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  • Exactly. What the banks are doing are selling "loans". Musk has to pay those loans back quote/unquote someday. If the loan is good, you hold on to it as a bank because the interest makes you money. If the loan is bad, you sell it so that you can get some of your money back and make the collection of the loan someone else's problem.

    Banks will do this for a number of reasons:

    • To manage their balance sheet. Every loan not paid in full is bad and you need to balance good (income/good loans/etc) and bad.
    • Generate immediate liquidity. Banks need to have some hard cash on hand, sometimes they sell to do just that, have hard cash.
    • Free up credit lines to lend to new borrowers. Banks only have so much resources, sometime you cut losses to get new gains.
    • Diversify the risk pool. You want a nice balance between "loans that might default" and "loans likely to not default".

    Now for everyone else, what the parent to this comment is indicating is the second option in that list. Having to create some cold hard cash suddenly. Usually, there's a cyclical nature to needing greenbacks by the fistful, but like everything that's not always true. Something can "happen" and you have a sudden need to have cash in hand pronto. Good way to get that cash is to start selling low hanging fruit if you have it.

    Something like the Twitter loan is a good pitch for low hanging fruit. Musk is terrible at paying the loan back, Twitter is likely to default one day, but Musk suddenly has direct access to some pretty corrupt as fuck ways to actually pay that loan back. From what I've read in the article, the sell price is something like 90 to 95 cents on the dollar. So not a huge discount, this ain't a fire sale.

    But banks might want to offload Musk from their sheets just in case that money is something someone might later investigate. Like that 95 cents on the dollar price is "We think Musk is good for it, but we likely don't actually want his money." So you can make that federal investigation in 2033 someone else's problem, by selling the loan today. The big bank makes about 95% of the original amount back and when Musk goes to pay his loan in Russian Blood Rubles, it'll be to a bank that get investigated that isn't <<insert some large bank that would "NEVER" think to take conflicted money>>.

    That's one theory. But there could be something on the horizon. Something that isn't right around the corner, but coming up in the distance that the banks want to have cash on hand for. Usually you see a much larger discount, like 60 cents on the dollar, for "holy shit, this stuff is toxic but we need to offload it discreetly before everyone else wises up."

    I don't think point one and three apply to Musk's particular set of loans. But who knows?! Only the bankers do.

  • It’s very bureaucratic. And it’s very slow.

    Oh well he'd like to know about the Homeland Security Act of 2002. That's when we took FEMA and merged it with Department of Homeland Security and mixed all these neat book keeping tricks. Like this one where border patrol has to get money from FEMA for particular payments related to housing capture illegal border crossings.

    Now you may ask, "Why on Earth would we do something like that?" Well, because 9/11! That's why!

    Yeah, for the folks who were trying to beg for reason and a level head in the aftermath of the worse terrorist attack on the United States, they would be right up there with Trump about how FEMA since 9/11 has slowly converted into a red tape mess. I don't think anyone in FEMA will debate that the red tape is a good thing.

    But that's about as far as Trump goes in being right before he gets to:

    I’d like to see the states take care of disasters

    States WOULD NOT take care of them. They would just create various insurances that they would require citizens to pay into. And then those funds would be at the whim of the State Government not being corrupt, which for the southeastern states (I'm in one of them, Tennessee) that would be like asking a cocaine addict to be in charge of the cocaine evidence.

    sniff sniff I have no idea why all these criminals keep going free! sniff snifffffffff

    I mean I don't know, maybe we ought to bring back tar and feathering our local politicians. I thought we could move past that point, but you know, shit sometimes the old ways work best.

    FEMA just hasn’t done the job

    FEMA has done exactly the job that Congress has legislated them to do. If FEMA is failing in someone's opinion, we needn't look any further than Congress.

    He also said individual states should be in charge of directing response to natural disasters rather than FEMA, and that the federal government should only step in subsequently to provide funding.

    sigh

    This is overly simplified. States know best where things are hit hardest and what the priority for rebuilding should be. FEMA will absolutely use their decades of experience in disasters to help state governments get the most out of their funds. If I was to try to make a metaphor here. States are in the driver's seat, FEMA will act as the GPS, and Congress is the gas tank. FEMA will try to get the most mileage out of your gas tank as possible, but States can totally change course and FEMA will try it's best to plot a good destination based on the new course given the limited amount of fuel the State has.

