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InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)C
Posts
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326
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • The Turing Test codified the very real fact that computer AI systems up till a few years ago couldn't hold a conversation (outside of special conversational tricks like Eliza and Cleverbot). Deep neural networks and the attention mechanism changed the situation; it's not a completely solved problem, but the improvement is undeniably dramatic. It's now possible to treat chatbots as a rudimentary research assistant, for example.

    It's just something we have to take in stride, like computers becoming capable of playing Chess or Go. There is no need to get hung up on the word "intelligence".

  • How long will an independent Greenland possibly last if the US intends to swallow it up? All it takes is for the American establishment to whip themselves into a bipartisan frenzy over "national security", then the population follows like sheep, then it's game over.

  • Deepseek trained their v3 model for $6M. That's the AI equivalent of building it in a cave with a pile of scraps. There's no longer any reasonable way to stop China from developing frontier models.

  • Must be humiliating for the Mexicans to be condescended to like this. Agree to a trade deal with the Americans, stick to the terms of the deal, but now the Americans still aren't happy. They also want to micromanage what companies can do business in your own country, with your own workers.

  • The trouble with all these schemes is that it's totally contrary to poweful real world trends. The surface of the Earth has an overwhelming abundance of rural land that is incredibly hospitable to life. And these places are depopulating because people prefer living in cities. How are you gonna get people to move to the bottom of the sea, or Mars, if they don't even want to move to West Virginia?

  • LLMs aren't capable of maintaining an even remotely convincing simulacrum of human connection,

    Eh, maybe, maybe not. 99% of the human-written stuff in IM chats, or posted to social media, is superficial fluff that a fine-tuned LLM should have no problem imitating. It's still relatively easy to recognize AI models outputs in their default settings, because of their characteristic earnest/helpful tone and writing style, but that's quite easily adjustable.

    One example worth considering: people are already using fine tuned LLMs to copilot tabletop RPGs, with decent success. In that setting, you don't need fine literature, just a "good enough" quality of prose. And that is already far exceeding the average quality that you see in social media.

  • Hot take: if they can get it to work, good! I welcome AI users who are smarter, better informed, and have better taste than the rest of us mouth breathing meatbags.

  • Fair enough. I think the "Taliban are moderating" narrative was also helped by the fact that the Taliban were being compared against fricking ISIS.

  • Not really analogous, I think? The Taliban are and continue to be wackos, and the US-supported government in between the Taliban regimes was always obviously made up of incompetent crooks and grifters.

  • Fears about persistent deflation in China are relatively recent. It's come up now because of the live question of whether the government should engage in a big fiscal stimulus (the same debate the US went through in 2009).

  • Weirdly enough, the Islamist formerly-labelled-as-terrorist militant leader is making quite a lot of sensible moves and well thought out public statements. Maybe it's illogical, but I'm getting somewhat hopeful about Syria's future.

  • I mean, it's a fair question for a political leader to ask his economic advisors, no? Pretty sure Obama would have asked his advisors the same question back in 2009.

    The issue, by the way, is a lot less settled than a lot of people think. Macroeconomics still seems to do a surprisingly bad job at understanding the links between inflation, interest rates, and economic activity, beyond giving some rough guidelines.

  • It would be foolish of them to lie considering their model is open source and uploaded to a public repository. The hardware specs for running it are pretty steep, but third parties are already doing it.

  • The moat is probably mostly inertia. Microsoft or whoever will offer a code assistant that directs to OpenAI's model, and users will just use that. Most software moats are like that, rather than being based on intrinsic technological superiority.

  • Kudos to Deepseek for continuing to releasing the code and model under a permissive license. Would be nicer if the weights were under an MIT license rather than a custom license, but I guess they're afraid of liability. Strange situation we're now in, where the future of open AI (as opposed to "open but actually closed" AI) now almost entirely depends on Chinese companies.

    In practice, though, I wonder how many people would actually self host and tinker with this, since the model is way too large to run on any desktop. It would be very interesting to find downstream use-cases and modifications, which is supposed to be a strength of the open source model. Deepseek themselves don't seem to be much concerned about applications; from my understanding, they are basically funded by a sugar daddy and are happy to just do R&D (funnily enough, that is kinda what OpenAI was originally supposed to be before they sold out to Microsoft).

  • Alright, since Trump is so keen on territory expansion, let's make Western Ukraine the 51st US state. Eastern half goes to Russia. There will be plenty of living room for everyone.

  • Interesting how Latin American leaders are pushing back firmly against Trump's trash talk, whereas Canada and Europe have been almost totally spineless.

  • Leafing through the latest issue, here's a random article:

    The Biden administration pursued a mistaken policy on LNG exports.

    This is not a leader, but in the news section. In the contents:

    Despite her reassuring tone, this was a sharp-elbowed effort to place an obstacle in the way of the incoming Trump administration... Mr Biden bowed to election-year pressure from the subset of environmentalists hostile to LNG... As for the claim that increasing American lng would help China, it is politically clever, playing as it does on anti-China sentiment in Washington, dc, but energetically dumb...

    Look, again, I'm not castigating The Economist here. They have a particular way to present news, and their readership knows it. But they definitely do not try to be "neutral" in the way other outlets do.