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9bananas

@ 9bananas @feddit.org

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186
Joined
11 mo. ago

  • The economic cost of Brexit has just been laid bare – and it’s devastating

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  • it's not renting that's being criticized here; it's specifically landlords.

    renting is perfectly fine.

    what is not fine, is that a public necessity is tied to a private individual or company that can charge whatever they want.

    that last part is the problem.

    vienna often gets cited as a notable example for large scale, affordable public housing projects, and while that is fair, the reason those are affordable, is because they are owned by the public, i.e. the city of vienna.

    THAT'S how rent is supposed to work: for the people, by the people.

    it's how a society gets affordable housing, not this price gouging nonsense that neoliberal politics has popularized...

  • Fanart made for someone not afraid to punch fascists

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  • so you just think dead children are an acceptable price to pay for... absolutely nothing. got it.

  • Fanart made for someone not afraid to punch fascists

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  • they were saying that the "patriots" (so maga, not actual patriots) are claiming that they would step in and stop tyranny, but are actually doing the opposite.

    and them claiming that that's the reason they need their guns is the most prominent reason that constantly comes up in discussions about gun control. which is true.

    so they are saying that particular argument is utter bullshit, and that gun reform should disregard that argument.

    and gun reform/gun control doesn't mean nobody can have guns.

    it just means stricter rules on who can have them. which, yes, is a necessary legislation that every civilized country already has.

  • TIL: Multiple Studies Now Confirm Neoliberalism Is Bad for the Mental Health of Human Beings

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  • autocorrect/spellcheck tripped you up friend: it's serf (as in serfdom) ;)

  • Fanart made for someone not afraid to punch fascists

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  • that was super obviously sarcastic...

  • Anyone can recommend some good European Indie Devs / Games?

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  • i can stop anytime i want! ...i just don't want to stop...

    there's a reason the community calls it cracktorio, lol

  • ASCII characters are not pixels: a deep dive into ASCII rendering

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  • .:|:;

  • Discord will restrict your account next month unless you scan ID or face

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  • it only sounds like that, because it is. :/

  • Discord will restrict your account next month unless you scan ID or face

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  • saw a setup like that at work, until it was determined to be a fire hazard. which it was.

    had to short the start pins of the MoBa with a paperclip to start the damn thing.

    we called it "the scorpion", cause it would shock you if you touched it wrong, and it kinda looked like a scorpion with the cables hanging out all over the floor...

    #tales-from-IT

  • Top of the world, ma

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  • mosquito nets in third world countries

    oooohhh....yeah....about those...

    turns out the mosquito nets are devastating local fish populations, because people use them to fish, since they get them as a finished product instead of having to knit nets themselves. and starvation being a bigger immediate threat, they prioritize that over malaria.

    the nets are also laced with toxic chemicals (against the mosquitoes), which are extremely toxic to fish.

    they also have much smaller holes, so they catch the young offspring as well, leading to rapid depletion of stocks.

    so, yeah...good idea in theory, but didn't turn out so great...

  • Follow the rules!

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  • probably highly dependent on your work environment:

    it's the exact opposite at our office...

    • mail service goes down
    • dafuq.jpeg
    • check icmp; no ping
    • was there an update, patch or something? ...nope?
    • check with network: did you guys change anything?
    • oh yeah, new network config!

    head>desk

  • so heckin wholesome

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  • yeah, took me a sec to figure out what they were talking about too...

  • so heckin wholesome

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  • username of the commenter below the pics

  • Lawsuit Alleges That WhatsApp Has No End-to-End Encryption

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  • yes, that's why it's called fingerprinting:

    it's a kind of mathematical function that takes the entire code as input and outputs a unique result.

    the result is just some string of symbols (which really just represent a unique string of 1's and 0's).

    this unique string of characters is, as mentioned, unique for any given input.

    this string can then be compared to any arbitrary other string, and if they match, then you know it's the same code.

    so in the case of signal anybody can download the source, compile it, and verify that it matches the fingerprint of the compiled code on their own device.

    that's why it can't be faked: you compare the already compiled code.

    if even a single digit of the code is out of place, it's not going to result in the same string, and thus immediately get flagged as a mismatch.

    it's mathematically impossible to fake.

