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webadict

@ webadict @lemmy.world

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322
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • Birmingham, England 🇬🇧. A double-parked car is blocking the road.

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  • Similar to how they like to smash both windows and run hoses through cars parked in front of hydrants.

    Anybody who thinks this is a joke: It is not. Most firefighters are retired military given weird fucking tools and a penchant to use them on anything. If they are legally allowed to smash your fucking windows, they will. They will use the Jaws of Life to tear your fucking car apart if they have to. Just imagine them like the police but the inability to kill people who don't (or, ya know, do) listen to them, with the same overzealousness, hero complex, and everything, but more respectable because they actually do serve and protect.

  • The Iran War Shows Why It’s Time for Chuck Schumer to Go

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  • I don't see anyone else writing sternly worded letters!

  • In a big Senate race reversal, U.S. Rep. Angie Craig voices regrets over vote on immigration law

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  • Angie Craig can go to hell.

    She regrets that people didn't like it, not that she did it. Turns out, people don't like detention camps, and, turns out further, people don't want people responsible for them in power.

    If she truly regretted it, she would drop out and start working against them elsewhere because she's proven she can't be trusted to protect people while in politics. She can fuck right off until she does good.

  • Bill to require factual teaching about U.S. Capitol attack clears Va. General Assembly

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  • I don't know that I can fully blame every soldier for that. There's plenty of kids who have no idea what they're joining. There's plenty of them they get disillusioned by their service, too. Do they all deserve to die?

    Like, the military does massive propaganda campaigns to lure in young and impressionable teenagers. And some of the recruits are just people that need a place to live, sleep, and eat. I can understand why someone would be against all of them, but I don't think I can. There's a lot of extremely poor people that have few other prospects, and the way the US pushes success = status really makes it hard for me to think that the brainwashed deserve death.

    You wanna stop the military? Give everyone a decent standard of living, and that'll do it.

  • James Talarico wins Democratic primary for US Senate in Texas

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  • Talarico, the more popular of the two, will do his best to consume Crockett whole (and possibly her family if he can find them) in order to consolidate the voting base and display his prowess. Failure to do so could lead to a third party situation, such as Andrew Cuomo, who was consumed far later than the primary.

  • Poll: Americans Overwhelmingly Oppose Trump’s Strikes on Iran

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  • Okay, clearly you don't understand. Let's review.

    If I flip 100 of my infinite coin, how accurate will my estimated mean be in comparison to my true mean?

    Let's assume we flip 50 heads, so we reasonably assume there is 50% chance to flip heads. Well, our 95% confidence interval (the usual one used) says that there is about a 9.8% range our true heads mean could be in. That means, 5% of the time, our actual heads flipping percent is outside that 40.2 - 59.8% range.

    Now, here's the biasing that we factor in: we're gonna assume that our flipping chance is a standard deviation model, and that our actual mean will fall into this pattern. We assume, more or less, that people's opinions fall into this model, too, and that isn't relatively weird for polling data to assume, even if it isn't completely representative of the true population.

    If you flip, say, 1000 coins instead and got 50%, how much does that range shrink? I mean, it doesn't shrink by a factor of 10, but by a factor of √10. This shrinks us by ~3.16, so the range becomes 46.9 - 53.1%. That is a lot smaller, but not, ya know, 10 times smaller.

    The point is that having 5 times less participants would only widen the gap the true participants by about 2.2x... So instead of 2.7% interval, you would have like +/-1.25%. That's, again, not going to shift the likely guess by much.

    Because that's just how random sampling works. You have a chance to be outside that confidence interval, but it's just not very likely. Because increasing the confidence percent is ALSO a square root ratio. At 99% confidence, the range becomes 3.57%.

    So, yes, surveying 1200 people, assuming random sampling, is pretty representative of the US. Your goal is to find the biases that shift the data away from representing the true mean, not to question how sampling works because math is not on your side. Sampling works, period.

