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Anarchitect

@ Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

Posts
6
Comments
15
Joined
7 mo. ago

  • The Iran thing is about to get way more intense or usa is about to hit another country

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  • if you dont believe me i dont care. this is for people who know me and know im not full of shit. if you want proof go hangout on the firing range of Ft Hood when they drop the test run bunker busters for all i care.

  • Life Expectancy In A Post-Industrial World

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  • During the US civil war a bioluminescent fungus that kind worked like penicillin randomly spread after a battle saving a bunch of lives:

    cool!

    Before the antibiotic era there was a dude that survived cholera or other epidemic in trench warfare WWI they found a particular strain of ecoli he harbored and preserved it and there is a company that still sells it .

  • Carbon dioxide overload, detected in human blood, suggests a potentially toxic atmosphere within 50 years

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  • i thought we needed to be closer to 800- 1000 pom

    600ppm is the place where it start affecting human cognition from what i recall. there was a dude in the reddit back in the day called MrVisible that was obsessed with this and had a whole sub about it . i thing it was called r/doomsdaycult or something like that.

    EDIT: i just went to find that old sub and reddit banned it of course . maybe a reddit archive will have it.

  • THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS

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  • "First, there is no natural brake. AI capabilities improve, companies need fewer workers, displaced workers spend less, weakened companies invest more in AI to protect margins, and AI capabilities improve further. Each company’s individual response is rational. The collective result is a negative feedback loop that feeds on itself.

    Second, the spending damage is wildly disproportionate to the job losses. The top 20% of earners drive roughly 65% of all US consumer spending. These are the white-collar workers most exposed to AI displacement. A modest percentage decline in white-collar employment translates into a much larger hit to discretionary consumer spending, devastating the businesses that depend on it and triggering further layoffs.

    Third, AI agents will dismantle the vast intermediation layer of the US economy. Over fifty years, we have built trillions of dollars of enterprise value on top of human limitations: things take time, patience runs out, and most people accept a bad price to avoid more clicks. Agentic AI eliminates this friction. Software, consulting, financial services, insurance, travel, real estate and payments are all built on monetizing complexity that agents find trivial. As these sectors suffer steep revenue losses, they will shed jobs aggressively and compound the bleeding.

    Fourth, the financial system is one long daisy chain of correlated bets on white-collar productivity growth. Over $2.5 trillion of private credit has been deployed into leveraged buyouts underwritten against revenue assumptions that no longer hold. The $13 trillion mortgage market is built on the assumption that borrowers will remain employed at roughly their current income for thirty years. These aren’t subprime borrowers–they’re 780 FICO scores who put 20% down. The loans were good on day one. The world just changed after they were written.

    Fifth, the government’s fiscal position inverts at the worst possible time. Federal revenue is essentially a tax on human work. As white-collar incomes decline and payrolls shrink, tax receipts dry up just as the need for transfer payments surges. The government will need to send more money to households at precisely the moment it is collecting less from them."

  • collapse @lemmy.zip
    Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

    THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS

    www.citriniresearch.com /p/2028gic

  • Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation (2025)

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  • Wildy higher losses and worse than i would have suspected.

    Maize Under a high-emissions scenario, our projected end-of-century maize yield losses are severe (about −40%) in the grain belt of the USA, Eastern China, Central Asia, Southern Africa and the Middle East (Fig. 2a, Extended Data Fig. 7a and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11). Losses in South America and Central Africa are more moderate (about −15%), mitigated in part by high levels of precipitation and increasing long-run precipitation (Extended Data Fig. 3b). Impacts in Europe vary with latitude, from +10% gains in the north to −40% losses along the Mediterranean. Gains in theoretical yield potentials occur in many northern regions in which maize is not widely grown (Supplementary Fig. 7).

    Soybean The spatial distribution of soybean yield impacts is similar in structure to maize, although magnitudes are accentuated (Fig. 2b, Extended Data Fig. 7b and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11); for example, about −50% in the USA and about +20% in wet regions of Brazil under a high-emissions scenario.

    Rice High-emissions rice yield impacts are mixed in India and Southeast Asia, which lead global rice production, with small gains and losses throughout these regions. This regional result is broadly consistent with earlier work1. In the remaining rice-growing regions, central estimates are generally negative, with magnitudes in Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and Central Asia exceeding −50% (Fig. 2c, Extended Data Fig. 7c and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

    Wheat Wheat losses are notably consistent across the main wheat-growing regions, with high-emissions yield losses of −15% to −25% in Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa and South America and −30% to −40% in China, Russia, the USA and Canada (Fig. 2d, Extended Data Fig. 7d and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11). There are notable exceptions to these global patterns: wheat-growing regions of Western China exhibit both gains and losses, whereas wheat-growing regions of Northern India exhibit some of the most severe projected losses across the globe.