    As always, it's a subject that is complex that Trump feels that the complexity doesn't deserve to be address but instead done away with and make the complexity someone else's problem.

  • Me as a Tennessean: "I bet it's Andy Ogles"

    Checks

    Goddamn can I read that man like a fucking book. I'm sorry we're all trying to vote the bastard out but the State gerrymandered the district because... AND I SHIT YOU NOT... "California does it, so it's okay if we do it too". Honest to God what our State Assembly said about breaking Nashville up into a hellscape of gerrymandering.

    Do know, he's an idiot IRL as well. He's the kind that's really full of himself and he's got a super high self-worth in head.

  • One, the filing can be found here. Because this story basically links over to the WSJ's copy of the PDF file. A PDF file that's on their CDN which is paywalled.

    Two, yeah I was absolutely expecting this to happen and it's likely we are going to see a ton of this. The law requires a bit of transparency. I fully expect Trump to counter with "national security" and tell the courts to fuck off because Congress is spineless as fuck. And Trump calling everything an emergency or nation security to prevent any kind of judicial oversight was like his whole MO last go round.

    Three, we've got to reform emergency powers in the United States. It's got to be a one and done for 90-days. Post that, Congress has to step in. As the law is now, every 90-days the President can renew the emergency and basically the other two branches can suck his dick which is quite possibly the dumbest function we've got in our laws.

    All that said, I fully expect Trump to tell all the courts to go to hell and the case to be dismissed for lack of everything because it's "top secret" shit they're doing in DOGE. Filing in the Courts ain't going to do shit to stop the guy. Only Congress can check the guy at this point and they are all too busy sucking his dick. So for at least the next two years, Trump will get away with literally everything.

  • Yeah, this is exactly the point here everyone. The pardons work because nobody has asked anyone if these blanket pardons are indeed legit.

    So we can all sit here and try to mince the logic of such, but the real answer is that it exists in a superposition of legal and not legal until the various courts rule upon it.

  • 49 27 6D 20 6E 6F 74 20 61 20 62 6F 74 2E 20 49 20 6B 6E 6F 77 20 74 68 69 73 20 62 65 63 61 75 73 65 20 6F 66 20 68 6F 77 20 6D 75 63 68 20 49 20 68 61 74 65 20 6D 79 73 65 6C 66 2E

  • Democratic Political Establishment: "I will slit your throat with a rusted spork if you even think to take my defeat I so rightly stole from victory's jaws!"

    Like had fours years to prep literally anyone to take Biden's place, decided "Nah fuck it! We run dementia man!" And then last moment was like "WHAT?! Dementia man not popular? Fuck it, we'll just select whoever ourselves fuck all those primaries." $10 says they learn absolute jack shit from this.

  • the magards will finally realize they've been took

    No they won't. They will line up for the next one. The only reason they will ever stop is because they have nothing left. And then when they have nothing they will blame immigrants, woke, Soros, or whoever for their lot in life.

    There are people who exist in this world who can not comprehend that the actions they take lead in part to the consequences that follow. The only thing that can be done is to watch from the side them losing everything and then getting out of the way as best one can in their fit of rage.

    Sort of like a person with a gambling addiction putting the last $10k of their life savings into a slot machine. We know what's going to happen, there is nothing that can stop it from happening.

  • I don’t think that it’s right for the leadership, especially Republican leadership, that prides itself on being pro-family, to be so anti-family,

    It’s “he’s not hurting the right people”, all over again.

  • "Will"? We got Sen. Fetterman the other say saying that we should be thinking about Greenland like we do the Louisiana Purchase.

    The Orange Turd isn't even in office and everyone in DC is already lost their goddamn mind.

  • Indeed. A modern Nissan Leaf with a 62 kWh battery can charge in a little over 11 minutes if you have a 2kV 160 amp line to toss into it. Because you know, it's completely safe and cool to deal with those kinds of values for the average consumer.

  • Florida district court Judge Aileen Cannon’s latest comically pro-Trump ruling, her order Tuesday that temporarily blocks the public release of Smith’s report on his two criminal investigations of Trump, remains a big deal.

