Thank you for this. I hate all the caveating you have to do on the internet, but this taught me something I didn't know and now I'm slightly less of an idiot :)
I'm pretty shocked that you're getting downvoted for saying that a murder might not be the way to invoke change.
That's pretty nuts to me. Everyone seems like they are trying to justify this... Why are we justifying murder? People can be pretty devoid of empathy. I understand that people want change, and that we need it. I worked in health insurance and know how wasteful it is and how much pain it causes.
Pseudo-celebrating a murder and trying to back-justify it is about the same as actively hoping/campaigning that it happens. It honestly seems like some people are on here with the mentality that any CEO should be moderately expecting to be murdered, and that it is acceptable to live in a world that operates that way.
I mean the polls for Biden were bad and getting worse. Harris was only down a couple points... Biden was down double digits. I hate to say it, but with the 2 point polling error, Biden had 0 path to make it. I don't know a single state that he would have taken off of Trump.
Ah yes. Great. We're the election conspiracy theorists now. It's apparently democrats turn to make completely baseless accusations.
This stuff is exhausting. We want to look for every reason except for the one that matters: Democrats lost America. We need to break the party apart and start over.
Every other excuse just delays and distracts. Democrats fucked it. We can be all high and righteous as we want, but we lost 2 of 3 to Donald Trump.
Face the reality. Democrats need to reinvent themselves or they will lose to shit candidates like Trump.
Iowa itself is a lost cause. It's 75% Republican here. We're gerrymandered to high hell, so even if Baccam squeaks through, Iowa state legislature won't look very blue. If it's 60/40 Republican I'd be absolutely shocked.
But contributing one Senator nationally would be pretty neat.
If Harris gets Iowa the race is over. These races are not truly independent - they are correlated. If Harris picks up Iowa, there's a very good chance that means she's swept every swing state.
There are no definitive data points that should lead anyone to believe that either candidate has a significant advantage.
I'm not sure anyone who is well versed in election projections or polling would say anything other than it's a toss up. As a heavy consumer of said data and reporting, I haven't seen anything to the contrary.
You're not wrong about media incentives, but they're also not wrong that this is a very close race.
Personally, I had to stop watching after a few episodes. The writing is just awful.
It's a lot of telling, not showing. And because of the poor writing, the actors suffer. There's not many good ways to deliver poorly written lines.
The changes they made might be logical, but the execution was poor. At least in the episodes I watched, it's like every character has to say exactly what they are feeling, and they do the whole "so what's the plan again" trope to remind the audience of what's going on way too often.
Sokka's character arc in season 1 was kinda botched... He was misogynistic in the original on purpose... And then got his ass absolutely handed to him by the Kyoshi warriors and it was a good moment. In this one they seemed afraid to hit the misogyny, so the moment was kinda lost, and the character development was flat.
There's just a lot is missteps, in my opinion, but the source is the writing. I don't think the acting is good, but it's because of the writing, not the actors.
People love to use it because it got popular and grew to mean more than the original definition to the point where it just got generic to encompass a wide range of things. It's the same as cringe.
Depends on the dealership. I went in and asked if I could get additional money off the car for using their financing. They say yes they gave a $1,000 credit.
I then asked how many payments did I need to make for them to get their full incentive for the loan. They said 6 months. I asked if I could pay it off after that, and they said sure, they'd have their kickback from the bank.
And that's what we did. It was a pretty frank conversation with the dealer, they were cool, we were cool.
I have to say this is not a good take. Polls aren't all the same, but news outlets treat them like they are. Even the same pollsters come up with slightly different numbers each time they run them.
Because there is a certain amount of uncertainty doesn't make them invalid. We just need to be more educated on filtering the good from the bad.
You sort of have 2 options:
Get educated on polling errors, the statistics, and the methodologies of the polls and arrive at your own conclusions.
Ignore anything written by the main media outlets about polls, because looking at a single poll is really dumb.
They definitely do matter, and there's validity to them, but they don't claim to be the exact truth. If you know how to use them, they are quite helpful.
No.
And by no I mean we're not just now asking that. A lot of us already knew we were the baddies. We have been.