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Womble

@ Womble @piefed.world

Posts
1
Comments
142
Joined
8 mo. ago

  • 5 Signs the AI Bubble is About to Burst

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  • The post I was replying to was saying

    people will stop using it for all the things they're currently using it for

    They will when AI companies can no longer afford to eat their own costs and start charging users a non-subsidized price.

    i.e. people will stop using AI when user have to pay the "real" price (what this is is left unspecified and an exercise to the reader to figure out). My point was that even if the AI price from those provided to infinity AI usage wouldnt drop to zero like they imply.

  • 5 Signs the AI Bubble is About to Burst

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  • There are free open models you can go and download right now, that are better than SOTA 12-18 months ago, and that cost you less to run on a gaming PC than playing COD does. Even if openai, anthropic et al disappeared without a trace tomorrow AI wouldnt go away.

  • 5 Signs the AI Bubble is About to Burst

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  • Quantum entangled communications that are impossible to evesdrop on exist now, cloud computing is the money machine that allows Amazon to keep expanding, virtualisation is used by effectively every company using computers at scale. (blockchain, I'll admit, was pretty much all hype and vapourware other than laundering drug money and allowing speculation)

    Just because there is marketing hype around a term doesnt mean there isnt anything of value there.

  • The Epstein Scandal Finally Takes Down a Politician

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  • Even calling it tax evasion is a stretch, she had a complicated situation involving a trust set up for the house she had with her ex to insure her severely disabled son would be taken care of, then she claimed her new flat was her primary residence leading to a lower rate of stamp duty. She got some advice that said it was ok but was then told she should seek specialist legal advice to check that which she didnt and now has to pay back 40k.

    Its not good, and she was right to step down, especially as housing minister, but its hardly a grievous sin.

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  • You are misunderstanding their point. "Good reason" doesnt mean ethically good, it means there is a sound logical connection between the action they are taking and the outcome they want to happen. In that case Microsoft does have good reason to push trusted hardware, in the same way as a bank robber has good reason to buy a face mask.

  • RFK Jr. Blames violent video games for Mass Shootings.

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  • If people use guns to kill themselves, will they stop killing themselves if we take the guns away? Maybe some will, if the alternatives take so much more time, but the impact won't be massive.

    Generally yes, Suicide tends to be a spur of the moment decision to go through with it and having immediate access to a very easy, very lethal method increases the rate significantly. There have been numerous studies that show that putting up barriers at bridges etc that are commonly jumped from dreastically reduces the suicide rate from them without raising it elsewhere e.g.

  • Pay-per-output? AI firms blindsided by beefed up robots.txt instructions.

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  • Given the judege in that case flat out rejected the claim that there was any infringement for works they had legally aquired, yes.

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  • I'm not defending it or attacking it, mearly saying that

    They probably did multiple queries per day at the beginning, found out it isn't worth it and stopped using it ...

    Isnt supported by the information given. The GP gave a story they made up about how usage would be falling based on nothing at all, I gave two other alternate stories about how it could be either rising in usage or remaining flat to demonstrate that we cannot say anything about rate of change from a single average.

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  • Probably, my point was that you cant say if its increasing, decreasing or staying constant just from the number of times it's been used. It could be that for most people its completely useless but for a small group its very usefull and they are using it more and more. Or as suggested it could be that everyone tried it a bit at first found it useless and stopped using it. Or that its kinda useful in very specific cases so it gets constantly used a tiny bit.

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  • The "chart" that you posted, it showed barely any increase in the 1800s and massive increases in the last decades.

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  • Its not a chart, to be that it would have to show some sort of relation between things. What it is is a list of things that were invented put onto an exponential curve to try and back up loony singularity naratives.

    Trying to claim there was vastly less innovation in the entire 19th century than there was in the past decade is just nonsense.

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  • Thats complete speculation on your part though. It could equally be people hardly used it at first then started to use it more as they found ways it was helpful. Unless you see the data there's no reason to say one or the other.

  • An LLM is a lossy encyclopedia

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  • Kinda. But you'd also need to send the entire infrastructure for running them, starting from a way to communicate "this is a universal turing machine"

  • Mastodon says it doesn't 'have the means' to comply with age verification laws

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  • Given that I havent expressed a preference and have never voted either Democrat or Republican in a single election (owing to not being American) I believe you may be inventing things about me.

    And what I said stands, you functionally dont express a preference and what you do is equivalent to staying in bed and not turning out to vote.

  • Mastodon says it doesn't 'have the means' to comply with age verification laws

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  • So functionally, you abstain from voting and dont express a preference about how you are goverened.

  • The U.S. Climate Movement Is Starting to Talk About Household Energy Bills

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  • Sure maybe that's all true, but even if you make insane assumptions like every single person in the UK is making 100 queries per week, and that the true average cost is 10 times higher than the 3Wh I used for my upper price limit there (this is far more than independent research suggests), and that data centres are paying retail price + taxes: It still only comes out to around 5% of the UK domestic electricity market, so hardly going to be responsible for huge shifts in prices.

  • The U.S. Climate Movement Is Starting to Talk About Household Energy Bills

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  • LLMs are a tiny energy use, 100 queries to chatGPT type models use about as much energy as a hair dryer for a few minutes. At current UK electricity retail prices (after tax, so significantly more than datacentres pay) 1 query costs somewhere between £0.00015 - £0.001 in power usage.

    I cant see that being a significant factor in the price power companies charge over things like moving away from cheap but dirty sources of power or fluctuations of the natural gas price.

  • Collapse of critical Atlantic current is no longer low likelihood, study finds | Scientists say ‘shocking’ discovery shows rapid cuts in carbon emissions are needed to avoid catastrophic fallout

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  • UK, France and western Europe more generally getting a bit colder isnt too big an issue with temperatures rising anyway, the more concerning part of it is that it will make the climate much drier and affect what crops can be grown.

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    The Democrats are in deep trouble in the US – and Labour is on the way to joining them | Nesrine Malik

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