    Cannon's ruling isn't some sudden motion here. The core argument for tossing out the entire case is predicated on Jack Smith not being appointed per 28 USC § 515. Cannon agreed with the motion that Jack Smith wasn't appointed correctly. Obviously the DOJ disagreed. So the whole thing went to appeals.

    All Cannon is doing is indicating that the Government can not release a report that a person who wasn't correctly appointed created. This was absolutely something everyone knew was coming. This is just the logical follow up of what she already ruled on. I'm not saying she's correct in her determination, just saying that this was absolutely expected to happen like way back when the case was originally tossed out.

  • Why would the vice president need to approve the President's message?

  • I think we aren't really enjoying the true flavor of this vote. Allow me to enlighten.

    McCarthy had added new rules to the budget process under Rule XXI related to the budget. It creates a "cut-as-you-go" system as opposed to the old "pay-as-you-go" system. This new rule change makes it fifty times more difficult to get an actual budget passed, I won't go into details as it's a lot to cover.

    Now we arrive to H.Res. 10515, Trump's amended American Relief Act. Now no part of this bill follows House Rule X or XXI on the budget except Division C (via H.Res. 8774), Division F (via H.Res. 8752), Division G (via H.Res. 8998), Division J (via H.Res. 8580), and Division K (via H.Res. 8771).

    Side note for those wondering, the US budget has 12 regular appropriations (because the original theory was that you could pass one per month as opposed to a 1,500 page omnibus bill. I'm sure we can all see how wonderful that theory is working out) that are required that are labeled Division A, Division B, ... Division L. Sometimes budgets include Division M and more letters past that like Division AA, BB, CC and so on, those are called "supplemental appropriations". But the A through L are (in alphabetic order):

     
        
    A - Agriculture, rural development, FDA, and related agencies
    B - Commerce, justice, science, and related agencies
    C - The Department of Defense
    D - Energy and water development of the United States and related agencies
    E - Financial services and general government appropriations
    F - The Department Of Homeland Security
    G - The Department of the Interior, environment, and related agencies
    H - The Department of Labor, HHS, and Education, and related agencies
    I - The Legislative Branch Appropriations
    J - Military construction, VA, and related agencies
    K - The Department of State, Foreign operations, and related agencies
    L - Transportation, HUD, and related agencies
    
      

    SO. Here's the really tasty part. Because of McCarthy's strange ass rules on the budget. The House has to "suspend the rules" in order to approve this bill (because the other seven divisions that haven't follow the rules). That means it's not just a simple majority, but a ⅔ majority is required. Even if every Republican did vote "yea", they still needed 63 Democrats to sign on and they got only two. And they had to do this because McCarthy fucked them over with the rule change that the House Freedom Caucus asked for.

    Had the House Freedom Caucus not asked for this "cut-as-you-go" system, Republicans wouldn't have needed the Democrats in the vote. That's what I think is amazing.

    And the thing is, what was different between the Trump amendment and the original is, I detail in my comment here..

    Literally this failure is so much on the Republicans for getting played at their own fucking game here. Maybe on January 3rd, they'll adopt better rules. But who knows, there might be another fight over Speaker again. I would find it hilarious if the Democrats forward a continuation of the rules of the House just to keep McCarthy's strange ass shit in there out of spite.

    For those not in the know, the US House makes new rules every two years (which is when a new session of Congress starts, the next session is the 119th session for those wondering). Most times they just forward the standing rules of the previous session, but every so often a speaker of the house gets "Creative" and it's always a fun show watching unintended consequences. McCarthy's rule changes have not yet disappointed.

  • Roll call vote 516.

    • Yeas
      • Republican - 172
      • Democrats - 2
      • Total - 174
    • Nays
      • Republican - 38
      • Democrats - 197
      • Total - 235
    • Present
      • Democrat - 1
      • Total - 1
    • Not voting
      • Republican - 9
      • Democrat - 11
      • Total - 20

    It's very disappointing to us that all but two Democrats voted against aid to farmers and ranchers, against disaster relief, against all these bipartisan measures that had already been negotiated and decided upon

    Division A didn't change from the original and the amended version. So the two were the same. Democrats were on board with Div. A in the original, what changed was Democrats denying Trump the suspension of the debt ceiling. And the reality is Republicans have the House Freedom Caucus to blame for this failure.