  • Disposable Median Income adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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  • yeah, alright then:

    you are arguing from ignorance, ask for evidence, then reject said evidence in the first paragraph instead of reading the entire thing because of a boilerplate disclaimer (which you of course do not understand to be boilerplate).

    you read the executive summary, even though you asked for the methodology, which is explained in the studies linked under the sources of the article.

    you need to click through to the actual study to see the methodology.

    the link i provided is just a summary of multiple studies.

    the studies lack this disclaimer, which was added by factually, probably for legal reasons, not because the data is faulty.

    since you're apparently too lazy to even click the links already pointing to the exact information you asked for, here's the abstract of the NBER/Stanford paper (most relevant part at the end highlighted):

    This paper examines the impact of the UK's decision to leave the European Union (Brexit) in 2016. Using almost a decade of data since the referendum, we combine simulations based on macro data with estimates derived from micro data collected through our Decision Maker Panel survey. These estimates suggest that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%. These large negative impacts reflect a combination of elevated uncertainty, reduced demand, diverted management time, and increased misallocation of resources from a protracted Brexit process. Comparing these with contemporary forecasts – providing a rare macro example to complement the burgeoning micro-literature of social science predictions – shows that these forecasts were accurate over a 5-year horizon, but they underestimated the impact over a decade

    from the CEPR/VoxEU article (already in plain language and easy to read):

    So, taking all this together, what’s the bottom line? First, the public is right. Brexit has damaged the UK economy. But, inevitably, the mechanisms and hence the impacts have been considerably more complex than economists could incorporate in macroeconomic or trade models, with their inevitably simplifying assumptions. To simplify hugely, however, it would be reasonable to say that the impact on trade overall has been broadly consistent with predictions so far, that on immigration much less negative (and perhaps even positive) and on investment somewhat worse.

    so, yes, brexit has been bad for the UK economy. definitely, without question.

    what IS still in question is how bad exactly it was.

    THAT'S were the uncertainty is.

    whether or not it was detrimental has been answered with abundant certainty: it was bad.

  • Disposable Median Income adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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  • maybe check the actual papers i linked?

    all the sources, including their methodology and their conclusions are linked.

    that's why i chose an article that aggregates multiple studies, from multiple countries, including the UK, as the provided evidence.

    it's all explained in the paper; go read it.

  • Disposable Median Income adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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  • if we only ever look at past data, and never compare that data to alternative scenarios, then it gets really difficult to make better decisions in the future.

    in circumstances where the sample size is naturally limited to just 1, it is necessary to perform simulations in order to gain insight into the outcome of any given event. there's not really any other way to do this.

    what you call "wank estimates" (very scientific, thank you) is a collection of well established research methodologies that have been used with great success in both predicting future outcomes and analyzing past outcomes.

    this is evidence. it provides mathematical certainty, in this case about brexit.

    this is factual evidence, not simply "wank estimates".

    and the evidence suggests that the UK economy would be significantly better off without brexit.

    this is simply fact.

    that the UK economy did mostly fine on its own is not relevant, because that's not the point.

    the point is, that it would have been better for the economy, if the UK had remained.

  • Disposable Median Income adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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  • yeah, nah, brexit did have a major negative Impact on the UK economy:

    Taken together, independent assessments paint a consistent picture: Brexit has reduced UK GDP (estimates commonly span roughly 2–8% to date, with central academic estimates clustering around 6–8% by 2025), slashed business investment (commonly estimated down 12–18% by mid‑2020s and in some scenarios far larger over decades), and trimmed productivity (roughly 3–4% in many studies and up to 4% in OBR scenarios), and they identify trade frictions, uncertainty and misallocation as core drivers—facts that point to policy levers on trade facilitation, investment incentives and productivity reforms if the UK seeks to narrow the gap with its peers [2] [4] [1] [3].

    damn near all economy experts agree on a negative, long-term impact fo the UK economy. they just can't be entirely sure how bad it was, just that it was quite bad.

    single digit percentage points don't sound too bad, but when it's entire percentage points pf an entire economy that actually works out to billions in lost economic activity.

    the stats you provided do not show any comparison to a no-brexit/remain scenario, which is what should be compared.

  • Disposable Median Income adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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  • they kind of are (from Wikipedia, too lazy to look up the government source):

    The non-EU member states of Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein and Switzerland participate in the single market but not in the customs union.