    And using weighted data for categories? Again, since all of the data was transformed in the same way, I don't see the problem, unless you have a problem with transformations in general. This is a higher level concept in statistical analysis, but this is probably just averaging out 8 questions into a 0-100% scale, which isn't particularly obscure or unique in sampling. If anything, this should shift the data closer to 50%, so any deviations away from 50% would be notable.

    Simply put, your problem with the sampling method? Doesn't exist.

  • Poll: Americans Overwhelmingly Oppose Trump’s Strikes on Iran

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  • Do you not know how statistics work? You can make a pretty good estimate of a population with a relatively small sample size. That's why polls work.

    Like, the only issue is finding out if your poll is biased or not. This is pretty bog standard statistical analysis.

    But, as an example, imagine you had infinite coins. How many heads do you think you have to flip on randomly selected coins to make a relatively good guess on the chance of flipping heads? Because my guess is that you wouldn't say infinite. You could probably get a good guess with 100. Flipping more coins just makes your guess more accurate, but it will be pretty close to the answer.

    Basically, proportion of population is just going to affect the confidence interval, and that is basically within 2.7% points for the 43% say bad and 2.5% for the 71% who do not approve.

    That's... Accurate enough.

  • I asked Claude for 37,500 random names, and it can't stop saying Marcus

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  • I believe the clarifier is male name. So, a male name was chosen about about half the time.

  • Know A Few Things About the MN Occupation

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  • I live in Minneapolis. If this motherfucker only saw one ICE vehicle, then they never went outside.

    It was this bad, but it has lessened a bit recently. However, they still haven't left, they are still patrolling, and they are still kidnapping people.

    Yeah, there is fear still. There is paranoia still. There is anger still. There were checkpoints to look for ICE. There were face checks at schools. Fucking... These ICE pieces of shit were stalking school bus stops! Bus drivers were doing loops until they left!!! Those kids were so confused and scared.

    I personally saw multiple of these stake outs. Apartment buildings, schools, restaurants, stores, and bus stops. They always say they're looking for some criminal, but it fucking never is. It's always some guy with 3 kids who is getting home from work. Or some woman whose husband was already deported.

    Nah, the OP wasn't exaggerating. Fuck ICE.

  • Researchers Dropped 1,000 AIs in Minecraft and Watched a Civilization Form

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  • Probably because you wanted to be pedantic and unserious.

  • Researchers Dropped 1,000 AIs in Minecraft and Watched a Civilization Form

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  • That is not as smart of a question as you want it to be. Unfortunately for you, not everything can be modeled mathematically, or if you wish to be extremely minute, not everything can be currently mathematically modeled efficiently and precisely because it would require knowledge or resources far eclipsing what we have available. If you just want to push up your glasses and ACKSHUALLY me, then it's also possible to do anything, hurr hurr.

    To even fucking PRETEND that we can model a brain right now is hilarious to me, but to equate that to LLMs is downright moronic. Human brains are not created, trained, or used in any way similar to LLMs, no matter what anyone says, but you are insinuating that they are somehow similar??? They are a simulation of a learning algorithm, trained through brute force tactics, and used for pattern completion. That's just not how that works!

    And yet, in spite of the petabytes of data they fucking jam into these pieces of shit, they still can't even draw hands correctly. They still can't figure out the seahorse emoji. They still don't know why strawberry has two Rs! They continuously repeat only the things they hear, and need to have these errors fixed manually. They don't know anything. And that's why they aren't intelligent. They are fed data points. They create estimations. But they do not understand what the connections between those points are. And no amount of pointing at humans will fix that.

  • Researchers Dropped 1,000 AIs in Minecraft and Watched a Civilization Form

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  • Just as a brain is not a giant statistics problem, LLMs are not intelligent. LLMs are basically large math problems that take what you put into them and calculate the remainder. That isn't an emergent behavior. That isn't intelligence at all.

    If I type into a calculator 20*10 and it gives me 200, is that a sign of intelligence that the calculator can do math? I never programmed it to know what 10 or 20 or 200 were, though I did make it know what multiplication is and what digits and numbers are, but those particular things it totally created on its own after that!!!