    Republicans spent the 117th blocking everything they could from Democrats. Why Republicans thought Democrats were going to play ball in the upcoming 119th is likely the dumbest thing for them to bank on. Yeap, Democrats denied the gimmie for Trump because Trump doesn't get to rug pull bills when he's being pissy. That's how that works. Trump wants to suspend the debt ceiling? Democrats had to swallow a ton of bitter pills to get a suspension in the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023. Republicans made bank in favors for giving Democrats that one favor.

    Democrats are just looking for the exact same treatment. Want to suspend the debt ceiling? There's going to need to be a lot of bitter pills for Republicans to swallow. So Democrats are of the mindset, Republicans take it up the ass for that request like the Democrats did, or they are going to have to crack that whip on the Freedom Caucus which has in it some of the loudest members of the House who have everything to prove.

    Like Republicans clearly forgot, you don't ask for the golden goose free of charge. Trump wanted an unlimited credit card for all his plans, and Democrats are going to want a lot for that privilege. Unlimited credit card didn't come cheap for Biden, it sure shit ain't coming cheap for Trump.

    Republicans don't want to be stuck in this budget loop for the next two years? Agree to the original stop-gap and you all can come back in March to talk about a full budget. But oh no, Democrats aren't doing this "pray I don't alter the deal" 30 fucking hours before the Government shuts down. Republicans can play blame games all day long, but short end of the deal is, Republicans control the House. Republicans can get their house in order or start appeasing Democrats, but either way if Trump wants the Deluxe Package, he's going to have to pay out the ass for it. Democrats had to, and they suffered a ton of backlash to those bitter pills. Or maybe Republicans don't have the back bone to do the hard things in Congress.

  • 1997

    Jump
  • I remember my sophomore year in High School a friend walked up to me and we got to talking and then they ask "so are you planning anything for homecoming?". I just replied "nah. I'm not really into football and I think I have to work that night anyway." And they were like "Okay well cool."

    Fast forward 35 years, I tell this story to a friend and they said "so did they ask you out anyway?" And I was like "No, I... WAIT! Is that what they were getting at? It actually flew over my head? Holy shit!" And it took a whole 35 years before I finally realized it.

    In all fairness though, I had a lot going on at that point in my life. My mother two years earlier had passed away from a three year battle with cancer and my father had left us orphan about three weeks later. I was still processing shit with the whole foster care and nobody else in my god forsaken family wanting to take me or my siblings in.

    Oh and I never got with the person because like maybe four months later I had to move to another foster family (which side note: I eventually had to leave that other family too because the parents were that weird religious abusive kind and I got pulled during a welfare check to go elsewhere) which meant a change in schools (had to change schools yet again after that second family). Something, something the foster care dad got arrested with a DUI, something something, you can't keep kids in your house. But you know looking back maybe it was for the best because it would have sucked to have to move after developing emotions for someone.

  • To note, the US has not sent an ambassador to the Bahamas since 2011. Nicole Avant, the last US ambassador, left the position to work with then President Obama's reelection efforts in 2012. Since then we've largely left the role to the Chargé d'Affaires in the Bahamas. Nothing big happened, Avant's tenure as ambassador wasn't some ordeal or anything. It's just been a long stream of weirdness and dysfunction that's left the position open this long.

    • Obama's purposed replacement died of leukemia before confirmation.
    • Trump kept trying to pitch Manchester whose nomination just kept getting stalled out. Didn't help that he thought the Bahamas was a US protectorate and not, as it actually is, an independent country. But yeah, he was so ignorant of anything about the Bahamas that even the Republicans in the Senate couldn't get him through.
    • Biden's pick of Smyre just never made it to committee. Like it's literally on their agenda as a To-Do. Oopsie, guess the forgot to get around to it.

    The fact that Walker is being picked is hilarious because the guy likely has zero ideas about anything related to foreign relations. It's not some big secret that being Ambassador to the Bahamas carries with it the key to a really nice house in Nassau. And the embassy itself is quite nice though quaint. The real question is, will Walker be ambassador once the new facility gets done? Because the new embassy is supposed to be super fancy.

  • Here's the entire report.

