• Maeve @lemmygrad.ml
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    7 days ago

    Iran isn’t the first, but may well be the last sovereign state US picks a fight with.

    Eta: part of me wonders if this wasn’t something USA wanted, so they can ramp up aggression.

    • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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      6 days ago

      Personally I think the US will try to intervene in the Sahel some time within the next two years. They’ve been setting up a millitary presence on Nigeria, and the AES threatens to lead by good example if left untouched.

      Personally, I think the next socialist revolution or emergence of a socialist state will happen somewhere in Africa. My top guesses are eitheir from the Sahel or a country from East Africa, perhaps Kenya.

      However I think this war has been a massive blow to the empire. Just not the one that ends its military interventions against soverign states. I think they’ll attempt one more.

      • Maeve @lemmygrad.ml
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        6 days ago

        Personally I think the US will try to intervene in the Sahel some time within the next two years. They’ve been setting up a millitary presence on Nigeria, and the AES threatens to lead by good example if left untouched.

        I’ve been worried about the Sahel, and keeping an eye on it the best I can. I know Traoré has been respectful and firmly rejecting US “requests” for deals, rightly so, and that it’s angered the US. I’m aware of mercenary forces’ and comprador states increased activity, but not recent developments. Can you bring me up to date or point me toward reliable news sources?

        Also Kenya? Apparently I’ve missed a lot. Please tell!

        However I think this war has been a massive blow to the empire. Just not the one that ends its military interventions against soverign states. I think they’ll attempt one more.

        Heaven forbid, but I can’t discount your assessment.

        • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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          6 days ago

          My view of the Sahel main comes from trends pointed out by David Hundeyin, a pan-african journalist exiled from Nigeria due to his exposing of Nigeria’s plan to intervene in Niger after the 2023 coup. He works on a channel called African Spearhead which tends to be a good way to keep up to date with regional politics of West Africa, and the continent.

          My comment on Kenya was more thrown out there because of the continued rise of the Communist Party Marxist Kenya (CPM-K). Their leader, Booker N. Omelet, was arrested on false charges recently very obviously because he’s been organizing against William Ruto’s, the current president, neoliberal and pro-West stance. I don’t think a revolution will happen soon, but I see the ground work for one being set up, and it’s farther along then many other places around it.

          I still think the Sahel states are the most likely to transition into a socialist project, probably within the next ten years.

          • Maeve @lemmygrad.ml
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            6 days ago

            My comment on Kenya was more thrown out there because of the continued rise of the Communist Party Marxist Kenya (CPM-K). Their leader, Booker N. Omelet, was arrested on false charges recently very obviously because he’s been organizing against William Ruto’s, the current president, neoliberal and pro-West stance. I don’t think a revolution will happen soon, but I see the ground work for one being set up, and it’s farther along then many other places around it.

            That’s what I get for writing off Kenya as too deep in Western pockets. Thanks so much for this ray of hope!

            Didn’t find African Spear, but I found https://www.youtube.com/@hundeyin

            I still think the Sahel states are the most likely to transition into a socialist project, probably within the next ten years.

            They’re on a decent start; inshallah, next couple of years will see massive organization.

      • TabularTuxedo@lemmygrad.ml
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        6 days ago

        Agreed. I don’t think the US has lost the ability to project power in Latin America for example. It’s still their home turf.

      • demeritum@lemmygrad.ml
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        6 days ago

        Yes they have been setting up shop in Benin as well. They also tried to reapproach Niger. Also why we suddenly hear from Mali a lot.