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Posts
58
Comments
221
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • that’ll only change the odds on a single bookmaker. There are thousands on the election.

    Also it’s highly illegal to bet on an event you are part of (although that doesn’t seem to stop trump from doing other things).

    Additionally, to sway public opinion, influencing pollsters and the media (which we have objective proof of camapigns doing) is more effective. although they were mentioned in this article, they’ll be mentioned a lot less than polls.

  • I mean the betting markets are generally aligned with extravagant statistical prediction models.

    After all these markets have hundreds of millions poured into them, and people are trying to win not loose. Obviously there are still problems with them, and that headline really should have included “according to bookmakers”.

  • I mean a lot of the time Biden’s sentence’s were incoherent. Reminding me of the Trump shark type blabbering. Disappointing. Although it seems he was ill.

  • Damn. Axios really should have mentioned it is a partisan pollster. That’s disappointing.

  • I don’t know the specific problem with that pollster but the general message of the headline still stands IMO.

    Trump’s debate performance was awful, but so was Biden’s, and somehow because this country is weird as hell Biden is held to a much higher standard than Trump while also being immensely unpopular.

  • Still agree

  • Hahahha. Your not wrong.

  • I got blasted in a c/world thread because I used it to show a source that was untrustworthy. And ppl were saying its the factcheckerbias tool is unreliable cuz it rates the NYT as “factual”. I was suprised to get so much pushback.

  • yep. They are by no means perfect, but their competition rates AP and Reuters as left leaning lol, so they are the best we’ve got that I know of.

  • Republicans are doing everything possible to deny long covid is a thing. They are pushing the NIH to only fund research trying to (wrongly) make it seem like a mental disorder.

  • Had never heard of this source before, glad to hear it’s legit, but what an awful story :(

  • Not to mention, for disabled people like me with specific illnesses including long covid, this basically means we can’t leave our homes without severe risk to our health. In essence, another ableist tactic to hide disability.

  • Love your attitude

  • We’ve been inching closer and closer ever since 2014. Is not an excuse to abandon Ukraine though. Russia won’t stop cause we give them some land.

  • Sorry what?

    They rate CBS News and weather channel as “middle” and “reliable”.

    Ad fontes media are by no means perfect, but they are generally the best in the field. Unlike some of their competitors they don’t rate Reuters and AP as left wing lol.

    Obviously reliability and bias are subjective — as is everything in the social sciences. But that doesn’t mean attempting to quanify it is not useful. It’s subjective to quantify democracy for example but the economists democracy index is useful — or the Human development index etc.

  • first month — yes haha.

    sourcing is still better here than reddit though

  • Maybe he thinks if the RN share power for the next couple of years, people won’t see them as the outsiders that are against the system, which seems to be driving their voterbase. Basically betting on the fact that all incumbents are unpopular in France, so if he gives the RN some power now, they won’t be able to win the 2027 presidential elections.

  • because in america, “far left” is literal moderates and “right-wing” is pretty much facism.