    Even going off the final assertions by this report and let's just toss them a bone and say 100% of what they present is EXACTLY as they say it is presented. None of this rises to criminal liability. None of it is a level that the FBI could really do anything about. Violation of House rules by House members is up to the House to vote on punishment. Violation of the standing rules of the Senate is up to the Senate is also up to the Senate to vote on how to punish. There's zero ways anyone in the judicial branch would want to take up any of this.

    Even Trump diehard justices wouldn't touch this because doing so would open up ANY rule breaking in the House to prosecution, which is literally something nobody in Congress would want.

    But again, that's just ignoring all the stretch allegations made. Like for example, they've indicated that Cheney reached out to Hutchinson and then apply their definition of "it went too far" when that's exactly how they've conducted several of their investigations into Hunter Biden which is exactly why we wanted a hearing in front of cameras as opposed to off-record and then on-record statements.

    All of this is just Gentleman's agreements on how testimony is entered into record, there's not some "gold standard" to how committees go about this whole affair. And literally every time something like this goes down, once the power dynamic changes, it's "this is where the other team didn't do what we believe to be reasonable™".

    I mean, I get it. It looks like they wanted a stronger narrative than they had, but at the same time a lot of people within the office who were loyal to Trump didn't want to testify. There was a ton of pushback from former members of Trump's team to the investigation. Remember all those subpoenas that they ignored from the House? So okay, the linkage to Trump and the J6 rioters isn't strong, but that's no surprise. I don't think anyone thought for ten seconds that the House could make a case for incitement, that's just a massive bar to clear. And the J6 Committee did indeed stop short of calling it an orchestrated coup officially. NOW that didn't stop them from making that statement in front of cameras, but at no time did the House officially call it a coup. Just "strongly hinted at it".

    Now, that might sound like I'm splitting hairs here. But that's exactly what Republicans did with the whole Burisma thing. They didn't outright officially say squat. But goddamn didn't they strongly hint at it.

    All of this gets really old because they are fighting over rules that they themselves skirt at nearly every chance. But none of this reaches "breaking laws" sort of how like "insider trading in Congress isn't TECHNICALLY breaking any laws." It's all silly nonsense because this song and dance is all bad-faith arguments from both sides.

    I would love to see what kind of argument the FBI tries to cobble together for conspiracy for former Senator Cheney. Because boy do Congress critters really rely on that Article I Section 6 part of the Constitution that indicates.

    and for any Speech or Debate in either House, they shall not be questioned in any other Place

    Like that's a very core, boy do we have thousands of cases to draw precedent on, right of Congress. And gosh, this is starting to look like the 119th session is going to be doing a whole lot of the 118th missteps.

  • Freezing investment into the country and nuclear grade austerity will always bring inflation to an almost stand still. You're literally tossing liquid nitrogen on your economy, it's absolutely going to freeze.

    The IMF does not expect the Argentine economy to grow this year, but rather to decline by 3.5%, while it should start growing next year.

    And this is the key aspect that usually makes people who consider this pause for a second. Because freezing your economy might solve the right now problem, it also has the ability to ice economic activity completely, triggering an economic depression. This is the "balance" so to say. The harder your freeze, the more you'll need to rewarm the markets to get your economy going again.

    President Milei and the government hope that the new laws, which offer investors decades of tax and customs relief, will quickly attract capital and curb the recession.

    This has always been the super tricky part of the weapons grade austerity. The what comes after part. So Milei has done it, he's cooled the markets and supply has nearly cratered in the country. The next steps is to get production back and start pesos in the country to start flowing again.

    I've always been a bit irresolute about Milei's approach on the economy. I'm not against it, it's just a strategy that's playing with fire in a gun powder factory. First and foremost, I hope that the people in Argentina find economic stability, because boy do they deserve it. So to that end I hope WHOEVER succeeds in getting that done. And second, I really hope this is something that can be long lasting. Hyper austerity has a history of bad boomerang effects. It can work, it's just takes a ton of work, more than most governments are willing to invest. And so there's a big chance that we could start to see some positive only to then watch it completely crumble once again.

    If I was a leader, this isn't exactly a strategy I would pick. There's just a ton of places where it can go all wrong. But I hope the guy gets it fixed once and for all. But dang, I don't know how dude is smiling in that photo because if I was going down this road I wouldn't be able to sleep properly.