• 6 Posts
  • 264 Comments
Joined 9 months ago
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Cake day: August 23rd, 2025

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  • Who’s going to buy this profit-free stock selling for 100 times earnings?

    I think its worse than a P/E ratio of 100. It is 100 times revenue. Earnings in this context mean profits, so a company which is losing money has no P/E ratio. The argument is that if $100 of stock corresponds to $10 of profit last year (P/E 10), that is probably a better buy than if $100 of stock corresponds to $5 of profit last year (P/E 20).

    And yes, this looks to me like a crypto rugpull crossed with all the tricks which keep Tether prices and Tesla shares floating in midair.




  • At minute 8 of “SpaceX IPO: Nice Try Though” Patrick Boyle mentions some circular finance: some of the banks which lent SpaceX $29 billion in March will be guaranteeing the IPO by promising to buy some shares to stabilize the price. Later he also points out that the banks financing the IPO have to buy Grok services and may be its main paying customers. Musk has done this sort of thing before eg. using Tesla (shareholder-owned) money to buy SolarCity which he partially owned. I knew a serial fraudster who moved to Texas for its business-friendly laws and courts.

    He liked the piss-tinged blog post by Cape Fear Advisors and estimates that the Muskrat wants to raise $50-75 billion in the IPO.

    It took Kaiser Bill to break the economic power of London and Paris, but the Muskrat thinks he can speedrun that game for the New York City map.










  • Yes, you want to avoid conflicts of interest like an advisor employed by a bank selling that bank’s financial products.

    A financial advisor or financial planner can add value in areas like:

    • set you up making monthly contributions to something broadly reasonable
    • helping you figure out what types of insurance you need
    • keeping you from putting all your money in stocks that are booming, then selling them all when they crash and staying uninvested for years
    • help you decide whether to keep your emergency fund in a high-interest savings account, a money-market fund, or a regular bank account
    • avoid paying too many taxes on your investments

    But many are collecting 1%+ a year to decide whether to buy Honda stock or BMW stock, and there is very strong evidence that this adds no value. (eg. my current employer’s pension fund charges 2% a year). For everyone managing $100 million who does 1% better than average, someone managing $100 million has to do 1% worse, and how can you pick the right one in advance? Even if you do, what happens if they have a stroke and their risk-taking assistant takes over the fund?