𝙲𝚑𝚊𝚒𝚛𝚖𝚊𝚗 𝙼𝚎𝚘𝚠

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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 16th, 2023

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  • So it’s just a coincidence that no neighboring country has threatened them with outright military invasion since they got nukes?

    I mean, haven’t they?

    And when has Iran ever threatened to use a bomb against Israel?

    The IAEA cites several officials that have stated that Iran is able to manufacture nuclear weapons, and pundits on state tv have threatened Israel with total destruction and “annihilation”. It doesn’t take much to put two and two together. They’re overt threats, but threats nonetheless.

    The Soviets didn’t just keep expanding across Europe, precisely because the US had the bomb to hold them in check.

    This ignores the many proxy wars the US and USSR fought in many regions. I wouldn’t necessarily call that very stabilizing. Meanwhile the theory that wars won’t be declared between nuclear powers is actively being tested by several states at the moment, prodding and probing nuclear-capable alliances to test where the boundary lies.

    Results achieved in the past do not guarantee success in the future.


  • As much as I agree that Israel is a destabilizing force and that you have their MO fairly spot on, Israel doesn’t seem to be using its nuclear arsenal as a deterrent for invasion. They don’t have to, they have significant conventional forces with US backing, making invasion nigh-impossible anyway. That’s how it went in the past at least with the various regional wars.

    I’m not sure an Iranian bomb would stabilize much if anything. Israel sees it as a direct existential threat and will stop at nothing to prevent or disable such a weapon. Iran has also repeatedly threatened to use it on Israel offensively, which doesn’t really bode well for peace either. Suppose Iran does lob a bomb at Israel, how would they respond? Or what if Israel strikes first? I don’t trust either party to be reasonable and responsible here tbh.

    Iran can’t use the weapon to threaten Israel as you say, because it’d be an empty threat. Iran can’t nuke Israel without getting nuked right back. Israel knows this, so they can continue their expansions just fine.

    MAD doctrine prevents nuclear wars from breaking out, but as we have been seeing recently it doesn’t prevent conventional wars.






  • The evidence isn’t just weak, it’s practically non-existent.

    A handful of tweets and some company sales? Come on. This is baseless conjecture at best. There’s not a shred of technical evidence presented here.

    Election experts have peered over the “statistical anomalies” this article highlights. Afaik all were debunked. The election result was within the polled margins.

    I mean, the article even tries to make it suspicious that voters swung more in swing states… Like, duh? That’s where the millions of campaign money were poored in.

    There was also no evidence of vote flipping, there were a lot of ballots with only Trumps name ticked. But that was a purposeful campaign strategy (“don’t worry if you don’t like the local R candidate, just make sure to vote Trump”). They didn’t flip voters, they managed to mobilize non-voters.

    It’s also no secret that Biden wasn’t popular and Harris didn’t meaningfully distinguish herself from him (would have been hard to do anyway). Many voters were also very poorly informed, some only finding out that Harris was the D candidate and not Biden on election day.

    I understand the result was disappointing but unless there’s some hard evidence of tampering, I’m not inclined to believe the election was tampered with.