Skip Navigation

InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)A
Posts
0
Comments
360
Joined
2 yr. ago

  • I will say that Israel is many times more evil than Hamas.

    But Hamas definitely is evil, too.

    They torture and kill Palestinians to maintain power. They had even smuggled a Yezidi slave girl into Gaza.

    Of course, I do understand that they are resisting oppression. And that is justified. And I also know that a lot of the propaganda against them is false, such as the beheaded babies thing.

    But there are enough credible reports of them doing really shady stuff.

  • And China basically has a monopoly on Siberia with the current arrangements.

  • Officially, yes.

    Orban is just being Orban.

    But Poland said they wouldn't arrest him either and the new German chancellor also said the same.

    It's only genocide if you starve white kids.

  • Deleted

    Permanently Deleted

    Jump
  • Not in the US, but it would make more sense to spread it out over multiple years to avoid the tax.

  • I agree. Almost no one is pro-Hamas. They are definitely evil.

    Still, doesn't justify starving kids, bombing kids and withholding medicine which forces doctors to amputate kids without anaesthesia.

  • You don't 'need' Russia, but it's mutually beneficial to have them on your side.

  • Why would Russia risk alienating China?

    In realpolitik, China is the more desirable partner than the USA.

  • To know how exactly it works, we'd need to know details that aren't public.

    But just speculating, if the creditors value the combined xAI+X higher than just X, then there is room to transfer the loan to the new company and away from Tesla.

    But whatever the details are, Elon isn't an idiot when it comes to money. He definitely has advisors who cooked up the optimal way to profit from the AI hype.

    And the essence of that is that Tesla shareholders will be left holding the bag, while Elon utiizes X/xAI to capitalize on the hype.

  • Also, the tradition is the exact opposite as I understand.

    In Finland they like to be alone and be left alone, so you don't just intrude on someone if they are in self-isolation.

  • I actually agree with you, they definitely have the edge, but I still am skeptical that they will be able to maintain their valuation.

    I just don't see a world where most people are coughing up more than $10 a month for AI.

    Most people will only use free AI and companies will mostly buy cheap AI.

    Running Deepseek locally is basically free. That's the competition.

  • Bingo.

    And also depends on which side China is on. Their war production dwarfs even the US, and I find it difficult to believe that it will all be spent fighting the US and Taiwan.

    There is a very real possibility that these three countries gang up together and divide the world among themselves.

  • End of the decade is 31-12-2029, which is about 4.7 years away, not 10.

    10 years would be "within/in/over a decade".

  • I definitely see Google/Amazon/Microsoft shedding a huge amount of market cap when the time comes to write-off the 100s of billions they invested the past two years.

    They just don't have any feasible path to recouping those investments.

    Sure, they'll never go fully broke, that's just a nice word for emphasis.

  • I realize you are confused.

    You don't appreciate that having 200 shares of a fund today, at today's valuation, is better than having 100 shares of that same fund today.

    Because that's the point I clearly made, which you ignored and constructed some kind of straw man on which you had your little Don Quixote party on.

    And if you really want to understand the philosophy, the point is to take profits prudently and buy bargains when they present themselves. And that's very much possible without exactly timing the market.

    I have never sold at the top and never bought at the bottom. I have no crystal ball to time the market, but I have made a lot of profit buying low and selling high.

  • Correct.

    It's actually a smart move.

    The dumb money are those pouring hundreds of billions into the AI hype. This is .com bubble on steroids.

    And sure, AI obviously is becoming an important market, but it will not be the current leaders who will dominate the tech. Like the internet, it's just too easy to catch up for competitors. Pouring $100B into AI today will only mean you lose out to the $1B startup in 2 years. The incumbents will go broke.

  • I remember the Russian military recruitment offices burning these past years, and their railroads getting sabotaged.

    The western press proudly stated "this is what happens when you don't allow people to protest, they turn to sabotage".

    But I guess this administration missed the memo.

  • My audience is people who are literate. You're just reading stuff into my comments that a reasonable person wouldn't.

    And that's fine, you do your investment strategy. I'm happy with mine.

  • The USA is on a path to become way more hostile than China.

    Trump supports Russia even more than China does. And it's quite likely that he actually has a secret alliance with the CCP. It just doesn't make sense that someone could be a friend of Putin and enemy of the CCP.

    Yes, obviously Japan and Australia share our values.

    But we really don't want to end up in a situation where we stand against USA+Russia+China.

    You and the people upvoting you are naively optimistic to think the old world order will return.

    It really is time to see reality and prepare for the worst

  • I can understand that that would be his official answer.

    But for both Europe and Canada, friendly relations with China are beneficial to counter US hostility.

    I never expected that I would ever say that, but here we are.