    When you type a sentence into an LLM and it returns with an approximation of what a response sounds like, you should treat it the same way. People programmed these things to do the things that they are doing, so what behavior is fucking emergent?

  • Researchers Dropped 1,000 AIs in Minecraft and Watched a Civilization Form

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  • Holy shit. This is the craziest article to write about one of the shittiest videos I have ever seen.

    That video is glazing the fuck out of LLMs, and the creator knows jackshit about how AIs or even computers work. What a fucking moron.

    So, like, the point of the experiment is that LLMs will generate outputs based on their inputs, and then those outputs are interpreted by an intermediary program to do things in games. And the video is trying to pretend that this is LITERALLY a new intelligent species emerging because you never told it to do anything other than its initial goal! Which... Isn't impressive? LLMs generate outputs based on their datasets, like, that's not in question. That isn't intelligence, because it is just one giant mathematics problem.

    This article is a giant pile of shit.

  • US Democrats: proud of deportations

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  • Yeah, considering I went over how there are Republicans that have actively lynched people for their race, I think I covered that pretty well, but let's pretend I didn't because not everyone can understand things the first time.

    Tough on crime is passive because it is not about saying white people are superior, a thing Republicans do. It is also not actively telling people that Muslims are worse than dogs, a thing Republicans do. While the mechanisms of the state actively target minorities to a significantly higher degree, this is passively racist because it relies on underlying connections to tie minorities to crimes.

    See, the sad part about your argument is that Republicans platform and actively defend the people who shoot minorities and actively defend the people who do so. Motherfuckers out here pretending the people who shoot up black churches and synagogues are anything other than Republicans, are hilariously bad faith. Anyone who thinks the Democrats are somehow just as racist as hate crime doers and defenders has shit for brains. That's active racism, and yeah, it's fucking worse.

    Unless you think killing minorities and telling people to kill minorities is better than just saying "we're tough on crime". Do you think that?

  • US Democrats: proud of deportations

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  • Democrats are just as racist as the Republicans

    That's just not true. They are obviously not even close to the same. They are both racist (and even both very racist), but actively engaging in white supremacy IS WORSE and I shouldn't have to explain why. You can argue that they are both bad, but I think the side that is okay with a former police officer chasing a black man down with his truck and shooting him might be worse.

    I get that you want to equate these two, that any amount of racism is somehow just as bad, but it just fucking isn't, and I'm tired of this "both sides" bullshit when one side has active lynchers in its midsts and brandishes at the sight of a black person. Make an argument that calls out the "tough on crime" narrative that passively destroys the lives of racial minorities, but don't call them the same. That's such a weenie position.

  • acab

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  • To preface, I am agreeing with you and countering the person you're replying to.

    There is a difference between abolish the police and abolishing law enforcement. Like it or not, there is ALWAYS something enforcing the laws. It might be the form of mob justice, vigilantes, local militias, gangs, a sheriff, neighborhood watches, the military, or some other state-sanctioned organizations, but there is always law enforcement. That does not argue for maintaining the police, but could still say that a force existing to enforce the laws exists. Heck, I think a police force isn't necessarily a bad idea, but that the current police force is staffed by people with a propensity for abuse, disdain for the people they are there to protect, and a willingness to escalate situations with violence at pretty much any turn.

    You can argue for different forms of law enforcement, but it will always exist in some form. It's just that citizens need far more oversight and control over it because law enforcement is power that can easily corrupt.

  • At Least 50 Arrested After Protests Escalate Outside Minnesota Federal Building

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  • Agitators fired paintballs and were pepper spraying, according to some people that were in the area, and the cops did nothing about them.

  • Throwing dildos at ICE

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  • Right??? I can't believe these protestors! All ICE is doing is a ton of illegal shit, what's wrong with that?

  • We have been calling for the abolition of DHS since 2003. Liberals are just waking up now.

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