I mean, say this doctor has a 100% success rate but another doctor has 0%. Those two doctors collectively have a 50% success rate but it you have far better odds with the first doctor than the second
@Cenotaph Nope, say the first doctor did 100 successful cases, the other did 2 successful and 2 failed, then the collective would be (100+2)*100/104 = 98.07%
98.07 for the surgery in general but not if you have decided to go to the first doctor. Then the 50% chance of the second doctor doesn’t not come into the equation, assuming surgery is done by the first doctor who is independent of second doctor. Hope that makes more sense.
Of course. My point was only that there is definitely a difference between an individual doctor’s success rate and the overall success rate of a procedure across all doctors, responding to the commment I replied to.
I mean, say this doctor has a 100% success rate but another doctor has 0%. Those two doctors collectively have a 50% success rate but it you have far better odds with the first doctor than the second
The two doctors would only have a combined 50% success rate if they perform the same number of surgeries
After a certain point, it’s really society’s fault for letting the surgeon batting 0 continue performing surgeries.
That surgeon is bound to get one right one of these days!
It’s just statistics.
@Cenotaph Nope, say the first doctor did 100 successful cases, the other did 2 successful and 2 failed, then the collective would be (100+2)*100/104 = 98.07%
So the number of cases would matter.
98.07 for the surgery in general but not if you have decided to go to the first doctor. Then the 50% chance of the second doctor doesn’t not come into the equation, assuming surgery is done by the first doctor who is independent of second doctor. Hope that makes more sense.
Of course. My point was only that there is definitely a difference between an individual doctor’s success rate and the overall success rate of a procedure across all doctors, responding to the commment I replied to.