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MrMakabar@slrpnk.netM to Degrowth - Economics as if People mattered@slrpnk.netEnglish · 1 year ago

Civilization's Peak Power in 10 to 20 Years?

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Civilization's Peak Power in 10 to 20 Years?

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MrMakabar@slrpnk.netM to Degrowth - Economics as if People mattered@slrpnk.netEnglish · 1 year ago
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Falling fertility rates in most of the world put us on track to reach the global peak rate of energy use ahead of the actual population peak, as early as 10 years from now if the trends of the last decade persist. Marking a major turning point, the decline of the post-peak world will involve many transformations—and not all bad. It is not too early to think about how our priorities and values might change in the second half of this century. Full details can be found at Do the Math in the associated post: https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2024/06/brace-for-peak-impact/ Chapter Content: 00:00 Intro 00:37 Why It Matters 01:52 Fertility around the World 02:53 UN TFR Model 03:38 Alternate TFR Model 04:27 UN Survival Model 04:51 U.S. Life Expectancy 05:26 Flattening Survival Model 06:06 Power per Capita 06:46 Model Results 08:18 Limits to Growth and Reflections 12:05 Do the Math and Closing
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A community for discussions and thoughts about degrowth, postgrowth, donut economics and similar ideas to create an economy, which is able to meet every humans needs, without overusing our planets resources, by cutting useless consumption and focusing on appropriate technologies.

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