    Cassava Cassava is projected to have uniformly negative projected impacts in nearly all regions in which it is grown at present, with the largest losses in Sub-Saharan Africa (−40% on average under a high-emissions scenario). Although cassava does not make up a large portion of global agricultural revenues, it is an important subsistence crop in low-income and middle-income countries. Thus, these yield losses may be a substantial future threat to the nutritional intake of the global poor (Fig. 2e, Extended Data Fig. 7e and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

    Sorghum Sorghum losses are widespread in almost all of the main regions in which it is grown at present: North America (−40%), South Asia (including India) (−10%) and Sub-Saharan Africa (−25%). Projected gains emerge in Western Europe (+28%) and Northern China (+3%) (Fig. 2f, Extended Data Fig. 7f and Supplementary Figs. 10 and 11).

  • collapse @lemmy.zip
    Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

    Chappe telegraph invented in France in 1792

    en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Chappe_telegraph

  • What Would a Fiscal Crisis Look Like? | Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget

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  • still funds some coherent stuff.

  • collapse @lemmy.zip
    Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

    What Would a Fiscal Crisis Look Like? | Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget

    www.crfb.org /papers/what-would-fiscal-crisis-look
  • collapse @lemmy.zip
    Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

    This Is the End of the World

    www.taylorforeman.com /p/this-is-the-end-of-the-world

  • An Orbital House of Cards: Frequent Megaconstellation Close Conjunctions

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  • Nice . I was waiting for someone to quantify this type of thing. I wonder what the maximum possible density is.

  • UK farmers lose £800m after heat and drought cause one of worst harvests on record

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  • What YIELD is, is production per area figure. So like, if you jettison all these marginal failing fields, your “average” climbs. Because you’re making the denominator smaller FASTER than you’re making the numerator smaller. But production is falling!

    yeah reminds me of how they claim less and less people are in poverty because some arbitrary $2.50 a day threshold while simultaneously the number of people with permanent malnutrition based stunting is increasing by hundreds of millions.

  • New England warming faster than most places on Earth, study finds

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  • to be expected as higher latitudes get bulk of the warming compared to tropics.

  • UK farmers lose £800m after heat and drought cause one of worst harvests on record

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  • I just don’t know how small farms survive in a financial sense

    they dont , we've been in a "get big or get out" regime for decades already . Most small farms are subsidized by outside working family members , this is well documented in the usda statistics. what going to have to happen is farmers are going to have to start charging more to compensate for year to year risk but its difficult to do because competition between commodity producers is high so further farm consolidation will continue until there are so few players oligopoly like margins and coordination to higher prices becomes viable.

  • Warning! This “Colorful Chart” is Censored by IPCC [pdf]

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  • its mind blowing the mental/bureaucratic gymnastics humans will engage in to delude themselves . there has never been a moment we were off the rcp8.5 path but the narrative was so ubiquitous .

  • collapse @lemmy.zip
    Anarchitect @lemmy.zip

    The Decline of Deviance

    www.experimental-history.com /p/the-decline-of-deviance

  • What is the Future of Perennial Grains?

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  • rates of soil carbon accumulation, though that lies outside of the scope of this article. The Kernza domestication program was launched in 2002 and has reached about 1/3 the yield of wheat in comparative trials (DeHaan et al., 2018; Cassman and Connor, 2022

    1/3 the yield of current modern wheat is already at the level of preindustrial wheat yields so as a post apocalyptic crop this creates a beneficial artifact from the modern era.

  • Designing a better socio-economic system

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  • people started working on this in the 1960s though most failed there were major lessons to be learned about it. It is very much the time to start building parallel institutions. the transition towns movement the FEC and FIC federation of communes people have been haphazardly lurching towards these things . worker owned and co-ops of the past and even lodge societies like the oddfellows have built humanistic social instituions that have been mostly ignored by mainstream society.

    Im working on things with some other people right now. what country are you in ? how old and do you have any skills?

  • Canadian cities are unprepared for climate-driven migration

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  • canadian landlords salivating about raising rents on the 14 mattresses in their basement from $600 each to $1200 each