Personally, I have P(AGI within 10 years) around 15%. I think anyone who is saying definitely no or definitely yes to AGI within this time frame is vastly overconfident in their understanding of the technology, one way or the other. Or they vastly underestimate the utility of bullshit. Of course, I also have P(doom|AGI) probably around 40-70%.
What is the problem with techno-solutionism? Is it just that under capitalism techno-solutionism often results in corruption? Is the development of lemmy not techno-solutionism (to the enshittification of reddit)?
Did they fix the problem where for some reason, on steam deck you can't do local multiplayer? You need to provide a command line argument to turn on local multiplayer and I can't begin to comprehend why they did this.
The oligarchs want that, and the oligarchs have many politicians in their pocket I presume. However, it's not like non-corrupt non-bought politicians have any reason to be afraid of a unified nation -- they're in politics to effect change in the first place.
that's very pragmatic, but you can also flip this around -- almonds are a luxury compared to other more practical foods, whereas LLMs can help a coder net an income if used properly. I don't think you can justify almonds if you're going to claim AI usage is unethical on purely environmental grounds. And dairy milk is twice as much as almond milk in terms of water, so if you have dairy in your diet, cutting that out is going to be a lot more effective for reducing your water footprint than not using LLMs.
Anyway, check out the third link for more info on the total water usage of data centers; it doesn't really add up to much compared to much larger things like golf courses. I don't get why anyone would use water usage as a reason to agitate against AI for given that there are so many worse problems AI is causing.
I'm curious if anyone has any credible sources about recent political violence from the left. I'm skeptical of that all of the last 31 political attacks were from the right.
Personally, I have P(AGI within 10 years) around 15%. I think anyone who is saying definitely no or definitely yes to AGI within this time frame is vastly overconfident in their understanding of the technology, one way or the other. Or they vastly underestimate the utility of bullshit. Of course, I also have P(doom|AGI) probably around 40-70%.