolic status, sure that might be fair, but that in no way is an indication of material weakening of the group. First and foremost, as I said, no material strategic losses have been felt by Hezbollah besides losing its supply line, and second, if we were at the eve of some major organizational collapse or loss of faith within Hezbollah's ranks, we might have seen defections and infighting popping up from more overzealous elements wishing to keep the fight going, that have also deemed the actual organizational structure ineffective. We haven't seen that.

    On the other hand we have seen quite a disciplined restrain on the part of Hezbollah to not attack the Zionist entity despite its continued "ceasefire" violations. That does not speak of operational disintegration to me at least.

  • Being decapitated and having your supply lines broken does not destroy it's existing forces, that have always been strong.

    "Disorganized" is the one I least believe, what assessment can be done to say Hezbollah is disorganized?

  • I think this is old, not of this war

  • I do have one question. I haven't ever bought the idea that Hezbollah is "severely weakened" as is pretty much what is said in discourse from the left and the right.

    Besides losing the supply lifeline in Syria there isn't any major strategic defeats that one could say Hezbollah has suffered. Losing Nasrallah, however painful, doesn't mean that Hezbollah somehow lost it's thousands of ready soldiers and missiles still in place.

    So, why is it that Hezbollah is considered "severely weakened"? This is language that isn't even said as frequently about the palestinian factions, which you can absolutely make the case that have been weakened.

  • With Hezbollah joining the war, we might see escalations from Yemen and maybe even Hamas and the rest of the palestinian resistance factions. Even more, we might see new actions from groups that have kept a lower profile like the PMU in Iraq and maybe those Assadist or anti Zionist groups that have been created in Syria.

    This is now on the way to become that worst case scenario regional war that was discussed everywhere.

  • — 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: John Bolton, one of the most hawkish anti-Iran politicians in recent memory, lashes out against Trump and says the objective of regime change in Iran won't be achieved

    @Middle_East_Spectator

    Between this and Fetterman shitting on the Iran war, the US is looking mighty disunited in its political class rn

  • Yes, but still, Iran will always try to play the UN charter card.

  • Weird and telling of a lack of a real military target bank

  • Assuming the US and Israel really REALLY wanted to stop this war and Iran is on course for a strategic victory, I think a peace deal looks 1st and foremost, lifting sanctions on Iran, creating a new JCPOA without snapbacks and very possibly a zionist retreat from Gaza while allowing full international support to go in.

  • randomly lashing out at countries in the region

    That's literally the US today lmao

  • There is no way western lapdogs have legitimacy at the exact moment they are being bombed by the west

  • —❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 President Trump: 'We'll be talking to Iran. We should talk.'

    @Middle_East_Spectator

  • Literally yes. Israel wants Iran gone, by the US' hand.

    You are only missing step 3: "Wait, what the fuck? I wanted Iran bombed, not us

    "

  • True, but if Iran also considers this an existential war for survival, in which they are at imminent critical threat, they wouldn't need to pull punches. Meaning, they are feeling confident they can turn this into a protracted atrittion war in which they consider they can survive for longer than their enemies.

    In short, if Iran had nukes they don't feel threatened enough to use them.

  • Mostly, this also says that Iran is re considering it's balance on the war.

    If Iran does not deem it necessary to close the Strait of Hormuz, it means they consider they can fulfil their objectives without using the nuclear option

  • That would work if Venezuela had really changed its government to a US client state, but the PSUV is still in power, I think if the conditions are right, Venezuela can try to 180 their deal with the US if needed

  • videos @hexbear.net

    Will Israel attack Iran again? The Geo-Strategic background

  • askchapo @hexbear.net

    What historic era resembles today's in its strengthened right and non-existent left resistance worldwide?

  • askchapo @hexbear.net

    I'm retaking meditation, how much is it a sedative to the injustices and pain of the current world?

  • Chapotraphouse @hexbear.net

    New Advances in Scientific Bunny-Stalinism

  • chat @hexbear.net

    Being a communist in a right-wing/centrist family means they will eventually cut you off

  • Chapotraphouse @hexbear.net

    Post all your "Nothing ever happens" memes here.

  • doomer @hexbear.net

    I feel optimistic regarding China and Russia in their conflicts against the US, but I'm very concerned and a bit doomer towards Palestine :(

  • news @hexbear.net

    Shitposting aside: What will be the consequences for the tariffs?